Public companies are required to disclose risks that can affect the business and impact the stock. These disclosures are known as “Risk Factors”. Companies disclose these risks in their yearly (Form 10-K), quarterly earnings (Form 10-Q), or “foreign private issuer” reports (Form 20-F). Risk factors show the challenges a company faces. Investors can consider the worst-case scenarios before making an investment. TipRanks’ Risk Analysis categorizes risks based on proprietary classification algorithms and machine learning.
Qiwi disclosed 82 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Qiwi reported the most risks in the “Legal & Regulatory” category.
Risk Overview Q4, 2022
Risk Distribution
38% Legal & Regulatory
23% Finance & Corporate
20% Macro & Political
7% Production
6% Tech & Innovation
6% Ability to Sell
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
This chart displays the stock's most recent risk distribution according to category. TipRanks has identified 6 major categories: Finance & corporate, legal & regulatory, macro & political, production, tech & innovation, and ability to sell.
Risk Change Over Time
S&P500 Average
Sector Average
Risks removed
Risks added
Risks changed
Qiwi Risk Factors
New Risk (0)
Risk Changed (0)
Risk Removed (0)
No changes from previous report
The chart shows the number of risks a company has disclosed. You can compare this to the sector average or S&P 500 average.
The quarters shown in the chart are according to the calendar year (January to December). Businesses set their own financial calendar, known as a fiscal year. For example, Walmart ends their financial year at the end of January to accommodate the holiday season.
Risk Highlights Q4, 2022
Main Risk Category
Legal & Regulatory
With 31 Risks
Legal & Regulatory
With 31 Risks
Number of Disclosed Risks
82
+8
From last report
S&P 500 Average: 32
82
+8
From last report
S&P 500 Average: 32
Recent Changes
8Risks added
3Risks removed
11Risks changed
Since Dec 2022
8Risks added
3Risks removed
11Risks changed
Since Dec 2022
Number of Risk Changed
11
+7
From last report
S&P 500 Average: 4
11
+7
From last report
S&P 500 Average: 4
See the risk highlights of Qiwi in the last period.
Risk Word Cloud
The most common phrases about risk factors from the most recent report. Larger texts indicate more widely used phrases.
Risk Factors Full Breakdown - Total Risks 82
Legal & Regulatory
Total Risks: 31/82 (38%)Above Sector Average
Regulation14 | 17.1%
Regulation - Risk 1
Regulatory authorities in Russia and Kazakhstan could determine that we hold a dominant position in our markets, and could impose limitations on our operational flexibility, which may adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations.
The Russian anti-monopoly authorities impose various requirements on companies that occupy a dominant position in their markets. One of the important questions is to identify and define the relevant market, in which the entity in question operates. There are numerous aspects to be considered, including interchangeability or substitutability of the products and/or services for the consumer, their pricing and intended use. Different approaches may be applied in this respect by anti-monopoly authorities and the participants of the market. Thus, the state authorities may conclude that we hold a dominant position in one or more of the markets in which we operate. If they were to do so, this could result in limitations on our future acquisitions and a requirement that we pre-clear with the authorities any changes to our standard agreements with merchants and agents, as well as any specially negotiated agreements with business partners. In addition, if we were to decline to conclude a contract with a third party this could, in certain circumstances, be regarded as abuse of a dominant market position. Any abuse of a dominant market position could lead to administrative penalties and the imposition of a fine of up to 15% of our annual revenue for the previous year. These limitations if imposed may reduce our operational and commercial flexibility and responsiveness, which may adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Regulation - Risk 2
Know-your-client requirements established by Russian anti-money laundering legislation may adversely impact our transaction volumes.
Our business is currently subject to know-your-client requirements established by Federal Law of the Russian Federation No. 115-FZ "On Combating the Legalization (Laundering) of Criminally Obtained Income and Funding of Terrorism", dated August 7, 2001, as amended, or the Anti-Money Laundering Law. Based on the Anti-Money Laundering Law we distinguish three types of consumers based on their level of identification, being anonymous, identified through a simplified procedure and fully identified. There can be no assurance that we will always be able to collect all necessary data to perform the identification procedure in full or that the data the users provide us for the purposes of identification will not contain any mistakes or misstatements and will be correctly matched with the information available in the governmental databases. Due to the lack of clarity and gaps existing under the current customer identification legislation, we have to employ a risk-based approach to customer KYC and sometimes make judgment calls in applying anti-money laundering legislation, with the resulting risk of being found in non-compliance with it. Thus, current situation could cause us to be in violation of the identification requirements. In case we are forced to change our approaches to identification procedure or in case the identification requirements are further tightened, it could negatively affect the number of our consumers and, consequently, our volumes and revenues. Additionally, Russian anti-money laundering legislation is in a constant state of development and is subject to varying interpretations. See also "– Our services have been and may continue to be used for fraudulent, illegal or improper purposes, which could expose us to additional liability and harm our business". If we are found to be in non-compliance with any of its requirements, we could not only become subject to fines and other sanctions, but could also have to discontinue to process operations that are deemed to be in breach of the applicable rules and lose associated revenue streams.
Regulation - Risk 3
Acquisitions of Russian entities are subject to pre-closing approval by multiple government authorities which exercise significant discretion as to whether a consent should be granted or not, and are regulated by numerous laws which are often ambiguous and open to varying interpretations.
Due to our ownership of Qiwi Bank, any transactions resulting in the acquisition of more than 50% of voting power of our company or the right to otherwise direct our business activities would become subject to preliminary approval by the CBR. In addition, any acquisition of more than 50% of our voting power may also be subject to a preliminary approval by the Russian Federal Antimonopoly Service, or the FAS. Furthermore, Qiwi Bank holds encryption licenses which are necessary to conduct its operations,and by virtue of this may be deemed to be a "strategic enterprise" for the purposes of the Federal Law of the Russian Federation No. 57-FZ "On the Procedure for Foreign Investments in Enterprises which are Strategically Important for the State Defense and National Security", dated April 29, 2008, as amended, or "the Strategic Enterprise Law". In this case, any acquisition of control over our company would require an approval of a specialized government commission, which is a relatively lengthy process that typically takes between three and six months in practice (see "– Regulation – Regulation of Strategic Investments"). These regulatory approval requirements may have the effect of making a takeover of our company more difficult or less attractive, and may prevent or delay a change of control, which could have a negative impact on the liquidity of, and investor interest in, our ADSs.
Additionally, under Russian law, the depositary may be treated as the owner of the class B shares underlying the ADSs, and therefore, could be deemed a beneficial shareholder of Qiwi Bank. This is different from the way other jurisdictions treat ADSs. As a result, the depositary may be subject to the approval requirements of the CBR, FAS and the government commission described above in the event an amount of our shares representing over 50% of our voting power is deposited in the ADS program. Accordingly, our ADS program may be subject to an effective limit of 50% of our voting power, unless the depositary obtains FAS, CBR and potentially additional government commission approvals to increase its ownership in excess of 50% of our voting power. This could limit our ability to raise capital in the future and the ability of our existing shareholders to sell their ADSs in the public markets, which in turn may impact the liquidity of share capital.
Acquisitions of Russian entities are subject to pre-closing approval by multiple government authorities as described above. Russian government authorities exercise significant discretion as to whether a consent should be granted or not, and are regulated by numerous laws which are often ambiguous and open to varying interpretations which may cause some of our acquisitions to fail or not exercised within expected timelines, causing harm to our business including development of new products.
Regulation - Risk 4
The quota imposed on foreign ownership of Russian banks or IT companies may make a takeover of our company by a foreign purchaser impossible.
Under current Russian law, the Russian government is entitled, upon consultation with the CBR, to propose legislation imposing a quota on foreign ownership in the Russian banking industry, covering both Russian branches of international banks and foreign participation in the charter capital of Russian banks, such as Qiwi Bank. Currently, a 50% quota on foreign ownership is in place, subject to certain exemptions.
Furthermore, in late 2019 a draft legislative bill was submitted to the Russian legislature proposing to restrict ownership by foreign persons of certain key Russian IT companies pursuant to a list to be determined at a later stage to not more than 20% in the aggregate. Since 2021, this draft bill has not been taken into consideration due to strong criticism. However, there can be no assurance that similar measures will not be adopted in the future, as has already happened, for example, to media companies and video content distributors under other laws adopted in Russia in recent years.
If the quota on foreign ownership of Russian banks is exceeded, or if a law restricting foreign ownership of Russian IT companies is adopted, a takeover of our company by a foreign purchaser may become impossible, which could limit, prevent or delay a change of control of our company and in turn could negatively impact the liquidity of our ADSs.
Regulation - Risk 5
Our compliance processes, procedures and controls with respect to the rules and regulations that apply to our business may prove insufficient.
Our business has grown and developed rapidly in recent years and we are continuing to realign our compliance function with the size and scope of our business. In light of the fact that we are a highly regulated business that processes large volumes of payments, we need to have enhanced processes, procedures and controls in order to provide reasonable assurance that we are operating in compliance with applicable regulatory requirements. Given that we store and/or transmit sensitive data of our customers, we have ultimate liability to our customers for our failure to protect this data. We have experienced breaches of our cybersecurity in the past, and future breaches resulting in unauthorized disclosure of data are possible (see "– Our services have been and may continue to be used for fraudulent, illegal or improper purposes, which could expose us to additional liability and harm our business"). In addition, the Russian anti-money laundering laws to which we are subject contain numerous requirements with respect to identification of clients, and documentation and reporting of transactions subject to mandatory control and other suspicious transactions to the relevant authorities.
As of the date of this annual report, we continue to develop and integrate certain control procedures with respect to a number of our projects in order to maintain a comprehensive system of controls and procedures across our business. There can be no assurance, however, that the measures we undertake will be sufficient to prevent significant deficiencies in the compliance procedures and internal controls of our projects, such as RealWeb, acquired in December, 2022, which was excluded from the assessment of the effectiveness of the Group's internal control over financial reporting (see Item 15 "Controls and Procedures"). Our failure to implement and maintain effective internal control over financial reporting could result in errors in our financial statements that could lead to a restatement of our financial statements, cause us to fail to meet our reporting obligations and cause investors to lose confidence in our reported financial information, which may result in a decline in the market price of our ADSs.
Among others, we are subject to the US Foreign Corrupt Practices Act, or the FCPA, which prohibits US companies and their intermediaries from bribing foreign officials for the purpose of obtaining or keeping business or otherwise obtaining favorable treatment, and other laws concerning our international operations. Similar legislation in other jurisdictions contains similar prohibitions, although varying in both scope and jurisdiction. We have implemented policies and procedures and internal controls designed to provide reasonable assurance that we, our employees, distributors and other intermediaries comply with the anti-corruption laws to which we are subject. However, there are inherent limitations to the effectiveness of any policies, procedures and internal controls, including the possibility of human error and the circumvention or overriding of the policies, procedures and internal controls. There can be no assurance that such policies or procedures or internal controls will work effectively at all times or protect us against liability under these or other laws for actions taken by our employees, distributors and other intermediaries with respect to our business or any businesses that we may acquire.
Our success requires significant public confidence in our ability to handle large and growing payment volumes and amounts of customer funds, as well as comply with applicable regulatory requirements. Any failure to manage consumer funds or to comply with applicable regulatory requirements could result in the imposition of fines, harm our reputation and significantly diminish use of our products. In addition, if we are not in compliance with anti-corruption laws and other laws governing the conduct of business with government entities and/or officials (including local laws), we may be subject to criminal and civil penalties and other remedial measures, which could have an adverse impact on our business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects.
Regulation - Risk 6
Significant change of substance requirements in certain jurisdictions may adversely impact our business.
Following the global trend on increase of substance requirements in various jurisdictions, starting from 2019, certain jurisdictions (including traditional offshore jurisdictions) implement legislation that requires companies registered in the relevant offshore jurisdiction to maintain actual substance on the territory of such jurisdictions, which may include, amongst others, the qualified personnel, premises located in the particular jurisdiction, reasonable expenses to support daily operation of the company.
We cannot exclude that we might be subject to additional costs and/or tax liabilities resulting from the said requirements, which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Regulation - Risk 7
The immaturity of legal systems, processes and practices in Russia may adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Risks associated with the legal system of Russia include, to varying degrees, inconsistencies between and among laws, presidential decrees, edicts and governmental and ministerial orders and resolutions; conflicting local, regional, and federal rules and regulations; the lack of judicial or administrative guidance regarding the interpretation of the applicable rules; the untested nature of the independence of the judiciary and its immunity from political, social and commercial influences; the relative inexperience of jurists, judges and courts in interpreting recently enacted legislation and complex commercial arrangements; a high degree of unchecked discretion on the part of governmental authorities; alleged corruption within the judiciary and governmental authorities; substantial gaps in the regulatory structure due to delays in or absence of implementing regulations; bankruptcy procedures that are not well-developed and are subject to abuse; and a lack of binding judicial precedent. All of these weaknesses affect our ability to protect and enforce our legal rights, including rights under contracts, and to defend against claims by others. In addition, the merger of the Supreme Arbitration Court of the Russian Federation, which used to oversee business disputes, into the Supreme Court, which used to only handle criminal cases and civil lawsuits, is viewed by some as having further aggravated these issues. The Russian judicial system is not immune from economic and political influences.
The Russian court system is understaffed and underfunded, and the quality of justice, duration of legal proceedings, and performance of courts and enforcement of judgments remain problematic. Under Russian legislation, judicial precedents generally have no binding effect on subsequent decisions and are not recognized as a source of law. However, in practice, courts usually consider judicial precedents in their decisions. Enforcement of court judgments can in practice be very difficult and time-consuming in Russia. Additionally, court claims are sometimes used in furtherance of political and commercial aims. All of these factors can make judicial decisions in Russia difficult to predict and make effective redress problematic in certain instances.
The relatively recent enactment of many laws, the lack of consensus about the scope, content and pace of political and economic reform and the rapid evolution of legal systems in ways that may not always coincide with market developments have resulted in legal ambiguities, inconsistencies and anomalies and, in certain cases, the enactment of laws without a clear constitutional or legislative basis. Legal and bureaucratic obstacles and corruption exist to varying degrees in each of the regions in which we operate, and these factors are likely to hinder our further development. These characteristics give rise to investment risks that do not exist in countries with more developed legal systems. The developing nature of the legal systems in Russia could materially adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Regulation - Risk 8
The implementation of government policies in Russia targeted at specific individuals or companies could harm our business as well as investments in Russia more generally.
The use of governmental power against particular companies or persons, for example, through the tax, environmental or prosecutorial authorities, could adversely affect the Russian economic climate and, if directed against us, our senior management or our major shareholders, could materially adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations. Russian authorities have challenged some Russian companies and prosecuted their executive officers and shareholders on the grounds of tax evasion and related charges. In some cases, the results of such prosecutions and challenges have been significant claims against companies for unpaid taxes and the imposition of prison sentences on individuals. There has been speculation that in certain cases these challenges and prosecutions were intended to punish, and deter, opposition to the government or the pursuit of disfavored political or economic agendas. More generally, some observers have noted that takeovers in recent years of major private sector companies in the oil and gas, metals and manufacturing sectors by state-controlled companies following tax, environmental and other challenges may reflect a shift in official policy in favor of state control at the expense of individual or private ownership, at least where large and important enterprises are concerned.
Regulation - Risk 9
Qiwi Bank operates in a highly regulated environment and increased regulatory scrutiny could have an adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Qiwi Bank is central to the operation of all of our key business segments as it provides issuing, acquiring and deposit settlement functions within our group, and is the banking institution behind those products of our ROWI offering that require a banking license, such as digital bank guarantees and online loans to public procurement tender participants and marketplaces suppliers.
All banks and non-banking credit organizations operating in Russia are subject to extensive regulation and supervision. Requirements imposed by regulators, including capital adequacy, liquidity reserves, prudential ratios, loss provisions and other regulatory requirements are designed to ensure the integrity of the financial markets and to protect consumers and other third parties with whom a bank deals. These regulations may limit our activities, and may increase our costs of doing business, or require us to seek additional capital in order to comply with applicable capital adequacy or liquidity requirements. Existing laws and regulations could be amended, the manner in which laws and regulations are enforced or interpreted could change and new laws or regulations could be adopted. Russian banks also have extensive reporting obligations, including, without limitation, disclosure of financial statements, various operational indicators, and affiliates and persons who exercise (direct or indirect) influence over the decisions taken by the management bodies of the bank. The CBR may at any time conduct full or selective audits of any bank's activities and filings and may inspect all of its books and records.
Qiwi Bank has been the subject of CBR investigations in the past that have uncovered certain violations and deficiencies in relation to, among other things, reporting requirements, anti-money laundering, cybersecurity, compliance with applicable electronic payments thresholds requirements and other issues which we believe we have generally rectified. In the second half of 2020, the CBR, acting in its supervisory capacity, performed another routine scheduled audit of Qiwi Bank for the period of July 2018 to September 2020 and, in the course of this audit, identified certain violations and deficiencies relating primarily to reporting and record-keeping requirements. The monetary fine imposed on Qiwi Bank as a result of these findings was RUB 11 million, or approximately USD 150,000 at the time. In addition, the CBR introduced certain restrictions with respect to Qiwi Bank's operations, including the suspension or limitation of most types of payments to foreign merchants and money transfers to pre-paid cards from corporate accounts, effective for six months from December 7, 2020. We believe that the restrictions imposed on us were primarily driven by an evaluation of the overall approach of the CBR to the interpretation of the applicable e-payments regulation and general trends towards increased scrutiny in the areas of cyberspace and cross-border payments rather than specific deficiencies identified. Later in January 2021, as reported in the media, similar restrictions were imposed on our key competitor YooMoney, one of the major electronic payment service providers in Russia currently wholly-owned by Sberbank. As a result of close cooperation with the CBR, all restrictions with respect to QIWI expired in May, 2021. The restrictions introduced by the CBR have had a substantial negative effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations, primarily through decreasing the volumes in our e-commerce and money remittance operations, and as a result, our revenues and profits. We believe that our abrupt termination of services of a large number of merchants has likely also had reputational risks for us that are difficult to quantify or assess. The recovery of the payment volume and revenue lost in the wake of the CBR restrictions has been affected by changes in consumer behavior and legal framework, and we anticipate that these revenue streams may never be fully restored, in particular since we are limited in our ability to onboard payment aggregators (and thus enable access to our platform to multiple merchants at the same time) as we need to ensure in each case that the use of such intermediaries does not affect our compliance with the requirement to only onboard "whitelisted" betting merchants that was introduced in 2021 (see "– Throughout the recent years, we have been deriving a substantial portion of our revenues from merchants in the betting industry, but we have recently experienced a loss of a significant portion of such revenue stream due to changes in regulation and market conditions, the negative repercussions of which on our business and financial results may continue to build up").
