The Bear Cave issued a cautious report on DraftKings (DKNG), saying that investors have viewed DraftKings and its main competitor, FanDuel, as “an effective duopoly aggressively wooing players with signup bonuses in hopes of ultimately establishing a high-margin base of repeat customers.” The Bear Cave believes that narrative is being disrupted by prediction markets like Kalshi, which often offer customers better odds with deeper order books. The Bear Cave believes prediction markets are a “real and growing headwind for DraftKings and will turn an effective duopoly into a competitive marketplace with DraftKings on the defensive.”
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