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Nvidia Stock Poised for Big Earnings Shock in AI Boom

Nvidia Stock Poised for Big Earnings Shock in AI Boom

Nvidia ( (NVDA) ) has been popular among investors this week. Here is a recap of the key news on this stock.

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Nvidia heads into its February 25 fiscal Q4 report with Wall Street laser-focused on whether the AI boom can keep powering its record run. The chipmaker controls more than 80% of the data‑center GPU market and sits at the center of a hyperscaler capex wave that could top $700 billion in 2026, with a large slice earmarked for AI compute where Nvidia is the dominant “toll collector.”

Analysts expect Q4 EPS around $1.52–$1.53 and revenue near $65.6 billion, implying roughly 70% growth and a potential 14th straight beat, while gross margins in the mid‑70% range would signal intact pricing power despite rising custom chips from big cloud players. The stock, trading around $187 and consolidating after a huge rally, still carries a Strong Buy consensus, with 31 Buys, one Sell, and an average target of about $265, suggesting ~40% upside.

Forward valuations of roughly 23.8x FY27 earnings and 13x sales are supported by sharply rising forecasts, as incremental AI capex alone could underwrite a sizable portion of Nvidia’s projected 2027 revenue. Oppenheimer’s Rick Schafer sees a “typical” $2–3 billion upside to near‑term sales, driven by platforms like GB300 Ultra and the higher‑priced Vera Rubin systems, and argues Nvidia remains the ubiquitous AI platform best positioned to win.

Ownership is broad-based, with nearly half of Nvidia held by public companies and individuals, and heavy representation in major Vanguard ETFs and index funds, reinforcing the stock’s status as a core AI holding. For investors weighing AI leaders, recent analysis still favors Nvidia over more volatile stories, framing the current sideways trading as a pause before a potential upside break if management confirms durable demand and margin strength.

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