Our past and future operations may also be subject to greater scrutiny from the CBR as a result of these events. There can be no assurance that new sanctions will not be imposed on us as a result of any past or future findings and that we will not come under greater CBR scrutiny in connection with any perceived deficiencies in our conduct, or that any currently planned or future inspections will not result in discovery of any significant or minor additional violations of various banking regulations, and of what sanctions the CBR may impose on us in connection with such deficiencies or violations. Any such sanctions could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Additionally, some of our new projects require significant funding and therefore put certain pressure on the ability of Qiwi Bank to comply with applicable capital requirements and other prudential ratios, while through other operations we are engaged in managing substantial amounts of consumer's funds. All these factors increase our potential exposure to regulatory risks. Moreover, additional scrutiny may be expected in connection with our involvement in our past projects: Tochka, SOVEST and Rocketbank, as they had extended the scope of traditional commercial and retail bank services that Qiwi Bank was previously providing. With respect to Tochka project, SOVEST and Rocketbank, given that the businesses were divested or discontinued, we may not have all necessary archive materials that the regulator may require and may not be able to retrieve such documents upon request. Any failure to meet any demands of the regulator in this respect could result in additional sanctions on us by the CBR.
Any breach of applicable regulations could expose us to potential liability, including fines, prohibition to carry out certain transactions, introduction of temporary administration by the CBR and in certain instances the revocation of our banking license. Revocation of Qiwi Bank's banking license would render us unable to process payments and provide most of our services, and may result in a material decrease of our profitability, and any actual or perceived breach by us of any applicable banking laws and regulations could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Regulation - Risk 10
We are subject to extensive government regulation.
Our business is impacted by laws and regulations that affect our industry, the number of which has increased significantly in recent years. We are subject to a variety of regulations aimed at preventing money laundering and financing criminal activity and terrorism, financial services regulations, payment services regulations, consumer protection laws, currency control regulations, advertising laws, betting laws and privacy and data protection laws and therefore experience periodic investigations by various regulatory authorities in connection with the same, which may sometimes result in monetary or other sanctions being imposed on us. Further, these laws and regulations vary significantly from country to country. Many of these laws and regulations are constantly evolving, and are often unclear and inconsistent with other applicable laws and regulations, including across various jurisdictions, making compliance challenging and increasing our related operating costs and legal risks. If local authorities in Russia or other countries choose to enforce specific interpretations of the applicable legislation that differ from ours, we may be found to be in violation and subject to penalties or other liabilities. This could also limit our ability to provide some of our services going forward and may increase our cost of doing business.
Changes in our industry are rapid, and new products and services that we develop or the use cases in connection with which our products and services may be used may become subject to government regulation undoing the benefits we expect to derive from such new products, services or use cases. In some jurisdictions where we operate, there is currently little or virtually no legislation addressing electronic payments, and no assurance can be made that if such legislation is adopted it will be beneficial to our business. Court interpretations and applicability of legislation and regulations in certain jurisdictions in relation to our business can be ambiguous or contradictory, and it is possible that authorities in such jurisdictions may determine that we are required to possess additional licenses, permits or registrations to provide our services. Such licensing or compliance processes may be time consuming and expensive and we may not be successful in acquiring any newly required licenses. If we fail to obtain and maintain required licenses, permits or registrations or comply with certain mandatory procedures in any jurisdiction where we operate, we may face fines, penalties, sanctions, experience a loss of revenues or have to discontinue providing certain services or doing business altogether. With respect to countries that do have an established regulatory framework for the types of services that we provide, no assurance can be given that the relevant legislation will not be amended to the detriment of our business, including due to the lobbying efforts undertaken by or on behalf of our competitors. For instance, any restrictions including complete prohibition, ban of specific reload methods or various quantitative caps on the use or reloads of anonymous e-wallets could have a significant negative impact on our business. In addition, we may be subject to existing or new advertising legislation that could restrict the types of advertisements we serve, which could result in a loss of advertising revenue. Furthermore, rapid development of cryptocurrencies and increasing governmental support for the development of the relevant regulatory framework in Russia and other countries where we provide services may also affect regulatory environment in which we operate, which may have a significant impact on the competitive landscape in the payments industry (see "– The financial services industry is highly competitive, and we have a vast number of competitors that are larger and have greater financial and other resources").
Generally, Russian lawmakers and enforcement agencies have been demonstrating increased scrutiny in matters relating to cyberspace and e-payments, in particular cross-border payments, as borne out in the enhanced enforcement activities in the kiosk market, the de-anonymization of e-payments and various other initiatives aimed at increasing state control over online activities. In the latest of such trends, the CBR appears to be instituting closer controls over cross-border payments and peer-to-peer transfers (see "– Our services have been and may continue to be used for fraudulent, illegal or improper purposes, which could expose us to additional liability and harm our business" and"– Qiwi Bank operates in a highly regulated environment and increased regulatory scrutiny could have an adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations").
Regulation of E-Wallets
In early 2018 it was reported that the CBR, Rosfinmonitoring and the Ministry of Finance are actively discussing new proposed legislation that would ban the use of anonymous e-wallets completely. In 2019, amendments to the National Payment System Law were introduced that prohibit the reloading of anonymous e-wallets other than from a bank account. This development could have the effect of making our onboarding process more complicated and therefore our service less attractive, which would in turn slow down the influx of new users or increase the cost of their engagement. Our revenues may also be adversely affected by further regulation of fees charged on inactive accounts for their continued maintenance and unclaimed payments, which represent a significant revenue stream for us. We have voluntarily signed up to the Memorandum adopted by the E-Money Market Participants Association (a non-state association of fintech players in Russia that we are a founding member of) which imposes certain guidelines with respect to the treatment of such inactive account fees and have had to adjust our policies with respect to such fees upon our accession to the Memorandum. The guidelines imposed by the Memorandum are also reflected in the CBR's Guidelines for Improving the Quality of Money Transfer Services by Electronic Money Operations that we are also subject to. The negative financial impact from such adjustment has been limited so far; however, any further regulation in this regard, whether legislation introduced by state authorities or rules voluntarily self-imposed by the industry, imposing more stringent restrictions than those currently in existence, could have a further adverse effect on such revenue stream.
Another regulatory measure that has already resulted in a decline in the use of e-wallets and affected our business is the requirement to report newly opened e-wallets to the tax authorities in the same manner the banks report new bank accounts, which came into effect starting from January 6, 2021, and the requirement to report movements of funds and wallet balances at tax authorities' request, which came into effect in April 2021. Starting from December 2022, we are also required to report such information to the Russian bailiff system. These measures have obliviated and may continue to further obliviate some of the perceived advantages of e-wallets over bank accounts. Our e-wallet base could be further adversely affected by any additional increase of the regulatory burdens associated with reporting, onboarding or other functions, all of which can have the effect of making our products less differentiated and attractive to consumers. In another example of such regulation, since October 2021 Russian residents are required to report transactions totaling above RUB 600,000 (approximately US $ 8,530) made with the use of e-wallets provided by foreign operators. This initiative may result in a decrease of the volume of money remittances from QIWI Wallet.
Anti-Money Laundering Legislation
We sometimes have to make significant judgment calls in applying anti-money laundering legislation and to take risk of being found in non-compliance with it, particularly in relation to mandatory client identification requirements and applicability of the thresholds for transactions imposed based on the client identification level, if, for example, we process payments made by our consumers from their QIWI Wallet accounts for amounts in excess of the applicable thresholds or for certain types of merchants without the required client identification. Although we use all methods available for client identification in all our projects and believe our practices in this regard are in compliance with applicable legal requirements and in line with market practice in Russia (see "– Know-your-client requirements established by Russian anti-money laundering legislation may adversely impact our transaction volumes"), the Russian regulators may view us as being non-compliant and impose fines and other sanctions on us. There can be no assurance that the requirements of the anti-money laundering legislation will not change further in a manner adverse to our business (see "Regulation"), which could result in lower payment volumes for us or other adverse effects. For instance, there have been proposals from certain government officials to ban payments by unidentified consumers altogether. Any further adverse change to these requirements could have a substantial negative effect on our business.
Foreign Sanctions
Certain sanctions relating to the ongoing hostility between Russia and Ukraine, and Russian countersanctions instituted in response, directly target payment services providers such as ourselves. In November 2016, the National Bank of Ukraine banned several Russian payment services providers from the Ukrainian market. In response, in April 2017, a law was enacted in Russia prohibiting certain types of money remittance from Russia to countries that have introduced sanctions against Russian payment systems (which, to our knowledge, so far only include Ukraine). Moreover, in May 2018, Qiwi Bank, one of our key subsidiaries, was added to the list of sanctioned entities by the Ukrainian government, and in June 2021, nine other companies of our Group were added as well. While we have not experienced any substantial operational difficulties in connection with this so far since we have no assets or business in Ukraine, there can be no assurance as to what effect the imposition of sanctions on us by Ukraine might have in the future, or what further adverse actions the government of Ukraine might take against us. Any determination by a relevant regulator that we have not complied with the spirit or text of any such sanctions or regulations, or even any statements to that effect, may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations, as well as the price of our ADSs. While Ukraine remains the only country so far to introduce sanctions of this type, there can be no assurance that additional sanctions affecting the payments business will not be imposed by regulators in other countries in which we operate. These sanctions might also cause reputational damage and, as a result, adversely affect any potential international expansion plans we might have. See also "– The conflict between Russia and Ukraine, and particularly its 2022 escalation, the US, EU, UK and other countries' sanctions that have been imposed in connection therewith, the resulting negative implications on the Russian economy, and the measures that are being adopted by Russia in response, could adversely impact our operations and financial condition".
New Regulations Outside of Russia
The regulatory framework around electronic payments and other financial services that we offer is constantly in a state of development in most of the countries in which we operate, including the United Arab Emirates, Kazakhstan, Belarus and the UK. New laws that are being adopted in these countries may increase our compliance costs and create new regulatory risks. For example, on January 1, 2017, the Regulatory Framework for Stored Values and Electronic Payment Systems came into force in the United Arab Emirates. It introduced a mandatory licensing and related compliance regime for certain electronic payment service providers and established a one-year transitional period for existing digital payment services providers to take appropriate measures to comply with the new rules. In case of failure to do so payment services providers may be mandated to cease provision of such services. Moreover, any individual or entity providing (or representing themselves as capable of providing) digital payment services without the appropriate license or authorization will be subject to administrative penalties. Even though such legislation has been in effect for several years now, there still remains a lack of clarity as to the interpretation of many of its provisions, and we are still assessing the applicability and potential impact of this legislation on our business. If our position on our status under the Regulatory Framework is different from that of the UAE regulator or if we are unable to comply with the mandatory licensing if it is deemed applicable to us, it could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Privacy and Protection of User Data
We are subject to a number of laws, rules, directives, and regulations (which we refer to as "privacy and data protection laws") relating to the collection, use, retention, security, processing, and transfer (which we collectively refer to as "processing") of personally identifiable information about our customers and employees (which we refer to as "personal data") in the countries where we operate. Our business relies on the processing of personal data in many jurisdictions and the movement of data across national borders. As a result, much of the personal data that we process, which may include certain financial information associated with individuals, is regulated by multiple privacy and data protection laws and, in some cases, the privacy and data protection laws of multiple jurisdictions. In many cases, these laws apply not only to third-party transactions, but also to transfers of information between or among us, our subsidiaries, and other parties with which we have commercial relationships.
Regulatory scrutiny of privacy, data protection, cybersecurity practices, and the processing of personal data is increasing around the world. There is uncertainty associated with the legal and regulatory environment relating to privacy and data protection laws, which continue to develop in ways we cannot predict, including with respect to evolving technologies such as cloud computing, artificial intelligence, and blockchain technology. Any failure or perceived failure to comply with existing or new laws of any government authority (including changes to or expansion of the interpretation of those laws), including those discussed in this risk factor, may subject us to significant fines, penalties, civil lawsuits, and enforcement actions in one or more jurisdictions, result in additional compliance requirements, increase regulatory scrutiny of our business, restrict our operations, and force us to change our business practices, make product or operational changes, or delay planned product launches or improvements. See also "– Unauthorized or improper disclosure of data, whether through cybersecurity breaches, computer viruses or otherwise, could expose us to direct loss, liability, protracted and costly litigation and damage our reputation".
Any failure, or perceived failure, by us to comply with our privacy policies as communicated to users could result in proceedings or actions against us by data protection authorities, government entities or others, including class action privacy litigation in certain jurisdictions. Such proceedings or actions could subject us to significant fines, penalties, judgments, and negative publicity which may materially harm our business. The foregoing may require us to change our business practices and would likely increase the costs and complexity of compliance. In addition, compliance with inconsistent privacy and data protection laws may restrict our ability to provide products and services to our customers.
Taxi Market Regulation
In Russia, ride-hailing services work with taxi drivers directly or through fleet management companies or taxi companies, which in turn engage taxi drivers as self-employed entrepreneurs. In one of our lines of business, we provide payment solution to taxi companies that is similar in nature to salary programs for taxi drivers. In addition, we have developed a "Taxiaggregator" product for taxi companies and taxi drivers that facilitates and speeds up payments to taxi drivers.
Ride-hailing services regulation is constantly developing in Russia. In 2022, a new law was introduced that we believe will significantly change the regulatory framework of the ride-hailing market in Russia starting from September 1, 2023. Among other things, the new law envisages drivers entering intoan employment agreement with the ride-hailing platforms as well as remaining self-employed individuals and continue working as a taxi drivers using these ride-hailing platforms. Such a clarification is favorable for our "Taxiaggregator" product which depends on a payment volume going through the self-employed individuals. In addition, the law clarifies terms of cooperation among fleet management companies or taxi companies and taxi drivers and imposes additional regulatory requirements on all participants of the ride-hailing market, introduces additional payment order reporting requirements, including the requirement to grant automatic access to ride-hailing company's order processing databases to Russian authorities. If we are are unable to adjust and meet these requirements or if similarly adverse initiatives are adopted in the future, our products developed for this market may become obsolete, and we may also experience a negative impact on the use base of our e-wallets.
Subsequent legislation and regulation in various markets of our presence and interpretations thereof, litigation, court rulings, or other events could expose us to increased costs, liability and reputational damage that could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Regulation - Risk 11
Added
Due to the rapidly evolving and complex sanctions regulations we may fail to follow specific government prescriptions in jurisdictions where we have operations and such failure could result in a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
In 2022 we saw the imposition of extremely severe and unprecedented measures. As the Ukraine conflict and the current geopolitical crisis is rapidly evolving, and further sanctions may be imposed against Russia, it is difficult to accurately predict how it will unravel and what response or retaliatory measures the Russian government may introduce in the future.
We closely monitor sanctions regulations and believe that our operations do not contravene any current sanctions regulation but there is no guarantee that we will be able to meet all the sanctions regulations in the future due to the rapidly changing requirements, increased complexity and frequency of new sanctions imposed. This may lead to a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects.
Regulation - Risk 12
Added
The banking system in Russia is subject to rapid change and increasing regulatory supervision.
The banking and other financial systems in Russia have been rapidly developing, and underlying regulation and regulatory scrutiny over the banking and financial services sector has been increasing. Russian legislation relating to banks and bank accounts is subject to varying interpretation and inconsistent application. The 1998 financial crisis resulted in the bankruptcy and liquidation of many Russian banks and almost entirely eliminated the developing market for commercial bank loans at that time. From April to July 2004, the Russian banking sector experienced further serious turmoil. As a result of various market rumors and certain regulatory and liquidity problems, several privately-owned Russian banks experienced liquidity problems and were unable to attract funds on the inter-bank market or from their client base. Simultaneously, they faced large withdrawals of deposits by both retail and corporate customers. Several of these privately-owned Russian banks collapsed or ceased or severely limited their operations. Russian banks owned or controlled by the government and foreign owned banks generally were not adversely affected by the turmoil.
