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Bitcoin Demand Drops to Four-Month Low as ETFs Sell, Risking Slide Toward $65,000

Story Highlights
  • Bitcoin demand has dropped to its lowest level in four months at -3,138 BTC, and cooling interest from ETF investors is raising the risk of a longer period of price stagnation.
  • The market is currently testing the “true market mean” at $78,300, a key level that may require months of steady trading before Bitcoin can confirm a new long-term upward trend.
Bitcoin Demand Drops to Four-Month Low as ETFs Sell, Risking Slide Toward $65,000

Bitcoin is hitting a wall. After a strong run, Bitcoin’s price (BTC-USD) is struggling to stay above $80,000, and new data shows that the hunger for the asset among buyers is fading. With demand hitting its lowest point in four months, dropping to -3,138 BTC, analysts are warning that the market could be heading for a long, quiet period of sideways movement, or potentially even a price drop down to $65,000.

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Bitcoin Demand Cools Across the Board

The current lack of interest is visible in several key areas. According to the “Bitcoin Apparent Demand” metric from Capriole Investments, demand has shifted into a net contraction. Spot market activity, which tracks actual buying and selling on exchanges, has also weakened, with research firm Glassnode noting that buyers are not stepping in with much force at these current price levels.

This trend is mirrored in U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs, which have recently seen investors retreat and sell off holdings to take profits. This lack of aggressive buying is a common sign that the market may need more time to cool down before it can climb higher.

Analysts Examine the ‘True Market Mean’

Bitcoin is currently hovering around a key price point known as the “true market mean,” which sits at $78,300. This level is widely watched because it represents the average cost at which Bitcoin is being traded.

History shows that this line acts like a dividing wall between bear and bull markets. In 2021, Bitcoin spent over six months moving sideways around this exact level before it finally broke out into a major rally. Glassnode analysts point out that it is normal for the market to need weeks or even months of steady, boring price action around this level to build a strong foundation for the next big move. If the price fails to hold here, analysts warn that the recent rally might just be a temporary peak, opening the door for a deeper correction in the coming weeks.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price is sitting at $77,116.

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