Omdia sees Nintendo Switch 2 selling 14.7M units this year

Omdia forecasts show that Nintendo (NTDOY) Switch 2 will sell about 14.7M units globally in 2025, following its confirmed launch date of June 5. This would put the Switch 2 ahead of its predecessor by around 10% during its first calendar year on the market. Historical Omdia data reveals 13.4M Nintendo Switch systems were sold in 2017, despite its earlier March release. The key factors driving this momentum include a strong user base – Omdia estimates 105M Switch consoles remained in active use at the end of 2024, providing Nintendo with a solid foundation for the next generation. A key first-party title also supports Omdia’s forecast. “Mario Kart World” headlines Nintendo’s first-party line-up for 2025, is exclusive to Nintendo Switch 2, and offers a visible generational leap over “Mario Kart 8.” Close to one in two Switch owners have purchased predecessor “Mario Kart 8 Deluxe,” making it the ideal sequel to attach to the new hardware, according to Omdia. However, although Switch 2 will exceed sales in the first year for the original Switch in 2017, Omdia believes that by year four, Switch 2 will have sold fewer units than at its predecessor’s equivalent point. This is primarily down to the fourth year in the original Switch’s cycle coinciding with Covid lockdowns, which provided an enormous boost to the games industry.