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S&P 500 Price Target Boosted to 7,650 by Barclays with ‘Bumpy’ Road Ahead

Story Highlights
  • Barclays raised its year-end S&P 500 price target to 7,650 from 7,400.
  • The firm highlighted several risks, including the U.S.-Iran war, private credit redemptions, and higher oil prices.
S&P 500 Price Target Boosted to 7,650 by Barclays with ‘Bumpy’ Road Ahead

Barclays raised its 2026 S&P 500 (SPX) price target to 7,650 from 7,400 on Tuesday, implying upside of nearly 17% from current levels. The firm also raised its earnings estimate to $321 per share, up from $305.

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However, the firm warned of near-term volatility driven by the U.S.-Iran war, AI disruptions, and weakness in the private credit market. “We are incrementally bullish ​on US equities, though the road likely stays bumpy until we ​turn a corner,” said Barclays Strategist Venu Krishna.

Barclays Sets S&P 500 Bear Case Price Target to 5,900

Barclays set its bear case price target to 5,900, which signals downside of 10% from current prices. The firm noted that rising oil prices could lift inflation and force the Fed into an “unenviable ​corner.” It also highlighted growing redemption pressure in private credit funds as a risk that could deepen the downturn if sentiment deteriorates.

Still, Barclays believes that the current cycle in the stock market will be able to overpower any negative catalysts, with technology acting as a “secular growth engine.”

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