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S&P 500 Shrugs Off Resilient Jobless Claims Data

Story Highlights
  • The S&P 500 is in the red, despite better-than-expected initial jobless claims.
  • Continuing jobless claims were slightly above expectations.
S&P 500 Shrugs Off Resilient Jobless Claims Data

The S&P 500 (SPX) is trading slightly lower on Thursday following the release of new jobs data from the Department of Labor.

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For the week ended April 11, initial jobless claims fell by 11,000 to 207,000, below the consensus estimate of 213,000. Continuing jobless claims, which trail initial claims by a week, rose by 31,000 to 1.818 million and were slightly above the expectation of 1.81 million. Initial jobless claims serve as a gauge of layoffs, while continuing jobless claims track the number of people receiving unemployment benefits and reflect ongoing unemployment.

Labor Market Holds Steady amid U.S.-Iran War

Both jobless claims and continuing jobless claims have remained in a tight trend for several weeks, signaling a theme of employers being hesitant to fire and hire employees. It also shows that the economic effects of the U.S.-Iran war haven’t severely impacted the labor market.

“Weekly jobless claims are perhaps the best real-time pulse check on US jobs, and this morning, they’re signaling a continued resilient labor market,” said economist Mohamed A. El-Erian.

Rate cut odds rose following the data, with the odds of a 25 bps reduction by year-end climbing to 28.8% from 27.9% a day ago on the CME FedWatch tool.

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