tiprankstipranks
Advertisement
Advertisement

Sell Rating on Allison Transmission Driven by Weaker 2026 Profitability Outlook, Margin Pressures, and Stretched Valuation

Sell Rating on Allison Transmission Driven by Weaker 2026 Profitability Outlook, Margin Pressures, and Stretched Valuation

Analyst Sherif El-Sabbahy of Bank of America Securities reiterated a Sell rating on Allison Transmission Holdings, boosting the price target to $95.00.

Meet Samuel – Your Personal Investing Prophet

Sherif El-Sabbahy has given his Sell rating due to a combination of factors related to Allison Transmission’s outlook and valuation. While the company delivered stronger-than-expected Q4 revenue and EBITDA, the initial 2026 guidance for profitability came in below market forecasts, with tariffs and weaker North American On-Highway and Off-Highway demand expected to weigh on margins and mix.

Management’s 2026 EBITDA and free cash flow projections trail consensus despite a sales forecast that is modestly ahead, highlighting pressure on earnings quality rather than topline growth. El-Sabbahy also views the current trading multiple as stretched relative to his $95 price objective, especially in light of integration risks, greater exposure to Europe and Off-Highway, and the expectation that key end markets are at or near cyclical troughs, limiting near-term upside.

According to TipRanks, El-Sabbahy is a 4-star analyst with an average return of 9.1% and a 54.21% success rate. El-Sabbahy covers the Industrials sector, focusing on stocks such as Quanta Services, Blue Bird, and Legence Corp. Class A.

Disclaimer & DisclosureReport an Issue

1