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BNP Paribas Exane downgrades Constellation to Underperform after guidance cut

As previously reported, BNP Paribas Exane downgraded Constellation Brands (STZ) to Underperform from Neutral with a price target of $123, down from $181, following the company’s FY26 guidance cut. The firm’s “increasingly bearish thesis” is based on persisting, structurally skewed demand issues, notes the analyst, who sees long-term beer operating margins as the “next shoe to drop” as volume pressures continue. The firm adds that its FY27 and FY28 EPS estimates are 16% and 23% below consensus, respectively.

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