Although the CBR has the mandate and authority to suspend banking licenses of insolvent banks, some insolvent banks still operate. Many Russian banks also do not meet international banking standards, and the transparency of the Russian banking sector in some respects still lags behind internationally accepted norms. While the CBR has been increasing controls over banks, many banks still may not follow existing CBR regulations with respect to lending criteria, credit quality, loan loss reserves, diversification of exposure or other requirements. The imposition of more stringent regulations or interpretations could lead to weakened capital adequacy and the insolvency of some banks. Prior to the onset of the 2008 global economic crisis, there had been a rapid increase in lending by Russian banks, which many believe had been accompanied by a deterioration in the credit quality of the loan portfolio of those banks. In addition, a robust domestic corporate debt market was leading Russian banks to hold increasingly large amounts of Russian corporate ruble bonds in their portfolios, which further deteriorated the risk profile of the assets of Russian banks. The global financial crisis of 2007-2008 has led to the collapse or bailout of some Russian banks and to significant liquidity constraints for others. Profitability levels of most Russian banks have been adversely affected. Indeed, the global crisis has prompted the government to inject substantial funds into the banking system amid reports of difficulties among Russian banks and other financial institutions. In recent years, the CBR has considerably increased the intensity of its supervision and regulation of the Russian banking sector. Historically, the revocation of banking licenses by the CBR has been a relatively rare event mostly occurring to local banks with little assets and little or no significance for the banking sector as a whole. Starting October 2013, however, the CBR has launched a campaign aimed at cleansing the Russian banking industry, revoking the licenses from an unusually high number of banks (including significant banks such as Ugra, Master-Bank, Investbank, ProBusinessBank, Vneshprombank, Tatfondbank and others) on allegations of money laundering, financial statements manipulation and other illegal activities, as well as inability of certain banks to discharge their financial obligations, which resulted in turmoil in the industry, instigated bank runs on a number of Russian credit institutions, and severely undermined the trust that the Russian population had with private banks. In addition, in the course of 2017 three of Russia's largest private banks, Otkritie Bank, Binbank and Promsvyazbank, were all bailed out and taken over by the CBR through the newly established Banking Industry Consolidation Fund, since all of them were allegedly unable to perform their obligations as they fell due for various reasons. License revocations have continued throughout 2018 and 2019, again with some major banks impacted. The private banking sector in Russia, always relatively minor compared to state players like Sberbank and VTB to begin with, has contracted severely as a result. This can be expected to result in reduced competition in the banking sector (while at the same time putting alternative payment solution providers such as ourselves in the position of having to predominantly compete with the government itself), increased inflation and a general deterioration of the quality of the Russian banking industry. It could be expected that the difficulties currently faced by the Russian economy could result in further collapses of Russian banks. With few exceptions (notably the state-owned banks), the Russian banking system suffers from weak depositor confidence, high concentration of exposure to certain borrowers and their affiliates, poor credit quality of borrowers and related party transactions. Current economic circumstances in Russia, and foreign sanctions that have hit the banking industry in particular disproportionately hard, are putting stress on the Russian banking system. These circumstances decrease the affordability of consumer credit, putting further pressure on overall consumer purchasing power. In addition, these factors could further tighten liquidity on the Russian market and add pressure onto the ruble.
Our business is significantly affected by development in the Russian banking sector. First, we periodically hold funds in a number of Russian banks and rely on guarantees given by those banks to enhance our liquidity. Increased uncertainty in the Russian banking sector exposes us to additional counterparty risk and affects our liquidity. As a result, the bankruptcy or insolvency of one or more of these banks could adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations. The continuation or worsening of the banking crisis could decrease our transaction volumes, while the bankruptcy or insolvency of any of the banks which hold our funds could prevent us from accessing our funds. All of these factors could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Regulation - Risk 13
The Russian thin capitalization rules allow for different interpretations, which may affect our business, results of operations and financial condition
Russian tax legislation contains thin capitalization rules envisaged under the point 2 of the Article 269 of the Russian Tax Code. These rules under certain conditions limit the amount of interest that could be deducted by the Russian companies with direct or indirect participation of foreign company. These rules were subject to frequent amendments and different interpretations over the past years
Our Russian subsidiaries may be affected by the Russian Federation's thin capitalisation rules in respect of loans from or have loans guaranteed by foreign or Russian related parties.
It is currently unclear how the Russian tax authorities could interpret and apply thin capitalisation rules. Specifically, it is unclear whether thin capitalization rules should be applied to coupon payments on bonds issued by one of our Russian subsidiaries when the investors in such bonds have irrevocable public offer from Group companies in place. If thin capitalization rules are applied, the Russian tax authorities may disallow part or full coupon payments for income tax deduction purposes. As a result, non-deductible coupon payments would be considered as payment of dividends and subsequently would be subject to withholding tax rate at 13% or 15%. As at the date of this Report there is no available court practice on this matter. It cannot be ruled out that we might be subject to additional tax liabilities, which could have a material adverse effect on our business.
Regulation - Risk 14
Throughout the recent years, we have been deriving a substantial portion of our revenues from merchants in the betting industry, but we have recently experienced a loss of a significant portion of such revenue stream due to changes in regulation and market conditions, the negative repercussions of which on our business and financial results may continue to build up.
We provided payment processing and continue to provide acquiring services to a number of merchants in the betting industry. We also provided winning repayment services to such merchants, including processing of winnings to banking cards. The repayment of winnings by such merchants to the customers' QIWI Wallets is an important and economically beneficial reload channel, contributing to the attractiveness and sustainability of our ecosystem. For reasons discussed below, this revenue stream has been, and may continue to further be, materially adversely affected by legislative developments.
The betting industry is subject to extensive and actively developing regulation in Russia, as well as increasing government scrutiny. Prior to October 2021, legislation then in force required bookmakers to become members of one of the self-regulated organizations of bookmakers and abide by its rules, and to accept interactive bets solely through an Interactive Bets Accounting Center (TSUPIS) set up by a credit organization in cooperation with a self-regulated association of bookmakers.
In order to enable our participation in this industry, in 2016 Qiwi Bank established a TSUPIS together with one of such self-regulated associations of bookmakers, and we thereby became one of the two payment services providers that were able to accept electronic bets on behalf of sports betting companies in Russia.
In December 2020, a new law was adopted, abolishing the mandatory participation of bookmakers in self-regulated organizations, establishing a Unified Gambling Regulator as a new governmental agency with broad authority to oversee the betting market, and creating the role of a single Unified Interactive Bets Accounting Center ("ETSUP") to replace all of the existing TSUPIS. Although we have publicly made a proposal to serve as the Unified Interactive Bets Accounting Center pursuant to the new regulatory regime, our bid turned out unsuccessful, and the role of the ETSUP was assigned to another market participant. As a result, we have lost the ability to generate volume and income directly related to our TSUPIS business in Russia starting from 4Q 2021, although we have still been able to retain part of the betting revenues generated from QIWI Wallet services, including commissions for betting accounts top-ups and winning payouts ("remaining betting related stream"). For the year ended December 31, 2021 our TSUPIS business and related acquiring services terminated due to legislation changes described above accounted for 19% (or RUB 3,246 million) of the Payment Net Revenue in our Payment Services segment. The combined betting stream for the year ended December 31, 2021 represented 21% (or RUB 364.2 billion) of PS Payment Volume and 34% (or RUB 6,016 million) of the Payment Net Revenue in our Payment Services segment. The remaining betting related stream in Russia for the year ended December 31, 2022 represented 3% (or RUB 55.2 billion) of PS Payment Volume. Payment volume and revenue decline due to these changes already has and will continue to negatively affect the results of our operations which included processing of payments for making the bets and betting winning payouts through various types of payment methods, including QIWI Wallet. Any adverse action by the ETSUP as a major participant in the industry may negatively affect the payment volume, revenue and margins of our Payment Services business, as well as overall usage of QIWI Wallet.
Under the Russian betting legislation, betting merchants may become "blacklisted" by the government if they have been found to be in violation of applicable Russian laws, in which case our remaining revenue generated from the betting industry as described above may further shrink. Furthermore, since 2021 Russian credit institutions have been prohibited from contracting with any betting merchants, including foreign ones, that are not on a list of specifically approved betting merchants maintained by the regulator. As a result, in effect only specifically "whitelisted" merchants are allowed to continue operating. A separate "black list" has been instituted with respect to foreign payment aggregators that are known to service backlisted betting merchants. All of these measures have resulted in a general shrinkage of the number of players in the industry and contraction of our related revenue streams, and have significantly increased the administrative burdens in onboarding merchants and in particular payment aggregators.
If our involvement with the betting industry further diminishes and are unable to replace this business, if our current terms of doing business with the ETSUP become significantly less favorable, or if we face adverse regulatory or reputational consequences associated with servicing the betting industry, our business, financial condition and results of operations may be materially adversely affected.
Litigation & Legal Liabilities1 | 1.2%
Litigation & Legal Liabilities - Risk 1
Unlawful, selective or arbitrary government action may have an adverse effect on our business.
Governmental authorities have a high degree of discretion in Russia and at times appear to act selectively or arbitrarily, without hearing or prior notice, and in a manner that is contrary to law or influenced by political or commercial considerations. Moreover, the Russian Government also has the power in certain circumstances, by regulation or government act, to interfere with the performance of, nullify or terminate contracts. Unlawful, selective or arbitrary governmental actions have reportedly included denial or withdrawal of licenses, sudden and unexpected tax audits, criminal prosecutions and civil actions. Federal and local government entities also appear to have used common defects in matters surrounding share issuances and registration as pretexts for court claims and other demands to invalidate the issuances or registrations or to void transactions, seemingly for political purposes. Moreover, selective, public criticism by Russian Government officials of Russian companies has in the past caused the price of publicly traded securities in such Russian companies to sharply decline, and there is no assurance that any such public criticism by Russian Government officials in the future will not have the same negative affect. Standard & Poor's has expressed concerns that "Russian companies and their investors can be subjected to government pressure through selective implementation of regulations and legislation that is either politically motivated or triggered by competing business groups". In this environment, our competitors could receive preferential treatment from the government, potentially giving them a competitive advantage. Unlawful, selective or arbitrary governmental action, if directed at our operations in Russia, could materially and adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Taxation & Government Incentives15 | 18.3%
Taxation & Government Incentives - Risk 1
Weaknesses and changes in the Russian tax system could materially and adversely affect our business and the value of investments in Russia.
We are subject to a broad range of taxes and other compulsory payments imposed at federal, regional and local levels, including, but not limited to, profits tax, VAT and social contributions. Tax laws, namely the Russian Tax Code, have been in force for a short period relative to tax laws in more developed market economies, and the implementation of these tax laws is still unclear or inconsistent. Historically, the system of tax collection has been relatively ineffective. The Russian tax laws and regulations are subject to frequent changes, varying and contradicting interpretations and inconsistent and selective enforcement. Although the quality of Russian tax legislation has generally improved since the introduction of the first and second parts of the Russian Tax Code, the possibility exists that Russia may impose arbitrary or onerous taxes and penalties in the future, which could adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations.
A large number of changes have been made to various chapters of the Russian Tax Code since their introduction. Since Russian federal, regional and local tax laws and regulations are subject to changes and some of the sections of the Russian Tax Code relating to the aforementioned taxes are comparatively new, interpretation of these regulations is still unclear or non-existent. Also, different interpretations of tax regulations exist both among and within government bodies at the federal, regional and local levels, which creates uncertainties and inconsistent enforcement. The current practice is that private clarifications to specific taxpayers' queries with respect to particular situations issued by the Russian Ministry of Finance are not binding on the Russian tax authorities and there can be no assurance that the Russian tax authorities will not take positions contrary to those set out in such clarifications. During the past several years the Russian tax authorities have shown a tendency to take more assertive positions in their interpretation of the tax legislation, which has led to an increased number of material tax assessments issued by them as a result of tax audits. Starting from January 1, 2019 tax authorities are entitled to claim documents (information) used for calculation and payment of taxes (other obligatory payments) from the taxpayers' auditors. In practice, the Russian tax authorities generally interpret the tax laws in ways that do not favor taxpayers, who often have to resort to court proceedings against the Russian tax authorities to defend their position. In some instances, the Russian tax authorities have applied new interpretations of tax laws retroactively. There is no established precedent or consistent court practice in respect of these issues. Furthermore, in the absence of binding precedent, court rulings on tax or other related matters by different courts relating to the same or similar circumstances may also be inconsistent or contradictory.
Starting from January 1, 2015, a number of amendments have been made to the Russian tax legislation introducing, among others, the concepts of controlled foreign companies, corporate tax residency and beneficial ownership (see also "Risk Factors – Risks Relating to Taxation - Russian anti-offshore measures may have adverse impact on our business, financial condition and results of operations").
On November 27, 2017, the Federal Law No. 340-FZ introducing CbCR requirements was published. The mandatory filing of CbCR is, in general, in line with the OECD recommendations within the BEPS initiative. The law has taken effect on the date of its official publication, and its provisions apply to financial years starting in 2017 (except for the provisions regarding the national documentation). These amendments require multinational corporate enterprise groups with consolidated revenues of over certain threshold to submit annual CbCR, as well as certain other reporting forms detailing multinational corporate enterprises groups operations (locally and globally, respectively), as well as transfer pricing methodologies applied to intra-group transactions. Thus, if we reach the reporting threshold established for the consolidated revenue of the group (over RUB 50 billion if parent company for CbCR purposes is regarded as Russian tax resident or over relevant threshold established in any other jurisdiction as applicable (e.g. EUR 750 million for Cyprus)) we may be liable to submit relevant CbCR. It is unclear at the moment how the above measures will be applied in practice by the tax authorities and courts. It is important that, for example, the above changes and amendments to the Russian Tax Code introduced by the law do not replace the already existing transfer pricing documentation requirements.
As mentioned in "Global anti-offshore measures may have adverse impact on our business, financial condition and results of operations" the OECD is actively developing a ‘two-pillar' approach in an effort to address the tax challenges arising from the digitalization of the economy (also known as the BEPS 2.0 project). It is currently unclear how this initiative will be addressed in the Russian tax legislation (if at all), what will be the effect from these initiatives and how these initiatives will impact on business and operations.
Certain other changes were introduced to the Russian Tax Code over the recent years, namely changes to types of controlled transactions subject to transfer pricing rules, increase of the VAT rate to 20%, etc.
On 2020, the President of the Russian Federation instructed to start the process of changing the double tax treaties with a number of countries, including Cyprus, Netherlands, Malta, Luxembourg and Switzerland. On September 8, 2020 the protocol on amendment of double tax treaty between Russia and Cyprus was signed. The amendments increased withholding tax rate envisaged by this double tax treaty in respect of dividends and interest to 15% (with certain exceptions). The amendments were ratified in the end of 2020 and came into effect starting from January 1, 2021. Similar protocols were signed with Malta and Luxembourg with effect from January 2021 for Malta and from 1 January 2022 for Luxembourg.
Furthermore, in view of recent events in the first quarter of 2022 Latvia announced the suspension of the double tax treaty with Russia although the treaty does not provide for such mechanism. A similar decision to suspend the DTT until Latvia eliminates its violations of obligations under DTT was confirmed by Russia (President Decree No. 688 dated September 26, 2022) and further developed in draft of the Federal Law No. 260077-8. Despite the fact that such decisions of the Latvia and Russia do not comply with the terms of the DTT and their legal status is not entirely clear, we expect that in practice benefits under the double tax treaty between the Russian Federation and Latvia could be challenged.
After the events in February 2022, a number of countries announced that they suspend international exchange of tax information with Russia (such as Isle of Man, Guernsey, Jersey, Germany, USA, Latvia, Ukraine, Austria, Switzerland). Moreover, on February 14, 2023, Russia was included in the EU list of non-cooperative jurisdictions for tax purposes ("the EU black list"). At the moment there is no certainty what measures the EU countries will apply to Russia and what impact these measures will have on the tax burden in the countries where the company operates. In turn, the Russian Government included Canada and Cayman Islands in Russian "black list" of non-cooperative jurisdictions for tax purposes. Certain tax benefits and exemptions envisaged by the Russian Tax Code could be not achievable if companies from such black-listed jurisdictions are involved, such as exemptions related to international holding companies, CFCs, etc.
Further, in February 2023 Russian Federation was included into the list of jurisdictions non-cooperative in tax sphere ("the EU black list").
On 15 March 2023 the official press release was published by Ministry of Finance of the Russian Federation stating that the Ministry of Finance and Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Russian Federation initiate the proposal to the President of Russian Federation to issue a decree suspending the application of double tax treaties with the jurisdictions regarded as "unfriendly" until "the unilateral economic and other measures in relation to the Russian Federation violating its rights are removed". Currently, it is not known how this new initiative will develop. We cannot exclude that Russian double tax treaties with certain jurisdictions may be either denounced or suspended which may result in disallowance of tax benefits with respect to income paid to such jurisdictions from Russian sources. This may lead to the increased tax costs and have an adverse effect on our business and financial condition.
The ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine with subsequent increased tension in political environment and introduction of the economic sanctions and counter-sanctions could have effect on international positions related to tax matters and on possible further changes of the Russian tax legislation, introduction of new tax rules and additional tax-raising measures. We cannot exclude the possibility that the Russian Government and (or) other jurisdictions could implement certain unpredictable and unforeseen tax measures which may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Some of the employees employed by our Russian subsidiaries could work remotely outside the territory of Russian Federation without informing their employers. Although, there are technical arguments to say that our Russian subsidiaries should not be regarded as tax agents with respect to the remuneration paid to such employees we believe that there is certain risk that our Russian subsidiaries could, nevertheless, be asked to withhold additional personal income tax in such situation. In particular, if the tax residency status of the employees has been changed (i.e. the employees become non-residents for Russian tax purposes), we cannot exclude that such Russian employers could be asked to withhold additional personal tax at a rate of 30%. Alternatively, we cannot exclude that the employees could claim from the employer personal income tax withheld from their remuneration received while they worked outside of the Russian Federation. In this case we believe that our Russian subsidiaries could face difficulties in getting this tax refunded/offset from the tax authorities.
There are also officially discussed plans to introduce windfall tax in Russia to be paid by the corporate taxpayers in 2023 or 2024. Although, no formal decisions are taken yet, it is generally understood that such tax is applicable to major taxpayers (except for those operating in oil and gas industry) with profits exceeding certain thresholds. It is aimed to raise overall 200-300 billion rubles to the Russian budget. The tax rate as well as the mechanism of its calculation are not yet agreed. Based on currently available information we cannot exclude that some of our Russian subsidiaries may fall under the scope of the above windfall tax which may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
There can be no assurance that the Russian Tax Code will not be changed in the future in a manner adverse to the stability and predictability of the tax system. These factors, together with the potential for state budget deficits, raise the risk of the imposition of additional taxes on us. The introduction of new taxes or amendments to current taxation rules may have a substantial impact on the overall amount of our tax liabilities. There is no assurance that we would not be required to make substantially larger tax payments in the future, which may adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Taxation & Government Incentives - Risk 2
Our business in Russia may be deemed to receive unjustified tax benefits.
