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Neutral Rating Maintained on Weather-Driven Headwinds and Fair Valuation for Vail Resorts

Neutral Rating Maintained on Weather-Driven Headwinds and Fair Valuation for Vail Resorts

Shaun Kelley, an analyst from Bank of America Securities, maintained the Hold rating on Vail Resorts. The associated price target remains the same with $165.00.

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Shaun Kelley has given his Hold rating due to a combination of factors that leave the risk‑reward profile fairly balanced. Season-to-date snowfall across Vail’s key Western resorts is running well below both last year and historical norms, which has translated into reduced terrain openings and weaker visitation trends overall. While the Northeast resorts are performing well with higher snowfall and increased guest visits, this strength has not been sufficient to offset the underperformance in major destination markets such as Colorado, Tahoe, and Park City.

Kelley also notes that the stock’s current price already reflects a meaningful portion of these weather-related challenges, limiting near-term upside relative to his price objective. Consensus earnings expectations remain intact, suggesting no immediate earnings inflection that would justify a more constructive stance. Given the combination of subdued early-season metrics, regional divergence in performance, and a valuation that appears roughly fair, he concludes that a Neutral (Hold) rating is appropriate at this time, pending clearer visibility on snowfall and visitation recovery through the rest of the season.

In another report released on December 11, J.P. Morgan also maintained a Hold rating on the stock with a $172.00 price target.

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