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Coinbase Stock (COIN) Drops after Its Forecast Gets Slashed by Barclays Analyst on ‘A Narrower Path to Outperformance’

Story Highlights
  • Barclays analyst Benjamin Budish reiterated a Hold rating on Coinbase stock today with a $148 price target.

  • The report highlights “a narrower path to outperformance” as the company faces high expectations and a more crowded market.

Coinbase Stock (COIN) Drops after Its Forecast Gets Slashed by Barclays Analyst on ‘A Narrower Path to Outperformance’

The leading U.S. crypto exchange is facing a more cautious outlook from one of the world’s biggest banks. On Thursday, April 2, 2026, Coinbase stock (COIN) came under pressure after analysts suggested that the company’s recent rally might be running out of steam. COIN stock dropped 3.7% in pre-market trading after Barclays (BCS) reiterated its Hold rating on the stock. While the crypto market has been active, experts warn that the stock’s current price may be asking for too much, too soon.

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Barclays Maintains Hold Rating

Analyst Benjamin Budish from Barclays reiterated his Hold rating on Coinbase today. He kept a price target of $148, which is about 14.5% lower than where the stock is currently trading.

In his report from this morning, Budish explained that while Coinbase is a leader in the space, it faces a tougher environment ahead. He stated that there is now “a narrower path to outperformance” for the stock. He noted that for Coinbase to keep beating expectations, it needs a perfect mix of high trading volumes and rising crypto prices, which is getting harder to sustain.

Coinbase Expands Its Revenue Streams

Despite the cautious rating, the company is not standing still. Management has been working hard to move beyond just charging fees for trades. Coinbase is growing its Subscription and Services business, which includes things like the USDC stablecoin (USDC-USD) and interest earned from storing assets for big institutions.

In his report, Budish acknowledged these efforts but remained focused on the risks. He mentioned that while these new businesses are helpful, the company’s success still relies heavily on the overall mood of the crypto market. He wrote that the firm is “still largely tied to broader digital asset sentiment,” meaning if Bitcoin (BTC-USD) or Ethereum (ETH-USD) take a hit, Coinbase likely will too.

New Rivals Challenge the Crypto Market

Investors are also watching how newer rivals are trying to take a piece of the pie. With more traditional banks and apps offering crypto services, Coinbase has to spend more money on marketing and technology to keep its customers.

This increased competition is another reason why Barclays is staying on the sidelines for now. While some other analysts on Wall Street are more bullish, Budish’s report suggests that at $172.99, the stock might be fairly valued given the risks.

Is Coinbase a Good Stock to Buy?

According to TipRanks, Coinbase stock (COIN) has a consensus Moderate Buy rating among 24 Wall Street analysts. This rating is based on 18 Buys, five Holds and one Sell rating assigned in the past three months. The average 12-month COIN price target of $256.81 implies 48.45% upside from current levels.

See more COIN analyst ratings

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