In its decision No 138-0 dated July 25, 2001, the Constitutional Court of the Russian Federation, or the Constitutional Court, introduced the concept of "a taxpayer acting in a bad faith" without clearly stipulating the criteria for it. Although this concept is not defined in Russian tax law, it has been used by the tax authorities to deny, for instance, the taxpayer's right to obtain tax deductions and benefits provided by the tax law. The tax authorities and courts often exercise significant discretion in interpreting this concept in a manner that is unfavorable to taxpayers.
The concept of "unjustified tax benefit" was formulated in Resolution No. 53 issued by the Plenum of the Supreme Arbitrazh Court of the Russian Federation in 2006. The concept is defined in the resolution mainly by reference to specific examples of tax benefits obtained as a result of a transaction that has no reasonable business purpose and which may lead to disallowance of their application.
On July 19, 2017, new anti-avoidance provisions were introduced by the Article 54.1 of the Russian Tax Code, which replaced the previously existing concept of "unjustified tax benefit". These anti-avoidance provisions establish two specific criteria that should be met simultaneously to entitle a taxpayer to reduce the tax base or the amount of tax: (i) the main purpose of the transaction (operation) is not a non-payment (incomplete payment) and (or) offset (refund) of the amount of tax; and (ii) the obligation under the transaction (operation) is executed by a person who is a party to a contract entered into with the taxpayer and / or a person to whom the obligation to execute a transaction (operation) was transferred under a contract or law. The Russian Tax Code specifically indicates that signing of primary documents by an unidentified or unauthorized person, violation by the counterparty of tax legislation, the possibility to obtain the same result by a taxpayer by entering into other transactions not prohibited by law cannot be considered in itself as a basis for recognizing the reduction of the tax base or the amount of tax unlawful. However, application of these criteria is still under consideration of the tax authorities, therefore, no assurance can be given that positions of taxpayers will not be challenged by the Russian tax authorities.
The Russian Ministry of Finance issued clarifications that the concepts expressed in Resolution No. 53 and evolved in the relevant court practice should not be applied by the Russian tax authorities in the course of tax audits following the enactment of new anti-avoidance rules. However, it cannot be excluded that this new concept could be applied by the tax authorities in a broader sense. There were some publications in mass media with reference to the Head of Federal Tax Service of the Russian Federation stating that more than 85% of tax disputes based on Article 54.1 of the Russian Tax Code are ruled out in favor of the tax authorities. Furthermore, recently the Russian tax authorities issued the new clarifications regarding application of Article 54.1 of the Russian Tax Code and on the practice of application of Article 54.1 of the Russian Tax Code where, among other, tax authorities clarify their approach to the general requirement of the Article 54.1 of the Russian Tax Code, approaches to assessing intentionality in the actions of the taxpayer, legal reclassification of operations for tax purposes and the assessment of business purpose criteria. In view of this trend and taking into the account the uncertainties with application of anti-avoidance concept, this could possibly expose our Group to significant fines and penalties and to enforcement measures, despite our best efforts at compliance, and could result in a greater than expected tax burden.
Taxation & Government Incentives - Risk 3
Russian transfer pricing legislation may require pricing adjustments and impose additional tax liabilities with respect to all controlled transactions.
The existing Russian transfer pricing rules became effective from January 1, 2012. Under these rules the Russian tax authorities are allowed to make transfer-pricing adjustments and impose additional tax liabilities in respect of certain types of transactions ("controlled" transactions). The list of the "controlled" transactions includes transactions with related parties (with several exceptions such as guarantees between Russian non-banking organizations and interest-free loans between Russian related parties) and certain types of cross border transactions. Starting from 2019, transactions between Russian tax residents are subject to transfer pricing control only if the amount of income from the transactions between these parties within one year exceeds RUB 1 billion and at the same time one of the conditions stipulated in Article 105.14 of the Russian Tax Code (e.g., the parties to the transaction apply different corporate income tax rates) is met. Certain other transactions, such as foreign trade transactions in commodities traded on global exchanges, transactions with counterparties from blacklisted countries, transactions between related parties with participation of the independent intermediary, as well as transactions between the Russian tax resident and foreign tax resident (related parties) remain under control in case the amount of income from transactions between these parties within one year exceeds RUB 120 million threshold. As a side effect of this change, the Russian tax authorities who are entitled to perform tax audits of Russian taxpayers with focus on compliance with existing transfer pricing legislation will no longer be involved in tax audit of transactions between Russian parties due to increased limits on transactions between Russian tax residents but they will be able to pay more attention to cross-border transactions.
The burden of proving market prices, as well as keeping specific documentation, lies with the taxpayers. In certain circumstances, the Russian tax authorities may apply the transfer pricing rules and methods in cases where the rules are formally not applicable, claiming additional tax charges calculated using the transfer rules but based on other tax concepts (e.g. anti-avoidance rules, lack of economic justification of expenses, etc.). For more information see "– Our business in Russia may be deemed to receive unjustified tax benefits". It is therefore possible that the Group entities established in Russia may become subject to transfer pricing tax audits by tax authorities in the foreseeable future. Due to the uncertainty and developing practice of application of the Russian transfer pricing legislation and some unpredictable effect of possible further changes in Russian tax legislation as a result of current unstable international economical and political environment the Russian tax authorities may challenge the level of prices applied by the Group under the "controlled" transactions (including certain intercompany transactions) or challenge the methods used to prove prices applied by the Group, and as a result accrue additional tax liabilities. If additional taxes are assessed with respect to these matters, they could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Taxation & Government Incentives - Risk 4
ADS holders outside of Russia may be subject to Russian tax for income earned upon a sale, exchange or disposal of our ADSs.
In the event that the proceeds from a sale, exchange or disposal of ADSs are deemed to be received from a source within Russia, a non-resident holder that is an individual may be subject to Russian tax in respect of such proceeds at a rate of 30% of the gain (such gain being computed as the sales price less any available documented cost deduction, including the acquisition price of the ADSs and other documented expenses, such as depositary expenses and brokers' fees). In case of non-resident holders that are legal entities or organizations proceeds from sale, exchange or disposal of ADSs would be regarded as Russian source proceeds subject to tax in
Russia at the rate of 20% if more than 50% of our assets directly or indirectly consist of immovable property in located in Russia. Relevant tax may be eliminated under any available double tax treaty relief, provided that the necessary requirements to qualify for the treaty relief, including beneficial ownership requirements, and the appropriate administrative requirements under the Russian tax legislation have been met. For example, holders of ADSs that are eligible for the benefits of the US-Russia double tax treaty should generally not be subject to tax in Russia on any gain arising from the disposal of ADSs, provided that the gain is not attributable to a permanent establishment or a fixed base that is or was located in Russia and/or provided that no more than 50% of our assets consist of immovable property situated in Russia (as defined in the treaty). If not less than 50% of our assets were to consist of immovable property situated in Russia, the benefits of the US-Russia double tax treaty may not be available to an ADS holder (whether a legal entity or an individual). For more details, see "Russian Tax Considerations Relevant to the Purchase, Ownership and Disposal of the ADSs". We believe that this should not be applicable to ADSs as our assets do not directly or indirectly by more than 50% consist of the immovable property located in Russia as of the date of this Report.
Taxation & Government Incentives - Risk 5
Income in the form of material benefit from the acquisition of the ADSs below the fair market value may be subject to Russian personal income tax
Generally, no Russian tax implications should arise for holders of ADSs, whether resident in Russia or not, upon the purchase of the ADSs. However, in certain circumstances, taxable income in the form of a so-called material benefit (imputed income) may arise for holders who are individuals if the ADSs are purchased at a price below market value. The difference may become subject to Russian personal income tax at the rate of 13% or 15% (if an individual's annual income is over RUB 5 million) for Russian resident holders which are individuals and, if treated as Russian-source income, 30% (or such other tax rate as may be effective at the time of acquisition) for non-resident holders which are individuals, which may be subject to reduction or elimination under an applicable double taxation treaty. Income in the form of material benefit received in 2022 - 2023 is temporary exempt from Russian personal income tax.
Taxation & Government Incentives - Risk 6
Cyprus transfer pricing legislation may require pricing adjustments and impose additional tax liabilities with respect to intra group financing transactions and/or all related party transactions.
The arm's length principle in the Cyprus income tax law requires that all transactions between related parties should be carried out on an arm's length basis, being at fair values and on normal commercial terms.
More specifically, under the arm's length principle, where conditions are made or imposed upon the commercial or financial relations of two related parties which differ from those which would have been made between independent parties, any profits which would have accrued to one of the parties had the two parties been independent, but have not so accrued, may be included in the profits of that party and taxed accordingly. The amendment to the income tax law, effective as of January 1, 2015, extends the arm's length principle by introducing the possibility of, in cases where two related Cyprus tax residents transact and the Cyprus tax authorities make an upward arm's length adjustment to one of them, effecting a corresponding downwards adjustment to the other one.
On June 30, 2017, the Cyprus tax authorities issued a tax technical circular (Circular) providing guidance for the tax treatment of intra-group financing transactions (IGFTs). The Circular effective as from July 1, 2017 closely follows the application of the arm's length principle of the OECD Transfer Pricing Guidelines and it applies for all relevant existing and future IGFTs. In this respect, the remuneration on all IGFTs should be supported by a transfer pricing study in order to be accepted by the Cyprus tax authorities.
IGFTs for the purposes of the Circular are defined as (i) any activity relating to granting of loans or cash advances to related companies that is or should be remunerated by interest; and (ii) such activity is financed by financial means and instruments, such as debentures, private loans, cash advances and bank loans.
The Circular requires that the transfer pricing study should be prepared by independent experts and will have to be based on the relevant OECD standards for the purposes of (i) describing (delineating) the IGFT by performing a comparability analysis based on the functional and risk profile of the company; and (ii) determining the applicable arm's length remuneration by performing an economic analysis.
On 30 June 2022 the Cyprus Parliament passed a law introducing detailed transfer pricing legislation, with effect from 1 January 2022, explicitly incorporating the OECD Transfer Pricing Guidelines under legislation in Cyprus. As a result, the Transfer Pricing rules are legislatively implemented and it is now a requirement to justify full compliance with the arm's length principle on controlled transactions through appropriate documentation.
Taxation & Government Incentives - Risk 7
We may encounter difficulties in obtaining lower rates of Russian withholding income tax envisaged by the Russia-Cyprus double tax treaty for dividends distributed from Russia.
Dividends paid by a Russian legal entity to a foreign legal entity are generally subject to Russian withholding income tax at a rate of 15%, although this tax rate may be reduced under an applicable double tax treaty. We intend to rely on the Russia-Cyprus double tax treaty. The Russian-Cyprus double tax treaty allows reduction of withholding income tax on dividends paid by a Russian company to a Cypriot company provided that the following conditions are met: (i) the Cypriot company is a tax resident of Cyprus within the meaning of the tax treaty; (ii) the Cypriot company is the beneficial owner of the dividends; (iii) the dividends are not attributable to a permanent establishment of the Cypriot company in Russia; (iv) the conditions established by the Russia-Cyprus double tax treaty for application of the reduced tax rate are satisfied; (v) the treaty benefits are not disallowed by the applicable provisions of MLI; and (vi) the treaty clearance procedures are duly performed.
The Protocol of September 8, 2020 coming into effect from January 2021 and amending Russia-Cyprus double tax treaty increased withholding tax rates in respect of interest and dividend income to 15% (though it provides for a number of exceptions where the lower rates of 5% or 0% are envisaged). The reduced 5% tax rate in respect of dividend and interest income is envisaged for certain categories of income recipients, including public companies whose shares are listed on a registered stock exchange provided that at least 15% of the voting shares of that company are in free float and which holds directly at least 15% of the capital of the company paying the dividends throughout a 365 days period that includes the day of payment of the dividends. The Cypriot holding company believes that it fulfills the conditions for application of the reduced 5% tax rate under the amended Russia-Cyprus double tax treaty in respect of dividend income, including more than 15% free float. However, there is some uncertainty in respect of the approach as to how to establish the percentage of depository receipts in free float. Although, the Russian Ministry of Finance issued some clarifications on this matter there is still some possibility that different interpretations could be applied given the vague wording of such clarification. Also, there is no assurance that the Russian Ministry of Finance will not revise its position in the future or that the Russian tax authorities will not challenge the company's position in this respect. There is also no assurance that the reduced withholding income tax rate under the Russia-Cyprus double tax treaty will be applied to interest income.
Moreover, having regard to current unstable political and economic environment resulting in recent unfavorable developments in double tax treaty relations between Russia and other countries (see "– Weaknesses and changes in the Russian tax system could materially and adversely affect our business and the value of investments in Russia"), we cannot exclude that double tax treaty between Russia and Cyprus may be either denounced or suspended in the future which may result in increased tax costs and have an adverse effect on our business and financial condition.
The application of Russia-Cyprus double tax treaty benefits could be also disallowed if our Cypriot holding company fails to duly perform the treaty clearance procedures at the date when the dividend payment is made. In this case, we may seek to claim as a refund the difference between the 15% tax withheld and the reduced rate of 5% (as applicable). However, there can be no assurance that such taxes would be refunded in practice. Furthermore, starting from January 1, 2015, a number of amendments had been made to the Russian tax legislation introducing, amongst others, the concept of beneficial ownership. Under this concept, double tax treaty benefits are only available to the recipient of income from Russian sources, if such recipient is the beneficial owner of the relevant income. Foreign entities that do not qualify as beneficial owners may not claim double tax treaty relief even if they are residents in a double tax treaty country. Starting from 1 January 2017, the Russian Tax Code requires the tax agent to obtain confirmation from the non-resident holder-legal entity that it is the beneficial owner of the relevant income. Russian tax law provides neither the form of such confirmation nor the precise list of documents which can demonstrate the beneficial owner status of the recipient with respect to the received income. Due to the introduction of these changes, there can be no assurance that treaty relief at source will be available in practice. According to the clarifications of the Russian tax authorities, a foreign company may not benefit from a double tax treaty if its activity does not have a real business purpose, if such company does not bear any risks that are normal for business activity, such company does not benefit from the use of such income and its employees actually do not control/ manage such company. If activities of the company are limited to investments and/or financing of a group of companies, it cannot be considered as an independent business activity and it is not enough to confirm the beneficial owner status of the recipient of income. In addition, it is unclear how the beneficial ownership concept will evolve in the future. As a result, there is a risk that application of the concept of beneficial ownership may result in the inability of the foreign companies within our Group to claim benefits under a double taxation treaty through structures which historically have benefited from double taxation treaty protection in Russia.
Cypriot holding company intends to use simplified approach for confirmation of the beneficial ownership status that has recently been adopted for public companies with shares and (or) depository receipts comprising more that 25% of their share capital admitted to trade on a qualifying stock exchange if the respective confirmation letter on its beneficial ownership status and documents confirming publicly traded company status are in place. Since this simplified approach is relatively new and untested there is no assurance that the Russian tax authorities will not challenge our beneficial ownership status.
Taxation & Government Incentives - Risk 8
We may be deemed to be a tax resident outside of Cyprus.
According to the provisions of the Cyprus Income Tax Law, a company is considered to be a resident in Cyprus for tax purposes if its management and control is exercised in Cyprus. The concept of "management and control" is not defined in the Cypriot tax legislation. For more details in relation to tax residency in Cyprus see Item 10.E "Taxation – Material Cypriot Tax Considerations – Tax residency of a company". On 9 December 2021, the Cyprus Parliament voted to pass into law two bills for amending the Cyprus tax legislation in order to address aggressive tax planning, one of which being the introduction of a corporate tax residency test based on incorporation in addition to the existing "management and control" test.
If we are deemed not to be a tax resident in Cyprus, we may not be subject to the Cypriot tax regime other than in respect of Cyprus sourced income and we may be subject to the tax regime of the country in which we are deemed to be a tax resident. Further, we would not be eligible for benefits under the double tax treaties entered into between Cyprus and other countries.
The double tax treaty in force between Cyprus and Russia provides that a company shall be deemed to be a tax resident of the state in which the place of effective management of the company is situated. In case both states claim the tax residency of the company, the process of determining the effective management will be achieved through the two states endeavoring to determine the place of effective management by mutual agreement having regard to all relevant factors.
Taxation & Government Incentives - Risk 9
Our companies established outside of Russia may be exposed to taxation in Russia.
Due to our international structure (see Item 18 "Financial Statements, Note 5. Consolidated subsidiaries"), we are subject to permanent establishment, tax residency rules and transfer pricing risks in various jurisdictions in which we operate. We manage the related risks by looking at management functions and risks in various countries and level of profits allocated to each subsidiary. If additional taxes are assessed in connection with these matters, they may be material.
Under the Russian Tax Code, a foreign legal entity may be recognized as a Russian tax resident if such entity is managed from Russia. There are certain rules for determining the place of effective management for foreign companies. In particular, a foreign entity is considered to be managed from Russia if such entity and its business meet at least one of the following criteria: (i) its executive body (bodies) regularly acts (act) on its behalf from Russia; or (ii) its senior (management) staff (persons authorized to plan, supervise and manage the undertaking's business, and who are liable therefor) predominantly perform their management functions (that is, making decisions and carrying out other actions relating to the business of the entity falling within the competence of its executive bodies) in Russia. If an entity is recognized as Russian tax resident it is obligated to register with the Russian tax authorities, calculate and pay Russian tax on its worldwide income and comply with other tax-related rules established for Russian legal entities or organizations. There is an uncertainty as to how these criteria could be applied by the Russian tax authorities in practice.
