Oklo (OKLO) stock declined 4.6% on Tuesday, after Wolfe Research analyst Steve Fleishman initiated coverage of the small modular nuclear reactor company with a Hold rating. The analyst sees a fair value for Oklo stock in the range of $51 to $71, noting “OKLO’s plans seem ambitious, but potential if achieved is what has investors captivated.”
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Two ETFs to trade SMR long or short: SMU & SMZThe company recently reported a wider net loss of $0.19 per share for Q1 2026, compared to $0.07 in the prior-year quarter. OKLO stock is down 22% year-to-date.
Wolfe Research Weighs in on OKLO Stock
Fleishman noted that OKLO is “perhaps the most recognized name in the small modular reactor (SMR) space,” with strong ties with the Trump administration. Notably, the Department of Energy (DOE) head, Chris Wright, is a former board member and investor. The 4-star analyst noted that Oklo plans to bring its first commercial-scale Generation IV nuclear reactor at Aurora INL into service in 2028.
While Oklo’s order backlog is largely driven by data center operator Switch, Fleishman highlighted the addition of social media giant Meta Platforms (META) as a customer earlier this year. The analyst emphasized that unlike its peers, Oklo plans to build, own, and operate its nuclear power plants directly. While Oklo offers stronger recurring revenue potential, Fleishman noted that its vertically integrated model requires significant capital investment, leading to major equity fundraising ($2.5 billion in equity issuance in 2025 followed by last week’s $1 billion at-the-money offering).
Fleishman thinks that the key challenge is whether Oklo can meet its ambitious timeline and cost targets for commercial deployment. He added that the company is expected to provide updates on these aspects at an Analyst Day later this year.
While demand for 24×7 clean energy from hyperscalers is expected to remain strong, Fleishman contends that execution on costs and timelines will be critical for Oklo. He thinks that valuation potential remains wide as SMR companies are still largely pre-revenue. While Oklo’s order book looks more compelling than NuScale Power (SMR), Fleishman sees strong competition from the partnership between X-Energy (XE) and Amazon (AMZN).
Is OKLO Stock a Good Buy?
Currently, Wall Street has a Moderate Buy consensus rating on Oklo stock based on 10 Buys and seven Holds. The average OKLO stock price target of $90 implies 61.1% upside potential.
