Adjusted EBITDA Beat and Financial Outlook
Adjusted EBITDA for 2025 was $67.6 million, exceeding the top end of guidance ($65 million) by ~4%. Company provided 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance of $70 million to $75 million and revenue guidance of $420 million to $440 million.
Debt Reduction and Liquidity
Repaid $65 million of debt in Q4 2025, reducing leverage and lowering future interest expense by roughly $6 million for 2026. Ended 2025 with $156.1 million in cash and investments and do not plan additional borrowings in 2026.
RNG Volume Scale and Growth Guidance
Delivered 237.4 million gallons of RNG in 2025 (about 97% of target). Q4 2025 RNG deliveries were 64.1 million gallons (+5% vs Q3 2025 and +3% vs Q4 2024). 2026 RNG volume guidance is 250 million gallons with total fuel volumes ~324 million gallons.
Major Upstream Project Milestones
Brought South Fork Dairy (Texas) online—largest operating RNG project in the portfolio and fully consolidated—and began injecting gas at East Valley Dairy (Idaho), the largest RNG project in the portfolio (JV with BP, processes manure from ~37,000 cows). Company now has eight operating RNG projects and three in construction via Moss Energy Works.
Downstream Commercial Wins and Station RNG Penetration
Renewed/expanded contracts including WM (85 stations to fuel ~8,000 refuse trucks) and city/municipal wins (Scottsdale, Phoenix, Washington, D.C., Nashville, Arlington VA, Fort Smith AR). Approximately 89% of company-controlled fueling infrastructure is running RNG.
Upstream Business Turning Positive
Management expects significant improvements in RNG upstream GAAP losses and anticipates the upstream business to generate positive adjusted EBITDA in 2026; internal ramp target for upstream adjusted EBITDA is roughly $3M to $5M across the year as facilities optimize.
Cost and Capital Discipline
Expect SG&A to decline ~10% (or over $10 million) in 2026, to an approximate run rate of $25 million per quarter. Fuel distribution CapEx expected at ~$25 million and RNG upstream investments at ~$40 million for 2026; plan to fund with cash and operating cash flow (targeting ~$50 million operating cash flow in 2026).
Supportive Policy Backdrop
Management cites constructive signals for LCFS and RIN credit fundamentals (CARB Q3 2025 showed the first net deficit since 2021) and progress on 45Z clean fuel production credit rulemaking, which could improve project economics when finalized.