We may not rule out the possibility that, as a result of these regulations, we or our companies established outside of Russia might be deemed to have become Russian tax residents, subject to all applicable Russian taxes, which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial conditions and results of operations. In addition, if we are regarded as Russian tax resident dividend income received by the Non-Resident Holders of ADSs may be subject to Russian withholding tax at 15%. Due to certain specifics and uncertainty surrounding the withholding tax mechanism in Russia our recognition as Russian tax resident may also lead to taxation of dividends received by Russian Resident Holders at source at a 15% tax rate, normally applicable to Non-Resident Holders.
Each jurisdiction has its own tax residency requirements. We believe that our subsidiaries do comply with tax residency requirements of the jurisdiction, where they are incorporated; however, there might be a risk that they may be deemed a tax resident outside of countries of their incorporations.
The Russian Tax Code contains the concept of a permanent establishment in Russia as means for taxing foreign legal entities, which carry on regular operational activities in Russia beyond the activities of preparatory and auxiliary nature. The Russian double tax treaties with other countries also contain a similar concept. If a foreign company is treated as having a permanent establishment in Russia, it would be subject to Russian taxation in a manner broadly similar to the taxation of a Russian legal entity, but only to the extent of the amount of the foreign company's income that is attributable to the permanent establishment in Russia. However, the practical application of the concept of a permanent establishment under Russian domestic law is not well developed and so foreign companies having even limited operations in Russia, which would not normally satisfy the conditions for creating a permanent establishment under international rules, may be at risk of being treated as having a permanent establishment in Russia and hence being exposed to Russian taxation. Furthermore, the Russian Tax Code contains attribution rules, which are not sufficiently developed, and there is a risk that the tax authorities might seek to assess Russian tax on the global income of a foreign company. Having a permanent establishment in Russia may also lead to other adverse tax implications, including challenging a reduced withholding tax rate on dividends under an applicable double tax treaty, potential effect on VAT and property tax obligations. There is also a risk that penalties could be imposed by the tax authorities for failure to register a permanent establishment with the Russian tax authorities. Recent events in Russia suggest that the tax authorities may be seeking more actively to investigate and assert whether foreign entities of our Group operate through a permanent establishment in Russia. Any such taxes or penalties could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Taxation & Government Incentives - Risk 10
Changed
Our Russian subsidiaries are subject to tax audits by the Russian tax authorities which may result in additional tax liabilities.
Generally, taxpayers are subject to tax audits for a period of three calendar years immediately preceding the year in which the decision to conduct the audit is taken. Nevertheless, in some cases the fact that a tax period has been reviewed by the tax authorities does not prevent further review of that tax period, or any tax return applicable to that tax period within three-year statute of limitation period. In addition, based on the court practice and the first part of the Russian Tax Code, the three-year statute of limitations for tax liabilities is extended if the actions of the taxpayer create insurmountable obstacles for the tax audit. Because none of the relevant terms is defined in Russian law, the tax authorities may have broad discretion to argue that a taxpayer has "obstructed" or "hindered" or "created insurmountable obstacles" in respect of an audit, effectively linking any difficulty experienced in the course of their tax audit with obstruction by the taxpayer and use that as a basis to seek tax adjustments and penalties beyond the three-year term. Therefore, the statute of limitations is not entirely effective. Tax audits may result in additional costs to our Group if the relevant tax authorities conclude that our Russian subsidiaries did not satisfy their tax obligations in any given year. Such audits may also impose additional tax burdens on our Group by diverting the attention of management resources. The outcome of these audits could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
In accordance with president's decree dated 02.03.2022 ?83 Federal Tax Service of Russian Federation issued letter dated 24.03.2022 ? ??-4-2/3586@ according to which tax audits for all accredited IT-companies were postponed until the 3rd March 2025, unless tax audit is sanctioned with consent of head of the higher tax authority or with consent of the head of federal tax service. Some of our Russian IT subsidiaries currently enjoy the above preferential approach. There is no assurance that such approach applicable to IT companies will not be cancelled or that our Russian IT subsidiaries will not lose the status of qualifying IT companies to benefit from the above.
Taxation & Government Incentives - Risk 11
Added
Certain tax reliefs currently applied by some of our Russian subsidiaries having status of participants of territories with special preferential regimes could cease to be available in the future.
Some of our Russian subsidiaries currently apply tax benefits envisaged for qualified participants of territories with special preferential regimes which is aimed to attract R&D activity in a number of specific technical fields. These tax benefits usually provide for tax exemption from corporate income tax, VAT and property tax and for reduced rates of social security contributions. The above tax benefits have a limited validity period and expire after a certain number of years from the date, when taxpayers became participants of such special territories, or upon losing the status of participant of such special territories. In addition, special preferential regime could be lost once certain revenue/profit thresholds are exceeded by the participants. Certain compliance requirements are applicable to the qualifying participants of territories with special preferential regimes, including those required to confirm the eligibility to some of the above tax benefits.
Given that the volume of operations of our Russian subsidiaries applying tax benefits envisaged in special territories could increase over the time, there cannot be any assurance that the financial thresholds required to apply such tax benefits will not be exceeded which will result in losing the eligibility to such benefits. Losing tax benefits envisaged in special territories may have an adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Taxation & Government Incentives - Risk 12
Added
The Russian tax authorities may challenge the application of reduced social security contributions, VAT and corporate profits tax rates by some of our Russian companies.
Starting from the January 1, 2022, Russian qualifying IT companies can apply 0% corporate income tax rate instead of general tax rate 20%. The above 0% corporate income tax rate is set for the period from 2022 to 2024. The tax rate after 2024 is not currently established and there is uncertainty on whether 0% or any other beneficial corporate income tax rate could be applied after 2024. IT companies can also enjoy reduced VAT tax rate (0% instead of general tax rate 20%) and a reduced social security contributions rate of 7.6% in relation to payments to employees.
In order to apply the reduced profit tax and social security contributions rates, a taxpayer should be officially accredited to perform IT activity, the share of its income from development, sale and provision of exclusive rights on own developed computer programs and databases, from rendering of services involving development, adaptation, modification and support of computer programs and databases and from some other IT activities with certain exceptions ("preferential IT activity") should comprise 70% of total income. The VAT exemption applies for providing rights to the use of software and databases included in the Unified Register of Russian Software for Computers and Databases.
Some of our subsidiaries apply reduced social security contributions, profits tax and VAT rates in accordance with the above preferential tax regime for IT companies.
There is some uncertainty as to the classification of some types of activities as preferential IT activities for the purposes of application of the reduced tax rates. Relevant provisions of the Tax Code regarding the requirements for application of benefits for IT companies are relatively untested. Given the absence of substantial administrative and court practice, the tax authorities may challenge the application of reduced rates by some of our subsidiaries. Moreover, there is no assurance that the above tax benefits, including reduced corporate income tax rate of 0%, would not be cancelled or amended going forward. This may have an adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Taxation & Government Incentives - Risk 13
Added
Changes in the UAE tax system, the introduction of income tax and transfer pricing rules could adversely affect our business in UAE.
On December 9, Federal Decree-Law No. 47/2022 "On Corporate Tax and Income Tax" was published by the Ministry of Finance of the UAE, which establishes income tax and transfer pricing rules in the UAE.
The Corporate Tax law provides the legislative basis for the introduction and implementation of a Federal Corporate Tax in the UAE and is effective for financial years starting on or after 1 June 2023. The Corporate Tax law will be effective 15 days after publishing in the official gazette.
Following from the Consultation Document that was issued in April 2022, the Corporate Tax law clarifies and expands on many key provisions. However, it also leaves a number of areas that remain to be fully clarified in subsequent Cabinet and ministerial decisions and tax authority guidance.
Corporate entities that conduct Business/Business Activity in the UAE are considered a Taxable Person and will be liable to pay Corporate Tax. A Taxable Person can either be a Resident Person or a Non-Resident Person (including Branches, Partnerships and Foundations).
The Corporate Tax law also imposes an obligation to pay Corporate Tax on residents of Free Zones. The law suggests that a Qualifying Free Zone Person can have both Qualifying Income (taxed at the rate of 0%) and non-qualifying Taxable Income (taxed at 9%), a significant open question from the Consultation Document. However, some questions remain to be answered on this.
The conditions to be considered a Qualifying Free Zone Person include among others maintaining adequate substance, complying with transfer pricing provisions and not electing to be subject to Corporate Tax. All Free Zone entities will be required to register and file a Corporate Tax return, irrespective of whether they are a Qualifying Free Zone Person or not.
A number of points remain unanswered such as what constitutes Qualifying Income (subject to Cabinet decision), the treatment of transactions between Free Zone entities and group entities located in mainland UAE, and whether the election to become subject to regular Corporate Tax in the UAE is irrevocable.
The UAE Corporate Tax law contains several articles relating to Transfer Pricing. The key points covered under the Corporate Tax law are summarised below:
- Transactions with related parties and connected persons must meet the arm's length principle.
- TP methods, broadly in line with the OECD TP Guidelines, are introduced.
- Definitions of ‘Related Parties', ‘Control' and ‘Connected Persons' are covered.
- Concept of transfer pricing adjustments, including corresponding adjustments and potential mechanisms, is provided.
- Taxpayers to prepare TP documentation (disclosure form, master file, local file). Conditions and format to be provided under separate ministerial decisions and tax authority guidance.
- Further details expected via separate ministerial decisions and tax authority guidance.
The provisions put forward in the UAE Corporate Tax law build from best practices globally and incorporate principles that are internationally known and accepted. However, there are still some questions that remain to be answered. It also leaves a number of areas that remain to be fully clarified in subsequent Cabinet and ministerial decisions and tax authority guidance. Upcoming regime will have profound implications on the flow of our business in UAE but we do not know what other changes and additions will be made to the Corporate Tax law, what will be the requirements and issues of local tax authorities. This could adversely affect our business in UAE.
Taxation & Government Incentives - Risk 14
Added
Changes in the Kazakhstan tax system could adversely affect our business and the value of investments in Kazakhstan.
Tax laws and regulations are changing in Kazakhstan. On 21 December 2022, the President signed the Law on introduction of amendments to the Tax Code. An additional condition was introduced for the automatic application of double tax treaties in respect of non-residents' income in the form of dividends, interest and royalties. In case such income is paid to a related party, a tax resident of the country with which the double tax treaty has been amended by MLI provisions, a tax agent has the right to apply the treaty protection if the following conditions are met:
1.income is subject to inclusion in taxable income of a non-resident and is taxable in the country of its residence without the right to exclude / decrease / adjust such income from taxable income in a reporting period, and (or) refund in a reporting and (or) subsequent periods of tax paid from such taxable income; and 2.the nominal tax rate, which is applied when taxing such income in the country of residence of the non-resident in the reporting period is at least 15%.
We cannot be guaranteed that the application of the rates established by double tax treaties will not be challenged by tax authorities. In practice, the Kazakhstan tax authorities generally interpret the tax laws in ways that do not favor taxpayers, this may lead to the imposition of arbitrary or onerous taxes and penalties in the future, which could adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Taxation & Government Incentives - Risk 15
Changed
We may be classified as a passive foreign investment company ("PFIC") for US federal income tax purposes, which could result in adverse US federal income tax consequences to US Holders of our ADSs.
We will be classified as a PFIC in any taxable year if either: (a) 50% or more of the fair market value of our gross assets (determined on the basis of a quarterly average) for the taxable year produce passive income or are held for the production of passive income, or (b) 75% or more of our gross income for the taxable year is passive income. For this purpose, cash and assets readily convertible into cash are generally treated as passive assets and our goodwill and other unbooked intangibles will generally be taken into account in determining the value of our assets.
Based on the composition of our income and assets, we believe that we were classified as a PFIC for the taxable year ended December 31, 2022. The application of the PFIC rules is subject to uncertainty in several respects, and we must make a separate determination after the close of each taxable year as to whether we were a PFIC for such year. Accordingly, there can be no assurance regarding our PFIC status for any taxable year.
If we are a PFIC for any taxable year during which a US Holder (defined below) holds our ADSs, such holder may be subject to certain adverse US federal income tax consequences. We do not intend to provide the information necessary for the US investor to make a qualified electing fund election with respect to our ADSs. See "Taxation – United States Federal Income Tax Considerations – Passive Foreign Investment Companies".
Environmental / Social1 | 1.2%
Environmental / Social - Risk 1
Added
We may not be able to meet changing expectations from investors, customers, regulators, and other stakeholders regarding environmental, social, and governance ("ESG") issues, which may negatively affect our reputation and therefore our business and financial results.
In December, 2022, we published our first Sustainability report. ESG-related risks may directly or indirectly negatively affect our reputation in case we are not able to meet expectations of the constantly evolving business environment in which we operate.
Certain ESG-related voluntary rules and guidances have been imposed by our regulators and we believe there will be further developments, which may lead us to additional compliance costs or expose us to new or additional risks. Additionally, some organizations developed ratings that may be based on various measures to assess businesses in terms of ESG issues. Even if the evaluations are unreliable, they may still have a negative impact on our reputation.
We may be at risk of reputational damage, loss of client or investor confidence, and other consequences if we are unable to effectively implement our ESG strategy, to maintain the standards required by, or meet the expectations of regulators, ESG-rating organizations, our investors, clients or business partners.
Finance & Corporate
Total Risks: 19/82 (23%)Above Sector Average
Share Price & Shareholder Rights14 | 17.1%
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 1
The substantial share ownership position of the Chairman of our board of directors, Sergey Solonin, may limit your ability to influence corporate matters.
Following the purchase of our class B shares (including class B shares represented by our ADSs), pursuant to two tender offers conducted in 2022 by the Chairman of our board of directors, Sergey Solonin, and his wholly-owned company, Dalliance Services Company, with a view to provide further liquidity to the company's investors, Mr. Solonin beneficially owns approximately 71.2% of the voting power of our issued share capital.
As a result of this concentration of share ownership, Mr. Solonin has sole discretion over any matters submitted to our shareholders for approval that require a simple majority vote and has significant voting power on all matters submitted to our shareholders for approval that require a qualified majority vote, including the power to veto them.
Our articles of association require the approval of no less than 75% of present and voting shareholders for matters such as amendments to the constitutional documents of our company, dissolution or liquidation of our company, reducing the share capital, buying back shares and approving the total number of shares and classes of shares to be reserved for issuance under any employee stock option plan or any other equity-based incentive compensation program of our group. Matters requiring a simple majority shareholder vote include, among other matters, increasing our authorized capital, removing a director, approving the annual audited accounts and appointing auditors.
This concentration of ownership could delay, deter or prevent a change of control or other business combination that might otherwise give you the opportunity to realize a premium over then-prevailing market price of our shares. The interests of Mr. Solonin may not always coincide with the interests of our other shareholders. This concentration of ownership may also adversely affect the price of our ADSs.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 2
Our ADS holders have limited rights in relation to the appointment of our directors, including our independent directors.
Other than in certain limited cases provided for in our articles of association, our directors are elected by shareholder weighted voting, sometimes referred to as cumulative voting, under which each shareholder has the right to cast as many votes as the voting rights attached to its shares multiplied by a number equal to the number of board seats to be filled by shareholders. As a result, our class A shareholders will have the ability to appoint, through the weighted voting set forth in our articles of association, at least a majority of the board of directors for the foreseeable future. The interests of our directors may therefore not be aligned with or be in the best interests of the holders of our ADSs.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 3
The rights of our shareholders are governed by Cyprus law and our articles of association, and differ in some important respects from the typical rights of shareholders under US state laws.
Our corporate affairs are governed by our articles of association and by the laws governing companies incorporated in Cyprus. The rights of our shareholders and the responsibilities of members of our board of directors under Cyprus law and our articles of association are different than under some of the US state laws. For example, by law existing holders of shares in a Cypriot public company are entitled to pre-emptive rights on the issue of new shares in that company (provided such shares are paid in cash and the pre-emption rights have not been disapplied). In addition, our articles of association include other provisions, which differ from provisions typically included in the governing documents of most companies organized in the US:
- our board of directors can only take certain actions by means of a supermajority vote of 75% of its members, including approving our annual budget and business plan, disposing of our interest in a subsidiary if such disposal results in a change of control over such subsidiary, issuing shares for consideration other than cash and other actions;- our shareholders are able to convene an extraordinary general meeting; and - if our board of directors exercises its right to appoint a director to fill a vacancy on the board created during the term of a director's appointment, shareholders holding 10.01% of the voting rights of the company may terminate the appointment of all of the directors and initiate reelection of the entire board of directors.
As a result of the differences described above, our shareholders may have rights different to those generally available to shareholders of companies organized under US state laws and our board of directors may find it more difficult to approve certain actions.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 4
As a foreign private issuer whose ADSs are listed on Nasdaq, we have elected to follow certain home country corporate governance practices instead of certain Nasdaq requirements.
As a foreign private issuer whose ADSs are listed on Nasdaq, we are permitted in certain cases to, and do, follow Cypriot corporate governance practices instead of the corresponding requirements of Nasdaq. We follow Cypriot corporate governance practices with regard to the composition of our board of directors which, unlike the applicable Nasdaq rule for US corporations, do not require that a majority of our directors be independent. We also do not have a compensation committee or a nominating committee comprised entirely of independent directors, and our independent directors do not meet in regular executive sessions. In addition, our board of directors has not made any determination whether it will comply with certain Nasdaq rules concerning shareholder approval prior to our taking certain company actions, including the issuance of 20% or more of our then-outstanding share capital or voting power in connection with an acquisition, and our board of directors, in such circumstances, may instead determine to follow Cypriot law. Accordingly, our shareholders may not be afforded the same rights and protection as provided under Nasdaq corporate governance rules.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 5
Our ADS holders may not have the same voting rights as the holders of our class A shares and class B shares and may not receive voting materials in time to be able to exercise their right to vote. Our ADS holders' right to receive certain distributions may be limited in certain respects by the deposit agreement.
