Ranpak reports Q3 EPS (12c), consensus (3c)

Reports Q3 revenue $99.6M, consensus $99.94M. Omar Asali, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, commented, “Our third quarter was a major stepping stone towards achieving the expected long-term growth outlook for Ranpak (PACK). In August, we signed a partnership and warrant agreement with Walmart that was forged through our innovations in Automation. This is a transformative deal for Ranpak, and with our Automation focus and origins, I believe this agreement solidifies Ranpak as a leading provider of warehouse automation solutions. This partnership is leading to even deeper relationships in protective, providing a concrete example of the symbiotic nature of our two primary product lines. Under this partnership, Walmart has received 22.5 million warrants at a strike price of $6.8308, which vest in stages to the extent they spend $300 million (excluding the cost of paper) on Ranpak products over ten years. We believe over $100 million of this potential spend, if made, would be allocated to Automation, leaving the remainder to be focused on Protective Packaging. While the terms of the Walmart agreement specifically exclude the cost of paper for purposes of determining the vesting of warrants, we estimate, based on current paper pricing, that this implies up to roughly $700 million in total spend over the life of the contract to achieve full vesting.”