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SoundHound AI (SOUN) vs. BigBear.ai (BBAI): Which Small-Cap AI Stock Has More Upside?

Story Highlights
  • SoundHound AI and BigBear.ai are small-cap pure-play AI stocks.
  • Here, we break down their strengths, potential upside, and which stock could deliver bigger gains for investors in 2026.
SoundHound AI (SOUN) vs. BigBear.ai (BBAI): Which Small-Cap AI Stock Has More Upside?

The AI sector is growing rapidly but remains highly volatile, making it challenging for investors to pick the right stocks. In this article, we compare two popular small-cap AI names: SoundHound AI (SOUN) and BigBear.ai (BBAI). Using TipRanks’ Stock Comparison Tool, we compared SOUN and BBAI to see which AI stock analysts favor. SOUN carries a Strong Buy rating with a potential upside of over 120%, while BBAI has a Moderate Buy rating and more than 55% upside, highlighting the differing growth prospects for these two AI players.

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Both SoundHound and BigBear.ai are AI-focused, but they serve very different markets, resulting in distinct investment profiles. SoundHound AI is best known for its voice and conversational AI technology, often used in cars and consumer applications. In contrast, BigBear.ai provides data-driven intelligence solutions, with a strong focus on national security and government contracts. Year-to-date, both stocks are down over 30%.

SOUN and BBAI: Valuation Concerns and Risks

SoundHound has seen strong revenue growth of almost 100% over the past year, fueled by rising demand for its voice AI technology. Yet the stock has struggled, as investors remain concerned about profitability, intense AI competition, and whether the company can maintain its rapid growth. Meanwhile, BigBear’s heavy reliance on government contracts makes revenue unpredictable, and profit margins remain thin, adding a layer of risk for investors.

In terms of valuation, both SOUN and BBAI trade at high price-to-sales multiples, reflecting strong growth expectations but leaving little room for error. Any slowdown or increased competition could significantly impact their stock prices.

Notably, SOUN has a trailing twelve-month (TTM) price-to-sales ratio of 16.03, far above the sector average of 3.19. BBAI stock, on the other hand, appears cheaper with a price-to-sales ratio of 9.61.

Is SOUN a Good Investment?

H.C. Wainwright analyst Scott Buck keeps a Street-high $20 price target on SOUN stock, citing strong organic growth from new contracts and customer renewals across multiple industries. He noted the company aims for adjusted EBITDA break-even by late 2026 while continuing to prioritize growth—a strategy that may pressure near-term margins but supports long-term revenue expansion.

Meanwhile, D.A. Davidson’s four-star analyst Gil Luria pointed to SoundHound’s healthy current ratio of 4.59. He said the company’s core voice AI business remains solid and could be undervalued after the recent market selloff.

Is BBAI a Good Stock to Buy?

BigBear.ai could be a buy for growth-focused investors, as analysts highlight its improving balance sheet, strong backlog growth, and upside potential. However, it’s a volatile small-cap AI stock with execution risks, so it’s best suited for investors comfortable with high-risk, high-reward plays.

For BigBear.ai, Buck highlighted the company’s improved balance sheet after its latest results, giving it greater flexibility to fund growth. Buck is currently the only analyst with a Buy rating on BBAI, projecting a 75% upside. Meanwhile, Cantor Fitzgerald’s Jonathan Ruykhaver highlighted BigBear.ai’s fiscal 2026 revenue guidance of $135 million to $165 million, implying approximately 17% growth at the midpoint. He has a Hold rating on BBAI stock.

Conclusion

Overall, SoundHound AI (SOUN) appears stronger, supported by better financial performance, consistent execution, and solid analyst confidence. While BigBear.ai (BBAI) may seem cheaper, its slower growth and higher uncertainty make it riskier. Both are high-risk small-cap AI stocks, but SOUN currently presents the more attractive long-term opportunity.

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