EV maker Tesla (TSLA) saw its vehicle registrations in California fall by 24.3% in the first quarter, which was the largest decline in the state, according to the California New Car Dealers Association. This drop happened as the overall electric-vehicle market in California also slowed down, which is important since the state has long been Tesla’s strongest U.S. market. This can be attributed to several factors.
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New trading tool for TSLA bearsFor example, the $7,500 federal tax credit expired at the end of September, which removed a major incentive for buyers. At the same time, high interest rates, expensive car prices, tariffs, and geopolitical risks are all making consumers more cautious. As a result, total zero-emission vehicle sales in California dropped by 40% year-over-year. Looking ahead, analysts still expect some growth for Tesla, but only modestly, while others believe the company could face a third straight year of declining deliveries.
Even so, Tesla continues to hold a strong position in the market. Its Model Y and Model 3 are still among the best-selling electric vehicles in California. However, the company’s aging lineup is starting to hurt its appeal, especially as competition increases. Therefore, with weaker car sales and less revenue from regulatory credits, Tesla may need to rely more on its energy business to support profits. Nevertheless, investors will soon get a better picture of the company’s plans and finances as Tesla is set to report earnings tomorrow after the market closes.
What Is the Prediction for TSLA Stock?
Turning to Wall Street, analysts have a Hold consensus rating on TSLA stock based on 13 Buys, 11 Holds, and six Sells assigned in the past three months, as indicated by the graphic below. Furthermore, the average TSLA price target of $403.13 per share implies 3.6% upside potential.


