An effective shutdown of the Strait of Hormuz following U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran is disrupting up to a fifth of global crude and refined product flows, with refined fuels facing sharper constraints than crude itself. Benchmark futures for Oil – Brent Crude and Oil – US Crude have reacted to the heightened supply risk, underscoring vulnerabilities for fuel-import-dependent economies.
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Over the past month, Brent has climbed about 51.9%, while U.S. crude has surged roughly 56.4%, reflecting a significant geopolitical risk premium rather than demand-driven strength. Technicals show a short-term momentum bias, with Brent flashing a 1-day Buy signal and U.S. crude also registering a 1-day Buy signal, suggesting trend-following strategies remain in favor while volatility stays elevated.
Investors can explore more updates, prices, and analysis across global markets at Commodities.