Except as set forth in the deposit agreement, holders of our ADSs are not able to directly exercise voting rights attaching to the class B shares represented by our ADSs. Holders of our ADSs may instruct the depositary how to vote such holder's class B shares represented by the ADSs. Upon receipt of voting instructions from an ADS holder, the depositary will vote the underlying class B shares in accordance with these instructions. Pursuant to our articles of association, we may convene an annual shareholders' meeting or a shareholders' meeting called for approval of matters requiring a 75% shareholder vote upon at least 45 days' notice and upon at least 30 days' notice for all other shareholders' meetings. If we give timely notice to the depositary under the terms of the deposit agreement and so request, the depositary will notify you of the upcoming vote and arrange to deliver our voting materials to you. We cannot assure our ADS holders that they will receive the voting materials in time to instruct the depositary to vote the class B shares underlying their ADSs, and it is possible that our ADS holders, or persons who hold their ADSs through brokers, dealers or other third parties, will not have the opportunity to exercise a right to vote. In addition, the depositary and its agents are not responsible for failing to carry out voting instructions or for the manner of carrying out voting instructions. This means that our ADS holders may not be able to exercise their right to vote and there may be nothing such holders can do if the class B shares underlying your ADSs are not voted as requested. In addition, although our ADS holders may directly exercise their right to vote by withdrawing the class B shares underlying their ADSs, they may not receive sufficient advance notice of an upcoming shareholders' meeting to withdraw the class B shares underlying their ADSs to allow them to vote with respect to any specific matter. Furthermore, under the deposit agreement, the depositary has the right to restrict distributions to holders of the ADSs in the event that it is unlawful or impractical to make such distributions. We have no obligation to take any action to permit distributions to holders of our ADSs. As a result, holders of ADSs may not receive distributions made by us.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 6
Shareholder liability under Russian corporate law could cause us to become liable for the obligations of our subsidiaries.
Russian law generally provides that shareholders in a Russian joint-stock company or participants in a limited liability company are not liable for that company's obligations and risk only the loss of their investment. This may not be the case, however, when one company (the "effective parent") is capable of making decisions for another (the "effective subsidiary"). Under certain circumstances, the effective parent bears joint and several responsibilities for transactions concluded by the effective subsidiary in carrying out such decisions.
In addition, under Russian law, an effective parent is secondarily liable for an effective subsidiary's debts if an effective subsidiary becomes insolvent or bankrupt as a result of the action of an effective parent. In these instances, the other shareholders of the effective subsidiary may claim compensation for the effective subsidiary's losses from the effective parent that causes the effective subsidiary to take action or fail to take action knowing that such action or failure to take action would result in losses. We could be found to be the effective parent of our subsidiaries, in which case we would become liable for their debts, which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 7
We have become subject to lawsuits in connection with the abrupt decrease in our share price caused by our disclosure of the restrictions introduced by the CBR with respect to Qiwi Bank's operations in December 2020.
Following our disclosure of the restrictions imposed by the CBR on us in December 2020 (see "– Qiwi Bank operates in a highly regulated environment and increased regulatory scrutiny could have an adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations"), we and certain of our current and former executive officers have been named as defendants in two lawsuits in the United States District Court for the Eastern District of New York that were filed in December 2020 and January 2021 and have been coordinated before the same judge. These lawsuits allege that the defendants made certain false or misleading statements that were supposedly revealed when the CBR audit results and restrictions were disclosed in December 2020, which the plaintiffs perceive as a violation of Sections 10(b) and 20(a) of the 1934 Securities Exchange Act, and seek damages and other relief based upon such allegations. We believe that these lawsuits are without merit and intend to defend against them vigorously, and we expect to incur certain costs associated with defending against these actions. At this early stage of the litigations, the ultimate outcomes are uncertain and we cannot reasonably predict the timing or outcomes, or estimate the amount of loss, if any, or their effect, if any, on our financial statements. Any litigation to which we are a party may result in an onerous or unfavorable judgment that may not be reversed on appeal, or we may decide to settle lawsuits on unfavorable terms. Any such negative outcome could result in payments of substantial monetary damages and accordingly our business could be seriously harmed. Regardless of the final outcome, defending these claims is costly and can impose a significant burden on management and employees, and we may receive unfavorable preliminary, interim, or final rulings in the course of litigation, which could seriously harm our business.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 8
Changed
We cannot guarantee that we will buy back any of our ordinary shares represented by ADSs pursuant to the buyback program approved by our shareholders or that our buyback program will enhance long-term shareholder value.
On May 16, 2022, our shareholders approved a buyback program under which the company may directly or through any of its subsidiaries acquire ordinary shares of the company represented by the ADSs listed on the Nasdaq Global Select Market and the Moscow Exchange, in the open market (see Item 4 "History and Development of the Company"). The buyback program authorizes our board of directors to instruct management to acquire the ordinary shares for a period of 12 months as from May 16, 2022. The specific timing and amount of buybacks under the buyback program depends upon several factors, including market and business conditions, the trading price of our ordinary shares, and the nature of other investment opportunities. In addition, our ability to buy back shares may be limited by law or regulatory authority. In particular, in accordance with Cyprus law, the total nominal value of the ordinary shares that may be acquired under by the company or any of its subsidiary if the buyback program is approved, shall not exceed 10% of the total number of shares outstanding.
We are not obligated to purchase any ordinary shares under the buyback program, and the program may be suspended or discontinued at any time. Buybacks of our ordinary shares pursuant to our buyback program could affect the market price of our ordinary shares or increase their volatility. The existence of a buyback program could also cause the price of our ordinary shares to be higher than it would be in the absence of such a program and could potentially reduce the market liquidity for our ordinary shares. Additionally, buybacks under the buyback program will diminish our cash reserves, which impacts our ability to pursue possible future strategic opportunities and acquisitions, support our operations, invest in securities and pay dividends and could result in lower overall returns on our cash balances. Buybacks may not enhance shareholder value because the market price of our ordinary shares may decline below the levels at which we buyback ordinary shares, and short-term stock price fluctuations could reduce the program's effectiveness.
On February 28, 2022, trading on the Moscow Exchange in all equity securities was suspended (including our ADSs), which suspension was later extended until the limited resumption of stock trading on the Moscow Exchange on March 24, 2022, and the full resumption of stock trading on the Moscow Exchange on March 28, 2022. Also, on February 28, 2022, the Nasdaq Global Select Market halted trading in our ADSs and stocks of certain other Russian companies. As of the date of this annual report, our Board of Directors has not approved the commencement of the buyback program as currently it sees no opportunity to repurchase ADSs ensuring equal treatment of all holders of our ADSs due to the lingering stock market infrastructure issues resulting from the imposition of sanctions on the NSD. See also "– Holders of our ADSs currently have limited or no liquidity in our ADSs. Following the trading halt introduced on our ADSs by Nasdaq, Nasdaq informed us of its determination to delist our securities. Although we requested a hearing to appeal the delisting determination, there can be no assurance that Nasdaq will reverse its decision and when or if the trading will be resumed. Trading in our ADSs on the Moscow Exchange is subject to certain limitations". In case our Board of Directors decides to approve the commencement of the buyback program, we may be limited in our ability to purchase ADSs due to lower liquidity, should the trading suspensions of our ADSs on Nasdaq and Russian settlement infrastructure issues persist.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 9
Changed
Investors in our ADSs may have limited recourse against us, our directors and executive officers because we conduct our operations outside the US and most of our current directors and executive officers reside outside the US.
Our presence outside the US may limit investors' legal recourse against us. We are incorporated under the laws of the Republic of Cyprus. All of our current directors and senior officers reside outside the US, principally in the Russian Federation. Substantially all of our assets and the assets of our current directors and executive officers are located outside the US, principally in the Russian Federation. As a result, investors may not be able to effect service of process within the US upon our company or its directors and executive officers or to enforce US court judgments obtained against our company or its directors and executive officers in Russia, Cyprus or other jurisdictions outside the US, including actions under the civil liability provisions of US securities laws. In addition, it may be difficult for investors to enforce, in original actions brought in courts in jurisdictions outside the US, liabilities predicated upon US securities laws. There is no treaty between the US and Russia providing for reciprocal recognition and enforcement of foreign court judgments in civil and commercial matters. These limitations may deprive investors of effective legal recourse for claims related to their investment in our ADSs.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 10
Future sales of ADSs or ordinary shares by significant shareholders could cause the price of our ADSs to decline.
If any of our significant shareholders sell, or indicate an intent to sell, substantial amounts of our ADSs or ordinary shares, including both class A shares and class B shares, in the market, the trading price of our ADSs could decline significantly. We cannot predict the effect, if any, that future sales of these ADSs or ordinary shares or the availability of these ADSs or ordinary shares for sale will have on the market price of our ADSs. As of the date of this annual report, we have outstanding 62,712,975 ordinary shares, including those represented by ADSs. Our shares that are not currently represented by ADSs could generally be added into our ADS program in relatively short order, subject to applicable securities laws restrictions. The only significant shareholder (see Item 7.A "Major Shareholders") has certain registration rights and are able to cause us to conduct registered offerings. A significant sale of our securities by any of these holders or any other future owner of a substantial stake in our company could have a detrimental effect on the trading price of our ADSs. We cannot predict what effect, if any, market sales of securities held by our significant shareholders or any other shareholder or the availability of these securities for future sale will have on the market price of the ADSs.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 11
Our ADS holders may not be able to exercise their pre-emptive rights in relation to future issuances of class B shares.
In order to raise funding in the future, we may issue additional class B shares, including class B shares represented by ADSs. Generally, existing holders of shares in Cypriot public companies are entitled by law to pre-emptive rights on the issue of new shares in that company (provided that such shares are paid in cash and the pre-emption rights have not been disapplied). Our ADS holders may not be able to exercise pre-emptive rights for class B shares represented by ADSs unless applicable securities law requirements are adhered to or an exemption from such requirements is available. In the US, we may be required to file a registration statement under the Securities Act to implement pre-emptive rights. We can give no assurance that an exemption from the registration requirements of the Securities Act would be available to enable US holders of ADSs to exercise such pre-emptive rights and, if such exemption is available, we may not take the steps necessary to enable US holders of ADSs to rely on it. Accordingly, our ADS holders may not be able to exercise their pre-emptive rights on future issuances of shares, and, as a result, their percentage ownership interest in us would be reduced.
In April 2013, our shareholders authorized the disapplication of pre-emptive rights for a period of five years from May 8, 2013, the date of the closing of our initial public offering, in connection with the issue of up to an additional 52,000,000 class B shares, including in the form of ADSs. Such disapplication has expired on May 8, 2018, and while we have solicited further disapplication by our shareholders, such disapplication has not been supported by our public shareholders so far. If no further disapplication of pre-emptive rights is approved by our shareholders, any of our share issuances would be subject to the pre-emptive rights of our shareholders which some of our ADS holders may not be able to exercise due to the factors described above. At the same time, to the extent we attempt an offering of ADSs in the US pursuant to the pre-emptive rights of our shareholders, we may not be able to do so due to the fact that rights offerings are difficult to implement effectively under the current US securities laws, and our ability to raise capital in the future may be compromised if we need to do so via a rights offering in the US.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 12
ADS holders have no legal interest in the underlying class B shares.
ADS holders acquire the beneficial, and not the legal, interest in the underlying class B shares, which the depositary holds for them, under the terms of the deposit agreement. The intended effect is to ring-fence the class B shares in the hands of the depositary by conferring a property interest on ADS holders as beneficiaries. However, the interest of the ADS holders as beneficiaries in the class B shares, is indirect, in the sense that in the normal course they do not have any direct recourse to the class B shares nor do they have any direct right of action against us.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 13
ADS holders may be subject to limitations on transfer of their ADSs.
ADSs are transferable on the books of the depositary. However, the depositary may close its transfer books at any time or from time to time when it deems expedient in connection with the performance of its duties. In addition, the depositary may refuse to deliver, transfer or register transfers of ADSs generally when our books or the books of the depositary are closed, or at any time if we or the depositary deems it advisable to do so because of any requirement of law or of any government or governmental body, or under any provision of the deposit agreement, or for any other reason in accordance with the terms of the deposit agreement.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 14
The class B shares underlying the ADSs are not listed and may be illiquid.
The class B shares underlying the ADSs are neither listed nor traded on any stock exchange, and we do not intend to apply for the listing or admission to trading of the class B shares on any stock exchange. As a result, a withdrawal of class B shares by a holder of ADSs, whether by election or due to certain other events will result in that holder obtaining securities that are significantly less liquid than the ADSs and the price of those class B shares may be discounted as a result of such withdrawal.
Debt & Financing4 | 4.9%
Debt & Financing - Risk 1
Changed
Holders of our ADSs currently have limited or no liquidity in our ADSs. Following the trading halt introduced on our ADSs by Nasdaq, Nasdaq informed us of its determination to delist our securities. Although we requested a hearing to appeal the delisting determination, there can be no assurance that Nasdaq will reverse its decision and when or if the trading will be resumed. Trading in our ADSs on the Moscow Exchange is subject to certain limitations.
On February 28, 2022, trading on the Moscow Exchange in all equity securities was suspended (including our ADSs), which suspension was later extended until the limited resumption of stock trading on the Moscow Exchange on March 24, 2022, and further resumption of stock trading on the Moscow Exchange on March 28, 2022. Trading by non-Russian investors on the Moscow Exchange remained significantly restricted since then.
Also, on February 28, 2022, Nasdaq halted trading in our ADSs along with securities of certain other Russian companies. On March 15, 2023, we received a notice from the Listing Qualifications Staff of Nasdaq ("Staff") indicating that the Staff has determined to delist our ADSs, each representing one Class B ordinary share of the Company, from the Nasdaq Global Select Market. In the notice the Staff referred to Nasdaq Listing Rule 5101 that empowers Nasdaq to determine delisting of Company's securities based on any event, condition, or circumstance that exists or occurs that makes initial or continued listing of the securities on Nasdaq inadvisable or unwarranted in the opinion of Nasdaq, even though the securities meet all enumerated criteria for initial or continued listing on Nasdaq.
We believe we are in compliance with all applicable disclosure requirements, adhere to high standards of corporate governance and meet all qualitative and quantitative listing criteria of Nasdaq. On March 21, 2023, we requested an oral hearing to appeal the Staff's determination to delist our ADSs. On March 21, 2023, Nasdaq Listing Qualifications Hearings department provided a formal notice that the Hearings Panel ("Panel") will consider our appeal at an oral hearing on April 27, 2023. Pursuant to the notice all submissions for the hearing must be filed with the Panel by April 7, 2023. We will need to state with specificity the grounds upon which the Company is seeking review of Staff's determination letter. The delisting action has been stayed, pending a final written decision by the Panel.
We aim to protect our shareholders' rights and interests, but there can be no guarantee that Nasdaq will not proceed with the delisting action and no assurance when or if the trading halt will be lifted and the trading in our ADSs will be resumed. For as long as trading halt is in place, our ADSs remain effectively illiquid. If the trading halt ultimately results into the delisting, there will no longer be a liquid market for our ADSs on Nasdaq and only over the counter (OTC) transactions will be available with our ADSs.
There can also be no assurance that trading of ADSs of Russian companies, including us, will not be otherwise affected by sanctions restrictions even if the halt is lifted, and that brokers, dealers and other financial intermediaries from the US, UK, EU or any other country will be allowed to execute transactions with our ADSs due to potential legal restrictions or limitations set out in their internal policies, which will materially adversely affect the value and trading of the ADSs.
Trading in our ADSs on the Moscow Exchange is not affected by the Nasdaq delisting determination. Trading in our ADSs on the Moscow Exchange was suspended on February 28, 2022 and resumed on March 29, 2022. Under recently adopted legislation, however, there are certain restrictions for non-Russian investors to purchase and sell shares on the Moscow Exchange. Moreover, because the international settlement systems have currently suspended interactions with their Russian counterparts, and because the Russian National Settlement Depositary ("NSD") is subject to an EU asset freeze since June 2022, it is currently not possible for trades to settle between investors that acquired our ADSs on Nasdaq and investors on the Moscow Exchange. As a result, the volume of our ADSs available for trading on the Moscow Exchange is limited. The trading value of our ADSs on the Moscow Exchange may therefore be different from the value at which they would trade if all of our ADSs were available for trading. Furthermore, as a consequence of the EU asset freeze against the NSD, the NSD has been prevented from making distributions of dividends to holders of our ADSs traded on the Moscow Exchange. In addition, as a result of such designation, such holders of our ADSs were not able to execute their voting rights and convert their ADSs into our Ordinary Class B shares. As a result, in 2022, in light of our limited ability to distribute dividends or effect a buyback program with an equal treatment of all holders of our ADSs, our Board of Directors took a decision to continue reviewing any potential distribution of dividends or commencement of a buyback program until changes of the sanction regime in respect of the Russian National Settlement Depositary or other developments that may enable the company to address described issues. We can provide no assurance as to when or whether non-Russian investors will be permitted to effect trades on the Moscow exchange or when or whether the settlement systems will permit trading in all of our ADSs.
We are analyzing various options to restore liquidity for our shareholders, including alternative listing of securities, redomiciliation, restructuring, and others. However there is no assurance we will be able to find a solution or that any such solution will not have any adverse tax consequences or liquidity issues for all holders of our ADSs or underlying shares.
As of December 31, 2022, we had RUB 3,922 million in total debt, which was lower than cash and cash equivalents of RUB 47,462 million. Our debt facilities do not provide for any default or redemption right provisions associated with the trading halt and the Nasdaq trading halt does not affect company's financial or operating performance.
