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Buy Rating on Chemring Driven by Structural Growth Visibility and EPS Acceleration Despite Transitional FY26

Buy Rating on Chemring Driven by Structural Growth Visibility and EPS Acceleration Despite Transitional FY26

Jefferies analyst David Farrell maintained a Buy rating on Chemring today and set a price target of p660.00.

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David Farrell has given his Buy rating due to a combination of factors related to Chemring’s medium-term growth outlook and earnings trajectory. He expects the company’s valuation to improve through 2026 as the market begins to price in two successive years of earnings per share expansion above 25% in FY27 and FY28, supported by execution of the Energetics capacity build-out and a renewed period of robust growth at Roke.

At the same time, Farrell characterizes FY26 as a transitional year rather than a catalyst for immediate forecast upgrades, noting that the upcoming AGM trading statement is unlikely to materially reduce risk around near-term estimates. Despite this lack of a short-term de‑risking event and the company having entered the year with its leanest revenue coverage since 2020, he believes the visibility on structural growth from key programmes justifies a positive stance on the shares.

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