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SouthState Corporation Earnings Call Highlights Growth Momentum

SouthState Corporation Earnings Call Highlights Growth Momentum

SouthState Corporation ((SSB)) has held its Q4 earnings call. Read on for the main highlights of the call.

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SouthState Corporation Signals Confident Path After Strong Year and Major Integration

SouthState Corporation’s latest earnings call struck an overall upbeat tone, underscored by robust earnings growth, rising tangible book value, and healthy capital levels, all while digesting a large acquisition. Management acknowledged some near-term headwinds—most notably lower accretion income, modest pressure on loan yields, a seasonal bump in expenses, and a one-off elevated payout ratio—but repeatedly emphasized that core profitability, balance sheet strength, and loan production momentum provide a solid foundation for continued shareholder returns and disciplined growth into 2026.

Strong EPS, Profitability, and Returns on Tangible Equity

SouthState highlighted a standout earnings year, with 2025 earnings per share up more than 30% excluding merger costs, full-year EPS of $9.50, and fourth-quarter EPS of $2.47. Pre-provision net revenue reached $323 million in Q4 and $1.27 billion for the year, supporting a return on tangible common equity of about 20%. This level of profitability places the bank firmly in the top tier of regional peers and gives management ample flexibility to both invest in growth and return capital to shareholders.

Tangible Book Value Growth and Robust Capital Returns

The company reported roughly 10% growth in tangible book value per share over 2025, a key measure closely watched by bank investors. Management complemented this with an 11% dividend increase in July and aggressive share repurchases—about 2 million shares, or roughly 2% of the company, in the fourth quarter alone and about 2.4% for the full year. Despite this capital return, regulatory capital remained strong, with a tangible common equity ratio of 8.8% and CET1 at 11.4%, signaling capacity to continue rewarding shareholders while supporting balance sheet expansion.

Loan and Deposit Growth Accelerate, with Record Production

Balance sheet momentum was a central theme. In the fourth quarter, loans and deposits both grew at an 8% annualized pace, underscored by record quarterly loan production of $3.9 billion—up 16% from the prior quarter. The loan pipeline expanded sharply from about $3.4 billion to around $5.0 billion during 2025, pointing to sustained demand. The newer Texas and Colorado markets were particularly strong, delivering $888 million of Q4 production (up from $775 million in Q3) and seeing their local pipeline swell from $800 million to $1.2 billion, reinforcing the strategic value of the expansion.

Net Interest Margin and Funding Costs Track Expectations

Net interest margin (NIM) performance remained aligned with guidance, with a tax-equivalent NIM of 3.86% in the fourth quarter, right in the stated 3.80%–3.90% range. The overall loan yield came in at 6.13%, down 35 basis points sequentially, while new originations carried an average coupon of roughly 6.06%. On the funding side, deposit costs declined 9 basis points to 1.82%, and total cost of funds fell 14 basis points, reflecting some relief on the liability side. Management reiterated confidence in keeping NIM within the 3.80%–3.90% corridor into 2026, even under a conservative rate and deposit-cost framework.

Noninterest Income Growth and Sub-50% Efficiency Ratio

SouthState’s noninterest income provided another source of strength. Q4 noninterest income rose to $106 million, up $7 million quarter over quarter, with correspondent Capital Markets contributing a solid $31 million in what management characterized as one of its better quarters. For the full year, noninterest income totaled $1.407 billion, and executives are targeting roughly 4% growth in 2026, driven by investment in revenue-producing talent and businesses. Importantly, the efficiency ratio remained below 50% for both the quarter and the year, underscoring strong cost discipline and operating leverage.

Disciplined Integration of Independent Financial Acquisition

A major storyline was the successful integration of the Independent Financial acquisition. Management reported a “clean” systems conversion and indicated that key regulatory and operational hurdles are behind them. The bank met its 2025 goals around conversion execution, delivering on cost savings, and reaccelerating growth by the fourth quarter. This disciplined approach to integration has enabled SouthState to scale in attractive markets without sacrificing profitability or risk controls.

Expanded Buyback Authorization and Valuation Opportunity

The board significantly expanded the company’s share repurchase capacity, authorizing roughly 5.56 million additional shares on top of about 560,000 shares remaining under the prior plan. SouthState repurchased approximately 2 million shares in Q4 at an average price near $90.65, signaling management’s conviction that the stock trades below intrinsic value. While management intends to remain active with buybacks, they stressed that repurchases will be opportunistic and balanced against capital needs and growth opportunities.