Debt & Financing - Risk 2
A decline in the use of cash as a means of payment or a decline in the use of kiosks and terminals may result in a reduced demand for our services.
A substantial part of the Russian population continues to rely on cash payments, rather than credit and debit card payments or electronic banking. Our business developed as a network of kiosks and terminals allowing consumers to use physical currency for online payments, and our core competitive edge at the time was our ability to offer consumers that primarily used cash as means of payment access to online payments through our kiosks and terminals simultaneously offering merchants access to a large pool of customers that use cash. While we have since largely outgrown that model, our kiosks and terminals network remains a significant part of our infrastructure as a reload and client acquisition channel for QIWI Wallet. We believe therefore that the usage of QIWI Wallet and hence our volumes, revenues and the profitability of our payment services segment continues to depend to some extent on the use of cash as a means of payment and the reach of our kiosks and terminals network. Over time, the prevalence of cash payments is declining as a greater percentage of the population in emerging markets is adopting credit and debit card payments and electronic banking, and our kiosks and terminals network, and the number of our agents, are decreasing as the market evolves towards a higher share of digital payments. In 2020-2022, our physical distribution network and the number of our agents also were, and to a certain extent may continue to be, negatively affected by the spread of COVID-19 pandemic, corresponding lockdown measures, and other restrictions that limited users' access to certain retail locations as well as the overall activity of the population and digitalization of the payments. Unless we can successfully differentiate ourselves from competition in the payments and financial services market through other features and functionalities beyond providing a pathway to online payments for consumers who continue to rely on cash through our kiosks and terminals network, and the access to this consumer segment for merchants and partners, the shift from cash payments to credit and debit card payments and electronic banking could reduce our market share and payment volumes and may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Other factors could also contribute to a decline in the use of kiosks and terminals, including regulatory changes, increases in consumer fees imposed by the agents (see "– If customer or merchant confidence in our business deteriorates, our business, financial condition and results of operations could be adversely affected"), and development of alternative payment channels. The overall number of and the use of kiosks underwent a substantial decline in 2015 as a result, among other things, of enhanced scrutiny by the CBR over the compliance by the agents with legislation that requires them to remit their proceeds to special accounts (see "– Regulation – Regulation of Payment Services"), and has been continuously declining since. Such decline has adversely affected the availability and convenience of our services to consumers, including the convenience of use of QIWI Wallet, for which historically kiosks and terminals have been the most popular reload channel. There can be no assurance that this negative impact will not continue going forward as increased regulatory pressures put more agents out of business and deter new ones from entering it. Other statutory requirements that could have a similar effect on our business if fully enforced against our agents are the provisions of the Federal Law of the Russian Federation No. 54-FZ "On the use of cash registers in cash payments and (or) settlements with the use of payment cards" which mandate that all kiosks (subject to certain exceptions) should be equipped with new or modernized cash registers. There can be no assurance that our agents are and will continue to be fully in compliance with these requirements, which could cause a further reduction of our kiosk network. Moreover, failure to comply with enhanced control measures by us or our agents could result in the CBR imposing fines or restrictions on our activities (see "– Qiwi Bank operates in a highly regulated environment and increased regulatory scrutiny could have an adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations"). In addition, while existing regulations do not expressly require that payment aggregators, such as us, use cash registers, there is clarificatory regulatory guidance what prescribes the use of cash registers in certain cases. In case of further development of existing regulations with an explicit requirement to the use of cash registers for payment aggregators, any failure to so comply may result in fines and suspension of operations. All of these factors could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Debt & Financing - Risk 3
Our operations may be constrained if we cannot attract or service future debt financing.
As of the date of this annual report, we have RUB 3.9 billion in debt, which represents the outstanding portion of the RUB 5.0 billion of bonds issued in 2020 by our subsidiary Qiwi Finance LLC, with respect to which Qiwi plc and our subsidiaries JSC Qiwi and Sette FZ-LLC have provided irrevocable offers to bondholders to purchase such bonds from them upon the occurrence of certain events. We may also incur additional debt financing to finance the development of our new or existing projects, and our operations and growth may be constrained if we cannot do so on favorable terms or at all. In particular, the continued success of our ROWI project is heavily dependent on procuring external funding to finance its operations. Our debt capacity depends upon our ability to maintain our operating performance at a certain level, which is subject to general economic and market conditions and to financial, business and other factors, many of which are outside of our control. If our cash flow from operating activities is insufficient to service our debt, we could be forced to take certain actions, including delaying or reducing capital or other expenditures or other actions, to restructure or refinance our debt; selling or mortgaging our assets or operations; or raising additional equity capital, which we might not be able to do on favorable terms, in a timely manner or at all. Furthermore, such actions might not be sufficient to allow us to service our debt obligations in full and, in any event, could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, and results of operations. Moreover, our inability to service our debt through internally generated cash flow or other sources of liquidity could put us in default of our obligations to creditors, which could trigger various default provisions under our financings and thus have a material adverse effect on the business, financial condition, and results of operations.
Debt & Financing - Risk 4
Our bond portfolio could decline in value, which may result in financial losses and have a negative effect on our compliance with banking prudential ratios.
As part of our treasury operations, we hold a portfolio of publicly traded debt securities. Accordingly, in connection with such portfolio, we are exposed to all of the risks that are associated with holding such securities, including unfavorable price fluctuations for any reason, decline in the market liquidity, market volatility, unfavorable changes in interest rates or foreign currency exchange rates affecting our positions, and the risk that the risk-management tools we use, such as value-at-risk formulas and stop-loss orders, will not be effective to prevent losses or will not work as intended. We also bear the risk of defaults by the issuers of the debt securities we hold. Investments in debt securities represented million RUB 16,975, or 15.2% of our total assets as of December 31, 2022. As of 31 December 2022, predominantly all of the securities held by us were government and high-quality corporate bonds, which are subject to abrupt price fluctuations and other various risks in connection with the factors described in "– The conflict between Russia and Ukraine, and particularly its 2022 escalation, the US, EU, UK and other countries' sanctions that have been imposed in connection therewith, the resulting negative implications on the Russian economy, and the measures that are being adopted by Russia in response, could adversely impact our operations and financial condition" and " Risks Relating to the Russia and Other Markets in Which We Operate" as well as in connection with various other risk factors that are specific to the issuers of such securities.
We determine fair value of securities based on quoted market information, where it exists, and appropriate valuation methodologies. While we employ rigorous risk management tools to limit the impact of market risk, among other things, on our capital, the fair value of financial instruments may not always be accurately estimated or properly reflected. This may result in an inaccurate assessment of our results of operations and financial position. Any instability on the securities markets can lead to a significant devaluation of our securities portfolio, which would result in financial losses to us and could have a negative impact on Qiwi Bank's prudential ratios (see "-Qiwi Bank operates in a highly regulated environment and increased regulatory scrutiny could have an adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations").
For the years ended December 31, 2022 revaluation profit of our bond portfolio constituted RUB 220 million and December 31, 2021, the revaluation loss of our bond portfolio constituted RUB 206 million. If our bond portfolio further declines in value, we may incur losses and suffer negative impact on our prudential ratios, which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Corporate Activity and Growth1 | 1.2%
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 1
We may not be able to complete or integrate successfully any potential future acquisitions, partnerships or joint ventures.
From time to time, we have evaluated and expect to continue to evaluate possible acquisition transactions, partnerships or joint ventures, some of which may be material. At any time, including currently, we may be engaged in discussions or negotiations or diligence evaluations with respect to possible acquisitions, partnerships or joint ventures or may have entered into non-binding documents in relation to such transactions. As part of our strategy, we intend to continue our disciplined approach to identifying, executing and integrating strategic acquisitions, partnerships and joint ventures.
In response to sanctions introduced by other countries against Russia and Russian businesses and individuals in connection with the Ukraine conflict, the Russian government has imposed and is continuing to consider restrictions on foreign companies executing transactions with Russian assets, including business acquisitions. As the scope of these restrictions and related regulatory guidance is constantly evolving, these restrictions may affect our ability to successfully execute possible acquisition transactions in the future.
Potential future acquisitions, partnerships and joint ventures may pose significant risks to our existing operations if we acquire businesses that prove not to be a good fit for our organization, fail to perform the necessary due diligence on the relevant targets,overestimate their anticipated contribution to our business, overvalue them or fail to successfully integrate them. These projects would place additional demands on our managerial, operational, financial and other resources, create operational complexity requiring additional personnel and other resources as well as enhanced control procedures. In addition, we may not be able to successfully finance or integrate any businesses, services or technologies that we acquire or with which we form a partnership or joint venture. Furthermore, the integration of any acquisition may divert management's time and resources from our main business and disrupt our operations. Moreover, even if we were successful in integrating newly acquired assets, expected synergies or cost savings may not materialize, resulting in lower than expected benefits to us from such transactions. We may spend time and money on projects that fail to perform in line with our expectations or require financing in excess of what we were budgeting at the time of the acquisition. Additionally, when making acquisitions it may not be possible for us to conduct a detailed investigation of the nature of the assets being acquired due to, for instance, time constraints in making the decision and other factors. We may become responsible for additional liabilities or obligations not foreseen at the time of an acquisition. In addition, in connection with any acquisitions, we must comply with various antitrust requirements. It is possible that perceived or actual violations of these requirements could give rise to regulatory enforcement action or result in us not receiving all necessary approvals in order to complete a desired acquisition. To the extent we pay the purchase price of any acquisition in cash, it would reduce our cash reserves, and to the extent the purchase price is paid with our shares, it could be dilutive to our shareholders. In the event we pay the purchase price with proceeds from the incurrence of debt, it would increase our level of indebtedness and could negatively affect our liquidity and restrict our operations. Our competitors may be willing or able to pay more than us for acquisitions, which may cause us to lose certain acquisitions that we would otherwise desire to complete. We may also face counterparty and credit risks in connection with acquisitions, partnerships and joint ventures in the event our counterparties fail to perform their obligations. In Russia, acquisitions, partnerships and joint ventures are also complicated by the lack of strong judicial protection for non-competition and non-solicitation covenants, which are often unenforceable as a result. Joint ventures also carry specific risks such as potential disagreements with partners about the management and strategy of the JV, adverse actions by JV partners prompted by such disagreements or otherwise, and reliance on JV partners for the development of the JV's business and resulting inability to continue development of the venture in the event the relationship with the partner is terminated. Any or all of the above risks could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations, financial condition, and prospects.
Macro & Political
Total Risks: 16/82 (20%)Above Sector Average
Economy & Political Environment9 | 11.0%
Economy & Political Environment - Risk 1
Deterioration of Russia's relations with other countries could negatively affect the Russian economy and those of the nearby regions.
Over the past several years, Russia has been involved in conflicts, both economic and military, involving other members of the CIS or other countries, including, most recently, the conflict with the Ukraine. This has resulted in the deterioration of Russia's relations with other members of the international community, including the US and various countries in Europe, including unprecedented sanctions imposed against a number of Russian entities and other persons as well as whole sectors of economy and prevailing anti-Russian sentiment in the international community in connection with such conflict (see "– The conflict between Russia and Ukraine, and particularly its 2022 escalation, the US, EU, UK and other countries' sanctions that have been imposed in connection therewith, the resulting negative implications on the Russian economy, and the measures that are being adopted by Russia in response, could adversely impact our operations and financial condition"). Many of these jurisdictions are home to financial institutions and corporations that are significant investors in Russia and whose investment strategies and decisions have been and may continue to be affected by such conflicts and by worsening relations between Russia and other countries. In addition to the current military conflict in the Ukraine, there have been certain other points of tension between Russia and Western governments in the past. All of the above have led to escalation of geopolitical tensions, including introduction or expansion of international sanctions or other countermeasures by Western countries against Russia, or calls for introduction of additional sanctions, which may continue in the future. These sanctions have had and will continue to have the effect of damaging the Russian economy and may result in a material adverse effect on the Russian economy in 2023-2024. The emergence of new or escalated tensions between Russia and neighboring states or other states could further negatively affect the Russian economy. In addition to the general anti-Russian sentiment that currently prevails among investors as a result of the Ukraine conflict, this may result in a further general lack of confidence among international investors in the region's economic and political stability and in Russian investments generally in the future. Such lack of confidence may result in reduced liquidity, trading volatility and significant declines in the price of listed securities of companies with significant operations in Russia, including our ADSs, and in our inability to raise debt or equity capital in the international capital markets, which may affect our ability to achieve the level of growth to which we aspire.
Economy & Political Environment - Risk 2
Economic instability in Russia could have an adverse effect on our business.
Any of the following risks, which the Russian economy has experienced at various points in the past, may have or have already had a significant adverse effect on the economic climate in Russia and may burden or have already burdened our operations:
- international sanctions;- significant declines in gross domestic product, or GDP;- high levels of inflation;- sudden price declines in the natural resource sector;- high and fast-growing interest rates;- unstable credit conditions;- high state debt/GDP ratio;- instability in the local currency market;- a weakly diversified economy which depends significantly on global prices of commodities;- lack of reform in the banking sector and a weak banking system providing limited liquidity to Russian enterprises;- pervasive capital flight;- corruption and the penetration of organized crime into the economy;- significant increases in unemployment and underemployment;- the impoverishment of a large portion of the Russian population;- large number of unprofitable enterprises which continue to operate due to deficiency in the existing bankruptcy procedure;- prevalent practice of tax evasion; and - growth of the black-market economy.
As Russia produces and exports large quantities of crude oil, natural gas, petroleum products and other commodities, the Russian economy is particularly vulnerable to fluctuations in oil and gas prices as well as other commodities prices, which historically have been subject to significant volatility over time, as illustrated by the recent decline in crude oil prices. Russian banks, and the Russian economy generally, were adversely affected by the global financial crisis. In 2014 and 2015, Russia experienced an economic downturn characterized by substantial depreciation of its currency, sharp fluctuations of interest rates, a decline in disposable income, a steep decline in the value of shares traded on its stock exchanges, a material increase in the inflation rate, and a decline in the gross domestic product. In 2016-2017 some of those economic trends reversed or moderated, with oil prices increasing somewhat, inflation rates declining significantly and gross domestic product returning to modest growth. Economic instability resumed in 2018, with the ruble depreciating significantly and inflation exceeding the government's forecasts. In 2019, the ruble was relatively stable with intermittent volatility and inflation was below government forecast; however, the value of the ruble significantly dropped in 2020 and then continued to be volatile in 2020, 2021. Another major decline in ruble value occurred in early 2022 in the wake of the military conflict in Ukraine and resulting sanctions. The ruble regained much of the ground it lost by late March 2022 due to extreme protective measures adopted by the Russian government and the CBR, ending the year at RUB 70.34 per US $1.00 on December 31, 2022. See "– We are subject to the economic risk and business cycles of our merchants, partners and agents and the overall level of consumer spending". The escalation of the Ukraine conflict and the resulting geopolitical crisis and international actions in response to it have had a further adverse effect on the Russian economy in 2022, resulting also in, among other things, the imposition of currency controls, increased levels of migration from Russia, materially increased interest rates and inflation, and are reportedly likely to send Russian economy into recession. There can be no assurance that any measures adopted by the Russian government to mitigate the abovementioned negative effects will result in a sustainable recovery of the Russian economy. Discussions are constantly ongoing with respect to introduction of further sanctions, including various further limits on trade in energy with Russia (in addition to those already introduced), which represent a major source of income for the country. If such measures are adopted, this could further exacerbate the negative implication on the Russian economy.
As an emerging economy, Russia remains particularly vulnerable to further external shocks. Events occurring in one geographic or financial market sometimes result in an entire region or class of investments being disfavored by international investors – so-called "contagion effects". Russia has been adversely affected by contagion effects in the past, and it is possible that it will be similarly affected in the future by negative economic or financial developments in other countries. Economic volatility, or a future economic crisis, may undermine the confidence of investors in the Russian markets, which has already been significantly impacted by the Ukraine crisis, and the ability of Russian businesses to raise capital in international markets, which in turn could have a material adverse effect on the Russian economy and the Group's results of operations, financial condition and prospects. In addition, any further declines in oil and gas prices or other commodities pricing could disrupt the Russian economy and materially adversely affect our business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects.
Economy & Political Environment - Risk 3
Social instability could lead to labor and social unrest, increased support for renewed centralized authority, nationalism or violence.
Failures to adequately address social problems have led in the past, and could lead in the future, to labor and social unrest. Labor and social unrest could have political, social and economic consequences, such as increased support for a renewal of centralized authority; increased nationalism, with support for re-nationalization of property, or expropriation of or restrictions on foreign involvement in the economy of Russia; and increased violence. Any of these could have an adverse effect on confidence in Russia's social environment and the value of investments in Russia, could restrict our operations and lead to a loss of revenue, and could otherwise have a material adverse effect on its business, results of operations and financial condition.
Economy & Political Environment - Risk 4
Political and governmental instability could adversely affect the value of investments in Russia.
Political conditions in Russia were highly volatile in the 1990s, as evidenced by the frequent conflicts amongst executive, legislative and judicial authorities, which negatively impacted the business and investment climate in the Russian Federation. Over the past three decades the course of political and other reforms has in some respects been uneven and the composition of the Russian Government has at times been unstable.
Any significant changes in the Russian Government, the State Duma or the presidency, major policy shifts or eventual lack of consensus between the president, the Russian Government, Russia's parliament and powerful economic groups could lead to political instability, which could be further exacerbated by the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine. Additionally, the potential for political instability resulting from the worsening of the economic situation in Russia and deteriorating standards of living should not be underestimated. Any such instability could negatively affect the economic and political environment in Russia, particularly in the short term. Shifts in governmental policy and regulation in Russia are less predictable than in many Western democracies and could disrupt or reverse political, economic and regulatory reforms. Any significant change in the Russian Government's program of reform in Russia could lead to the deterioration of Russia's investment climate that might limit our ability to obtain financing in the international capital markets or otherwise have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Economy & Political Environment - Risk 5
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Our operations in Kazakhstan are growing, and many of the risks we face in Kazakhstan are similar to those we face in Russia.
