XRP (XRP-USD) is going through a rare slump that has only happened once before. As of today, XRP price is sitting around $1.40. The coin has lost value every single month since October 2025. While seeing five months of red on a chart looks bad, history shows this is exactly what happened ten years ago before the price exploded to new highs.
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XRP’s Technical Pattern Points to Seller Exhaustion
This five-month losing streak is a big deal because it is so rare. Even when the crypto market crashed in 2022, XRP only dropped for three or four months in a row before bouncing back. The current stretch of five red months matches the shakeout seen in late 2016.
Back then, the price dropped about 37% and felt stuck. However, as soon as that fifth month ended, XRP began a massive run that eventually hit $3.31. Today, the price has dropped 60% from its 2025 high of $3.65. Analysts believe this long decline means sellers are finally running out of coins to sell, which could lead to a green month in March.
Institutional Support Defends the $1.30 XRP Price Level
While many small traders are selling in fear, big institutions seem to be holding steady. The growth of spot XRP ETFs has brought in over $1.23 billion in total net inflows so far. Even with the recent price drops, these funds are still holding onto their assets.
This institutional buying is acting like a floor for the price. Specifically, the support level at $1.30 has held firm during the latest market dip. If the price can stay above this mark through the end of the month, it confirms that big buyers are still interested in XRP despite the broader market being risk-off due to new trade tariffs.
Ripple Is Waiting for the Clarity Act Catalyst
The biggest hurdle for XRP right now is the law. The progress of the Clarity Act in the U.S. Senate is the main event everyone is watching. This bill would officially label XRP as a digital commodity, which would give it the same legal status as Bitcoin.
Ripple’s CEO recently stated there is a 90% chance of this bill passing by April. Passing this federal law would allow major banks and pension funds to finally buy XRP without worrying about legal trouble. If the bill gets signed around the same time this five-month chart pattern ends, it could create an ideal scenario for a price recovery.
At the time of writing, XRP is sitting at $1.4029.
