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AAPL, AMZN, GOOGL, MSFT: Which Magnificent Seven Stock Is Options Market Betting Will Move Most?

AAPL, AMZN, GOOGL, MSFT: Which Magnificent Seven Stock Is Options Market Betting Will Move Most?

With another big earnings week ahead, options traders are betting on which of the four “Magnificent Seven” stocks, including Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN), Apple (AAPL), and Alphabet (GOOGL), will move the most. Implied moves, based on at-the-money straddle pricing, show a clear picture of market expectations. Overall, the options market is pricing in the largest expected move for MSFT at 6.77%, followed closely by GOOGL at 5.81%. AAPL follows with expected swings of 4.24%, while AMZN remains the most stable with a 3.28% implied move.

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Microsoft, Amazon, and Alphabet are set to release results on Wednesday, April 29, with Apple following on Thursday, April 30.

Here’s Why Microsoft Tops the List

Microsoft’s implied 6.77% move in either direction after its earnings release on April 29 stands out. Investors are watching key AI metrics, including Azure cloud growth as Microsoft brings more AI capacity online, Copilot subscriber momentum, and updates on broader AI spending plans. These factors add uncertainty and, therefore, volatility to the stock.

MSFT stock’s recent performance adds to the setup. Shares are still down about 12% for the year, making investors more sensitive to any surprises in guidance or AI‑related comments.

Amazon Stock: Calmest of the Group

Amazon’s implied move of just ±3.28% is by far the smallest among the mega‑caps, unusually low for a company that has historically shown meaningful post‑earnings volatility.

Options traders are signaling a steady quarter with limited expectations for big surprises in AWS growth or retail margins. The muted pricing reflects lower volatility, fewer near‑term risks, and a more stable outlook compared with Amazon’s past earnings swings.

What Is the Best Magnificent Seven Stock to Buy?

We used TipRanks’ Comparison Tool to see which of the “Magnificent Seven” stocks analysts favor. According to analysts, MSFT stock has the highest upside potential of 35.16%.

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