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Repsol’s Return to Venezuela Highlights Potential Supply Shift for Oil Markets

Repsol’s Return to Venezuela Highlights Potential Supply Shift for Oil Markets

Spain’s Repsol is set to resume operations in Venezuela under newly granted U.S. licenses, aiming to lift joint crude output by 50% from current levels of around 45,000 barrels per day and triple production within three years. The move underscores efforts to revive Venezuelan supply and could influence medium-term pricing dynamics for Oil – Brent Crude, Oil – US Crude, and potentially associated Natural Gas flows as infrastructure and contractual conditions stabilize.

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Over the past month, Brent has fallen about 6.7%, while WTI is down roughly 4.9%, reflecting softer demand expectations and a reassessment of geopolitical risk, with both showing a near-term Hold and Hold technical bias, respectively. Natural gas has dropped about 14.5% over the same period amid ample supply and mild weather patterns, and its one-day technical stance screens as Sell, signaling lingering downside pressure despite potential long-run support from any incremental Venezuelan output gains.

Investors can explore more updates, prices, and analysis across global markets at Commodities.

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