Loan Repricing Tailwinds Support Future Margin

Management highlighted a favorable net repricing profile that should support earnings as rates evolve. Roughly $4.3 billion of legacy fixed-rate loans are set to reprice over the next 12 months at around 5.06%, while about $2.0 billion in the legacy Independent portfolio is expected to reset from approximately 7.25% to 6.25%. Even after lower coupons on part of the book, the company estimates a net positive repricing tailwind on roughly $2.3 billion of balances with about a 1% positive rate differential, depending on the shape of the yield curve. This embedded asset sensitivity helps offset pressure from lower market rates.

Accretion Income Declines but Material Discount Remains

Accretion income, a non-core but meaningful earnings contributor after acquisitions, fell to $50 million in Q4, down $33 million from the prior quarter. Management emphasized that about $260 million of loan discount remains to be accreted over time, though the precise timing and impact on net interest income will depend on prepayments and portfolio behavior. While the sequential decline created some near-term earnings drag, the remaining accretion still offers a cushion to core NII over the coming years.

Net Interest Income and Loan Yield Under Near-Term Pressure

Fourth-quarter net interest income was $581 million, down $19 million from Q3; however, excluding accretion, NII actually increased by $14 million. The headline pressure was primarily due to the step down in accretion and a 35-basis-point decline in reported loan yields to 6.13%. Management framed these headwinds as manageable given underlying loan growth, improving funding costs, and the positive repricing dynamics within the portfolio.

Seasonally Higher Fourth-Quarter Expenses

Noninterest expenses rose in Q4, driven largely by performance- and commission-based compensation, which together increased by about $6 million quarter over quarter, and stepped-up marketing and business development spending, which also added roughly $6 million. Hiring and growth initiatives contributed to the uptick as well. Management attributed much of the increase to typical fourth-quarter seasonality and the timing of growth investments, and implied that the elevated run-rate is not a new baseline for ongoing expense growth.

Elevated Quarterly Payout Ratio Not Expected to Persist

The combination of dividends and buybacks led to a near-100% total payout ratio in the fourth quarter—around 97%—a level management described as higher than appropriate for a growing franchise. Executives emphasized that this was not intended as a new norm and that the payout ratio is expected to normalize over time. Future repurchases will remain an important tool but will be moderated by share price, capital strength, and loan growth opportunities, aligning with a more sustainable long-term payout philosophy.

Substandard Loan Uptick Concentrated in Multifamily Lease-Up

Credit quality remained generally sound, though the company did note an increase in substandard loans in Q4. This move was driven by a small number of multifamily properties still in lease-up. Management stressed that approximately 99% of substandard loans are current on payments, and those multifamily credits have a weighted-average loan-to-value of around 52%, providing a significant equity cushion. While not a source of immediate concern, the category is under close monitoring as part of SouthState’s conservative credit oversight.

Allowance and Provision Commentary Suggest Low but Normalizing Credit Costs

The call included a reference to a quarterly provision expense figure that appears inconsistent with other data points, suggesting a possible transcription or scaling error rather than an actual spike in credit costs. Management’s broader commentary reinforced that credit costs remain low and that future provisioning will be driven primarily by loan growth and net charge-offs, rather than large swings in reserve methodology. They also noted that downward pressure on the allowance for credit losses should ease as the mix shift from purchased credit-deteriorated loans slows.

Guidance Underscores Stable Margins, Mid-Single-Digit Growth, and Active Capital Return

Looking ahead, SouthState guided to a stable 2026 net interest margin in the 3.80%–3.90% range, assuming three rate cuts and average interest-earning assets of $61–62 billion (starting the year around $60–60.5 billion). Loan growth is expected in the mid- to upper-single-digit range, supported by a strong pipeline and new loan coupons around 6% (slightly higher in Texas and Colorado). The bank anticipates deposit costs near 1.75% in Q1, with an eventual deposit beta around 27%, and sees loan accretion of about $125 million for 2026, with approximately $260 million still to be recognized over time. Noninterest income is projected to grow roughly 4% from 2025’s $1.407 billion, and management aims to keep the efficiency ratio below 50% while maintaining solid asset quality—net charge-offs were just 9 basis points in Q4 and 11 basis points for the year. Capital remains strong, with TCE at 8.8% and CET1 at 11.4%, supporting an “active but balanced” buyback program and a longer-term payout target in the 40%–60% range.

In sum, SouthState’s earnings call painted the picture of a high-performing regional bank that has executed well on a major acquisition while delivering strong earnings, tangible book value growth, and meaningful capital returns. Near-term headwinds from lower accretion, modest loan yield compression, and seasonal expenses were acknowledged but framed as manageable against the backdrop of solid credit quality, robust loan production, and favorable repricing dynamics. For investors, the story is one of steady, profitable growth backed by conservative assumptions and disciplined capital allocation, with management signaling confidence that 2026 will extend the bank’s positive momentum.

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