Strong Financial Results and EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA for 2025 was nearly $10 billion (similar to 2024). Modeled annual EBITDA for 2027-2028 ranges from ~$11 billion at $4/lb copper to >$19 billion at $6/lb copper, with operating cash flow ~$8 billion to >$14 billion across that price range.
Cost Discipline and Guidance Accuracy
Consolidated unit net cash cost for 2025 was $1.65 per pound, within ~3% of guidance for the year despite the Grasberg incident that reduced volumes. Company expects unit net cash costs averaging $1.75/lb for 2026 with second-half costs ~ $1.25/lb.
Copper Price Strength
2025 LME copper averaged $4.51/lb (range $3.87–$5.68). Year-to-date 2026 LME prices were ~30% higher than the 2025 average, materially improving near-term cash flow outlook and leverage to copper (each $0.10/lb change ≈ $400 million annual EBITDA).
U.S. Operating Performance
U.S. production increased ~5% versus the year-ago fourth quarter and year-over-year 2025 vs 2024. U.S. operating income in Q4 was 3.5x the level of Q4 2024, demonstrating strong price leverage and conversion to the bottom line.
Progress on Grasberg Restart (PB2 and PB3)
Deep MLZ and Bigas mines restarted in Q4. Mud removal for PB2 and PB3 is substantially complete (~97% of required mud removal for PB2/PB3), protective plugs being installed, infrastructure repairs expected by quarter-end, and on track for phased restart beginning in Q2 2026 to restore ~85% of district production in H2 2026.
Leach Initiative — Near-Term Low-Cost Growth
Leach initiative produced >200 million pounds of copper in 2025, targeting 300 million pounds in 2026 (50% increase YoY), 400 million in 2027, and a path to 800 million pounds by 2030. Field deployment of proprietary additives and planned heated-solution injection tests in 2026 are described as pivotal for scaling.
Reserve Additions and Project Optionality (El Abra and Others)
Reserve additions in 2025 substantially exceeded production, including >17 billion pounds of copper added for the El Abra expansion (previously a resource). Significant long-life reserves and resources support multiple growth options across The Americas and Indonesia.
Capital Allocation, Cash Returns and Balance Sheet Strength
2025 capex was $3.9 billion ( ~$0.5 billion below plan). 2026–2027 capex expected ~$4.3–$4.5 billion annually. Company has returned $5.7 billion to shareholders via dividends and buybacks, maintains investment-grade ratings, no significant debt maturities in 2026, and flexibility to fund growth and returns.