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Positive Outlook for United Utilities: Buy Rating Justified by Strong FY26 Guidance and Ambitious Outperformance Targets

Sarah Lester, an analyst from Morgan Stanley, maintained the Buy rating on United Utilities (UUResearch Report). The associated price target is p1,300.00.

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Sarah Lester’s rating is based on several factors that suggest a positive outlook for United Utilities. The company’s initial guidance for FY26 indicates potential for upward pressure on consensus net income, with expectations of an 8% increase above consensus estimates. This is primarily due to lower operating expenses and a nil tax charge, contrasting with the consensus expectation of a 7% tax rate.
Additionally, United Utilities has set an ambitious outperformance target for the new regulatory period, aiming for a return on regulated equity of at least 8.2% in nominal terms. While the company anticipates being in penalty territory for customer outcome delivery incentives in the first year, it expects performance improvements moving forward. These factors contribute to a favorable investment outlook, justifying the Buy rating.

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