JPMorgan upgraded Alcoa (AA) to Neutral from Underweight with a price target of $68, up from $50. Since the conflict in Iran began, aluminum prices have rallied 12% on regional supply risk, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm says any prolonged conflict is likely to result in additional force majeure declarations followed by smelter curtailments, which could take at least quarters to re-ramp. JPMorgan cites aluminum supply risk for the upgrade of Alcoa. It sees a more balanced risk/reward at current share levels.
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