Polymarket has shared an update.
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The company reports that trading activity on its prediction markets currently assigns a 66% probability that Morgan Stanley will lead a potential SpaceX IPO, ahead of Goldman Sachs at 19% and JPMorgan Chase at 10%. The post also highlights that SpaceX has been valued in private markets at around $800 billion, with Polymarket traders assigning a 69% probability that the company will debut as a public entity with a market capitalization above $1 trillion.
For investors, this update underscores Polymarket’s role as a platform for real‑time, market-based expectations on major financial events, including what could be one of the largest IPOs in history. While the post centers on SpaceX and prospective underwriters, it indirectly signals growing user engagement and liquidity around high-profile corporate events on Polymarket’s platform, factors that can support transaction volume and revenue growth if sustained. The association with widely followed names such as SpaceX, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, and JPMorgan may enhance Polymarket’s visibility among sophisticated traders and institutional observers, potentially strengthening its competitive position within prediction and event-driven markets. However, the figures cited are market-implied probabilities on Polymarket rather than confirmed corporate decisions, and investors should treat them as indicators of sentiment rather than definitive outcomes.