Polymarket Odds: Will TSLA, META, MSFT Beat Earnings Tomorrow?

Three members of the Magnificent 7, Tesla (TSLA), Meta Platforms (META), and Microsoft (MSFT), will report their earnings for the period ended December 31 on Wednesday after the closing bell. Traders are already weighing in on their expectations through Polymarket.

• Tesla is expected to report an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of 45 cents
• Meta Platforms is expected to report an EPS of $8.19
• Microsoft is expected to report an EPS of $3.85

What is Polymarket?

Polymarket is a prediction platform where traders bet on the outcomes of real-world events, including earnings reports, elections, and economic indicators. Polymarket odds reflect expectations and can provide insight into investor sentiment.

Will Tesla (TSLA) Beat Earnings?

Since 2024, Tesla has beaten earnings twice while falling short six times. Polymarket traders assign 31% odds that the electric vehicle company will be able to top its estimated adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of 45 cents.

Will Meta Platforms (META) Beat Earnings?

Polymarket traders are much more confident in Meta Platform’s earnings, giving the company 91% odds of beating its estimated EPS of $8.19. Since 2024, the social media platform has beaten earnings seven times and has only fallen short once during the previous quarter.

Will Microsoft (MSFT) Beat Earnings?

Polymarket shows that Microsoft has the strongest chance of beating earnings among the group, with a 94% probability of posting an EPS above $3.85. The tech company has beaten earnings every single quarter since 2024.

It’s worth pointing out that Polymarket odds reflect expectations, not guaranteed outcomes. The odds represent the views and expectations of traders, but actual earnings results can differ significantly from these predictions. Investors should treat Polymarket data as just one tool when evaluating their investment decisions.