Barclays downgraded Travelers (TRV) to Equal Weight from Overweight with a price target of $274, down from $280. Heading into Q2 earnings, the firm is more cautious on property and casualty carriers, saying underwriting margins face pressure from softening rates and unfavorable mix shift. Barclays is more constructive on reinsurers due to “idiosyncratic tailwinds” and capital return potential in the second half of the year. Its updated margin modeling and broader reassessment of the commercial P&C landscape to reflect a more cautious stance drove the downgrade of Travelers.
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