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July Rate Cut Gets Nod from Fed’s Waller

July Rate Cut Gets Nod from Fed’s Waller

Fed Governor Christopher Waller has reiterated his support for a rate cut at the July 29-30 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, arguing that President Trump’s tariffs will result in a one-time price increase and won’t contribute to persistent inflation. He also said that the unemployment rate remains healthy near its long-run level.

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“The policy rate is still pretty restrictive. We can lower that,” said Waller at a Dallas Fed event on Thursday.

Fed Split on When to Cut Rates in 2025

The Fed released the minutes from its June 17-18 meeting on Wednesday, showing that most policymakers supported rate cuts in 2025 while “some” supported no cuts because inflation is still above 2%. At the same time, the officials have differing opinions on when to cut rates in 2025. Only a “couple” of Fed members supported a July rate cut, likely referring to Fed Governors Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman.

A rate cut is unlikely to happen this month, with CME’s FedWatch tool assigning a slim 6.7% chance for a 25 bps reduction.

Track the federal funds rate and other key economic metrics with TipRanks’ Economic Indicators Dashboard.

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