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YPF Posts Higher EBITDA but Swings to Loss on Softer 2025 Output and Prices

Story Highlights
  • YPF’s 2025 results showed lower revenue but higher EBITDA, with net losses and rising leverage despite positive fourth-quarter free cash flow.
  • Hydrocarbon output fell on weaker gas volumes and prices, while shale oil, refining utilization, and local fuel sales strengthened YPF’s downstream profile.
  • Looking for the best stocks to buy? Follow the recommendations of top-performing analysts.
YPF Posts Higher EBITDA but Swings to Loss on Softer 2025 Output and Prices

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YPF Sociedad Anonima ( (YPF) ) just unveiled an announcement.

YPF reported its full-year 2025 and fourth-quarter 2025 results to the Argentine securities regulator on February 26, 2026, showing slightly lower annual revenues but higher adjusted EBITDA and a return to net losses after a profitable 2024. The company ended 2025 with increased net debt and leverage, while still generating positive fourth-quarter free cash flow and moderating annual capital expenditures.

Operationally, YPF’s 2025 hydrocarbon production declined modestly, driven mainly by lower natural gas volumes and prices, even as crude oil output and shale oil production grew strongly year over year. Refining and downstream performance improved, with higher crude processing, refinery utilization near full capacity in the fourth quarter, and increased local fuel sales, underscoring YPF’s stronger downstream positioning despite upstream and pricing headwinds.

The most recent analyst rating on (YPF) stock is a Buy with a $54.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on YPF Sociedad Anonima stock, see the YPF Stock Forecast page.

Spark’s Take on YPF Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, YPF is a Neutral.

YPF’s overall score reflects significant challenges in financial performance, particularly in profitability and cash flow. However, strong operational achievements in shale oil production and strategic initiatives provide a positive outlook. The technical analysis suggests potential bullish momentum, but valuation concerns remain due to ongoing losses.

To see Spark’s full report on YPF stock, click here.

More about YPF Sociedad Anonima

YPF Sociedad Anónima is Argentina’s flagship integrated energy company, operating across the oil and gas value chain from upstream exploration and production to refining, petrochemicals, and fuel marketing. It plays a central role in the domestic hydrocarbons market and is a key developer of the country’s shale resources, particularly in the Vaca Muerta formation, while also serving export markets for crude and related products.

Average Trading Volume: 1,311,241

Technical Sentiment Signal: Strong Buy

Current Market Cap: $15.46B

For detailed information about YPF stock, go to TipRanks’ Stock Analysis page.

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