In addition to Russia, we have operations in Kazakhstan. In many respects, the risks we face in operating in payment business in Kazakhstan are similar to those in Russia as set out above in "– Risks Relating to the Russia and Other Markets in Which We Operate". As is typical of an emerging market, Kazakhstan does not possess a well-developed business, legal and regulatory infrastructure and has been subject to substantial political, economic and social change. Our business in Kazakhstan is subject to Kazakhstan specific laws and regulations including with respect to tax, anti-corruption, and foreign exchange controls. Such laws are often rapidly changing and are unpredictable. Kazakhstan continues to develop its regulatory framework. Any new laws that may be introduced may significantly affect the regulatory environment in Kazakhstan which, in turn, may impact our operations there and impose additional regulatory compliance burden on us.
In addition, we are exposed to foreign currency fluctuations between the Russian ruble and the Kazakh tenge, which could affect our financial position and our profitability. Our failure to manage the risks associated with doing business in Kazakhstan could have an adverse effect upon our results of operations.
Economy & Political Environment - Risk 6
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Events outside of our control, including public health crises and political instability, may negatively affect consumer spending and our business.
Our operations are susceptible to public health crises, such as pandemics and epidemics, political instability or other events outside of our control. These types of events could have a negative effect on consumer spending and result in unpredictable declines in business activity in various industries that we serve.
The escalation of the Ukraine conflict and the resulting political instability and international actions in response to it have had an adverse effect on the Russian economy in 2022, resulting in, among other things, significant currency rate volatility, the imposition of currency controls, increased levels of migration from Russia, materially increased interest rates and inflation, and are reportedly likely to have a significant negative implications on the Russian economy. As the conflict and the current geopolitical crisis is rapidly evolving, and further sanctions may be imposed against Russia, it is difficult to accurately predict how it will unravel and what response or retaliatory measures the Russian government may introduce in the future, and the impact of the sanctions and response measures on our business. See "– The conflict between Russia and Ukraine, and particularly its 2022 escalation, the US, EU, UK and other countries' sanctions that have been imposed in connection therewith, the resulting negative implications on the Russian economy, and the measures that are being adopted by Russia in response, could adversely impact our operations and financial condition".
In addition, public health crises have also had and may continue to have a negative effect on our business. For example, in December 2019, a novel strain of coronavirus surfaced in Wuhan, China, which has resulted in the temporary closure of many corporate offices, retail stores, and manufacturing facilities and factories across China. The virus then quickly spread out across Europe and the Americas, resulting in various "shelter-in-place" regulations, lockdowns, curfews, bans on international travel, cancellations of public events, and supply chain disruptions, which significantly contributed to deteriorating macroeconomic conditions, business closures, higher unemployment and decrease in consumer confidence throughout the world, including Russia and other countries in which we operate.
The negative effects of the coronavirus on our business included a decline in revenues from our betting merchants due to the cancellation of numerous major sporting events, a drop in money remittance primarily due to a decline in payments to self-employed individuals due to an overall contraction of business activity, and a decline in the use of our kiosk network. The COVID-19 outbreak has required significant management attention, substantial investments of time and resources across our enterprise, and increased costs to effectively manage our operations. A new outbreak of COVID-19 or any of its variants may have similar or more severe effects on the macroeconomic conditions and business environment in the countries where we operate and require us to make significant modifications to our business practices, any of which could have a material adverse effect on our business and operating results.
Economy & Political Environment - Risk 7
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The conflict between Russia and Ukraine, and particularly its 2022 escalation, the US, EU, UK and other countries' sanctions that have been imposed in connection therewith, the resulting negative implications on the Russian economy, and the measures that are being adopted by Russia in response, could adversely impact our operations and financial condition.
The Ukraine crisis, which started in late 2013 and escalated into a major military conflict between Russia and Ukraine in February 2022, has had a devastating effect on Russian relations with the West. In response to the Ukraine crisis, Ukraine, the European Union ("EU"), the United Kingdom ("UK") and the United States ("US") (as well as numerous other countries such as Switzerland, Japan, Norway, Canada and Australia) have imposed a variety of economic sanctions against numerous Russian banks, other companies, private individuals, and specific sectors of the Russian economy, as well as trade restrictions, including import and export bans, and list-based sanctions affecting specified types of transactions with named participants in certain industries, including named Russian financial institutions, and sanctions that prohibit most commercial activities of US, UK and EU persons in Russia, as well as in certain specific territories affected by the conflict. 'While the scope of the sanctions against Russia has been expanding since 2014, when they were first introduced, 2022 saw the imposition of extremely severe measures that have hitherto been unprecedented. Introduction of further economic,trade or other sanctions remains highly likely as the conflict in Ukraine develops.
Several of Russia's largest banks, including Sberbank, VTB, Otkritie Bank, and Alfa-Bank, which together account for a vast majority of Russia's banking sector, as well as a number of smaller banks are now on the US Department of the Treasury's Office of Foreign Assets Control's List of Specially Designated Nationals and Blocked Persons (SDNs), such that their property in the US is blocked and US persons are prohibited from dealing with them, and they are also subject to asset-freeze restrictions, among others, in the EU and sanctioned by the UK. Since March 2, 2022, a number of major Russian banks have been banned from the SWIFT system by the EU.
In 2014, the financial sector was identified as a sector of the Russian economy that might be subject to sanctions under a presidential decree by the US Secretary of the Treasury, in consultation with the Secretary of US. In this regard, OFAC may impose sanctions on any bank, including Qiwi Bank, solely because of its operations in the Russian Federation's financial sector.
On February 28, 2022, OFAC generally prohibited US persons from engaging in transactions with the Central Bank of Russia (the "CBR"), effectively immobilizing any assets of the CBR held in the US or by US persons, wherever located, and preventing the CBR from deploying its international reserves held in the US. This measure undermined the CBR's ability to act as a lender of last resort and, according to rating agencies, impaired what had been Russia's standout credit strength, namely its net external liquidity position. The EU also imposed a broad range of sanctions against the CBR, including a ban imposed on March 10, 2022, which prohibits EU persons from engaging in transactions related to the management of reserves and assets of the CBR, or any entity acting on behalf of the CBR. The UK also imposed sanctions on CBR on March 1, 2022, prohibiting UK individuals/entities from providing financial services for the purpose of foreign exchange reserve and asset management to CBR.
On February 24, 2022, the US Department of Commerce, Bureau of Industry and Security issued a final rule implementing significant new Russia export controls license requirements and licensing policies, meaning that a license is now generally required for the export, reexport or transfer (in country) of nearly all items subject to the Export Administration Regulations to Russia, including electronics, computers, telecommunications and information security. Certain similar export restrictions have been introduced by the EU and the UK as well.
In April 2022, President Biden signed into law an act which suspends normal trade relations between the US and the Russian Federation, and prohibited new investment in the Russian Federation by a US person, wherever located, and the exportation, reexportation, sale, or supply, directly or indirectly, from the US, or by a US person, wherever located, of any category of services as may be determined by the Secretary of the Treasury, in consultation with the Secretary of State, to any person located in the Russian Federation. To date, several categories of services have been restricted, including certain accounting, trust and corporate formation, management consulting and quantum computing services. The UK and EU have also imposed restrictions on the provision of certain services to person in Russia. The G7 countries have also imposed restrictions on the provision of services related to the maritime transport of Russian-origin crude oil and petroleum products of those products are sold above established price caps.
These and other numerous sanctions introduced in the wake of the full-blown military conflict in Ukraine, particularly the cut-off of CBR's access to its international reserves, resulted in rapid deterioration of Russia's financial ecosystem, liquidity issues at numerous players in the industry, widespread bank runs, and foreign currency shortages. By March 4, 2022, the official Central Bank-issued ruble exchange rate dropped to 111.76 per dollar, compared to 75.76 per dollar on February 21, 2022, i.e. immediately prior to the escalation, representing a 48% drop over the course of less than two weeks, although the ruble subsequently regained much of the positions it lost as a result of measures introduced by the Russian government and Central Bank.
To mitigate the high exchange rate and financial market volatility, and to preserve remaining foreign currency buffers, Russia's authorities have introduced capital-control measures that prevent currency outflows. In addition, Russia has imposed, or is considering or may consider, other severe measures aimed at mitigating the effect of sanctions, including significant restrictions on foreign companies executing transactions and generally doing business in Russia, nationalization or asset seizures of foreign-held businesses under certain circumstances, criminalization of compliance with sanctions, increasing taxes or implementing new obligatory or voluntary fees and others. The sanctions imposed on Russia together with its retaliatory response have materially impaired the ability of Russian entities to execute cross-border transactions. Approximately 90% of our Revenue for 2021 and 2022 was generated in Russia, , and these operations have not been directly impacted so far by the cross-border restrictions of the EU, UK, and US sanctions. However, our Russian operating subsidiaries are held by QIWI plc, a company incorporated in Cyprus, and may be considered as foreign-held assets for the purposes of any asset seizures or nationalization legislation initiatives introduced by the Russian government. We are not aware of any legislation initiative or Russian government plans that would target seizure or nationalization of our assets in response to sanctions introduced by other governments or otherwise. However, as the Ukraine conflict and the current geopolitical crisis is rapidly evolving, and further sanctions may be imposed against Russia, it is difficult to accurately predict how it will unravel and what response or retaliatory measures the Russian government may introduce in the future, including a potential asset seizures or nationalization of assets held by foreign-held businesses, such as ours.
All three major ratings services have lowered Russia's credit score deep into junk territory, with Russian banks' corporate ratings following suit. The rating agencies expect a sustained disruption to the economy and financial sector.
In addition, in response to the Ukraine conflict, numerous companies from the US, EU, UK and other countries have withdrawn from Russia or suspended, wound down or substantially scaled back their Russian operations, or announced plans to do so, for reputational reasons even when it is not required by the applicable sanctions regime. Businesses from the US, EU, UK and certain other countries, are exhibiting an overall trend of avoiding any associations with Russia. On March 5, 2022, Visa and Mastercard suspended membership of all their Russian members, rendering Russian banks, including Qiwi Bank, unable to issue Visa and Mastercard cards, and Russian consumers unable to execute purchases from most foreign merchants, which has had a limited negative effect on our payment volumes in 2022. See "- A vast majority of major Western businesses, including a number of companies whose products are important to our business, have withdrawn from, suspended, wound down or substantially scaled back activities in Russia"
Discussions are constantly ongoing with respect to introduction of further sanctions, including various further limits on trade in energy with Russia (in addition to those already introduced), which represent a major source of income for the country. If such measures are adopted, this could exacerbate negative implications on the Russian economy.
Certain sanctions, thus far only imposed by Ukraine, and Russian countersanctions instituted in response to such sanctions, directly target payment services providers such as ourselves (see "– We are subject to extensive government regulation"). There can be no assurance that additional sanctions affecting our company will not be imposed by Russia or other countries.
These sanctions have had and will continue to have the effect of damaging the Russian economy to the point of likely sending it into a major recession in 2023-2024. See "– We are subject to the economic risk and business cycles of our merchants, partners and agents and the overall level of consumer spending".
As part of our treasury operations, we hold certain publicly traded debt securities and cash funds at non-Russian banks or other financial institutions. As some of these banks and financial institutions tend to take a conservative interpretation of sanctions requirements or otherwise to impose restrictions on Russian businesses' investments and funds driven by an overall reputational or other considerations, they may freeze publicly traded debt securities and cash funds due to procedural issues caused by enhanced compliance considerations. There is no assurance that non-Russian banks or other financial institutions will not take such actions in the future in relation to a material portion of our assets in connection with sanctions imposed on the Russian financial sector, including sanctions related to Russian state financial instruments, or otherwise. At the same time, part of our assets is restricted due to the sanctions imposed on certain banks. As of December 31, 2022, the monetary equivalent of RUB 2,015 million (representing in total 1.8% of our assets) was restricted due to these reasons.
Some of our agents, merchants or other clients, although mostly not incorporated in certain specific territories affected by the conflict, may have operations there. Since 2014, Crimea has been subject to comprehensive, "country-based" sanctions by the US, EU, UK and certain other countries, and in 2022 similar sanctions have been imposed on the Luhansk People's Republic,the Donetsk People's Republic, and, by the EU, Kherson, and Zaporizhzhia regions. If we are deemed to be in violation of any sanctions currently in place or if any new or expanded sanctions are imposed on Russian businesses operating in these territories by the US, EU, UK or other countries, our business and results of operations may be materially adversely affected.
We operate primarily within the Russian financial system and, accordingly, in the ordinary course of our business, we may provide services to consumers, or otherwise interact with certain entities that are the targets of sanctions. For instance, although we process domestic payments in rubles, which exclude any US, EU, or UK nexuses, such payments, however, may involve financial institutions in Russia or persons sanctioned by the US, EU, UK and certain other countries.
We believe that our interaction with sanctioned Russian banks and potential interaction with designated persons, as well as other interactions we may potentially have with persons that may be subject to US, EU or UK economic and financial sanctions do not contravene any law. If, however, any sanctions or restrictions are introduced making it unlawful for us to maintain such interaction, we would be forced to immediately terminate our business relationship with these entities or persons, which could have a material adverse effect on our business and results of operations.
Our business and reputation could be adversely affected if we were to be designated under any sanctions program. Investors will be adversely affected if we are so designated, resulting in their investment in our securities potentially being prohibited or restricted. Furthermore, some US, UK or EU investors may decide for legal or reputational reasons to divest their holdings in us or not to purchase our securities in the first place, which may adversely affect the liquidity and price of our ADSs.
Furthermore, even prior to February 2022, there have been initiatives by US governmental entities and US institutional investors, such as pension funds, to adopt or consider adopting laws, regulations, or policies prohibiting transactions with or investment in, or requiring divestment from, entities doing business with certain countries. Such plans were implemented in the course of 2022 given the prevailing anti-Russian sentiment in the international business community, including the investing community. It has been widely reported that Western investors are actively avoiding any investments with Russian connections and withdrawing from businesses related to Russia. These factors have already had and will continue to have a material adverse effect on the price of our ADSs. While we are not subjected to US, UK and EU economic sanctions, our participation in the Russian financial system may adversely impact our reputation among investors and/or our counterparties, who may not be willing to own our ADSs and/or doing business with us regardless of any underlying health of our business purely by the reason of our association with Russia. There is also a risk that other entities with which we engage in business, or individuals or entities associated with them, are, or at any time in the future may become, subject to sanctions.
As part of Russia's response to Western sanctions, a law was adopted requiring Russia-domiciled companies to terminate foreign depositary programs, under which the depositary receipts of such companies are listed on foreign stock exchanges. This doesn't apply to our company since it is registered in Cyprus. However, if the scope of such law is extended to companies that predominantly do business in Russia regardless of domicile, or if we are otherwise forced to terminate our depositary program or undertake a delisting, this would result in the cancellation of our ADRs, with the underlying shares represented by those ADRs being distributed to shareholders, and the delisting of our ADSs from Nasdaq. Our underlying shares are not listed and are illiquid. The mechanics and timing relating to how the ADRs will be converted into the underlying shares remains uncertain for investors who purchased their ADSs on the Moscow Stock Exchange. Recipients of such underlying shares may also be subject to restrictions on holding these (either as a matter of applicable law or their own policies). Any such event could render any investment in our ADSs entirely illiquid. While we are analyzing options to restore liquidity for our shareholders if the scope of this law were to be extended, including forced redomiciliation into Russia or any type of restructuring, such redomiciliation or restructuring could be complex and may have adverse tax consequences for our company and holders of our ADSs or underlying shares. In addition, many international holders of our ADSs may be unable to hold or, under current Russian law, trade in securities of a Russian entity. Any such legislative requirements or other measures targeting non-Russian shareholders or offshore holding companies of Russian businesses would materially adversely affect the rights of international holders of our ADSs.
Our former directors, Nadiya Cherkasova and Elena Titova, were designated under US and EU sanctions. Nadiya Cherkasova resigned from her Board positions at QIWI on March 21, 2022, prior to her designation, while Elena Titova resigned on the same day she was designated, April 20, 2022. To date, neither QIWI nor any of its subsidiaries have been, and, currently, no members of our Board of Directors or management are, sanctioned by either the US, EU or UK. No assurance can be given, however, that any such entity or individual will not be so designated in the future. There can similarly be no assurance that broader sanctions against Russia affecting our company will not be imposed, or that Russia will not adopt measures in response to sanctions that would have a negative effect on us. Any measures targeting non-Russian shareholders or offshore holding companies of Russian businesses would materially adversely affect our business and the rights of our international investors. The potential further repercussions surrounding the situation in Ukraine are unknown and no assurance can be given regarding the future of relations between Russia and other countries. Overall, the military conflict in Ukraine is continuing to unravel, and we cannot predict how it will unfold or the impact it will have on our business or results of operations. Additionally, relations between the US, EU, UK and many other countries and Russia have become strained over a variety of other issues, which could result in further sanctions against Russia or specific individuals, entities or economy sectors. See "– Deterioration of Russia's relations with other countries could negatively affect the Russian economy and those of the nearby regions". Any or all of the above factors could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects.
Economy & Political Environment - Risk 8
We are subject to the economic risk and business cycles of our merchants, partners and agents and the overall level of consumer spending.
The financial services industry depends heavily on the overall level of consumer spending, which affects each of our operating segments. We are exposed to general economic conditions that affect consumer confidence, consumer spending, consumer discretionary income or changes in consumer purchasing habits. Economic factors such as employment levels, migration level, business conditions, energy and fuel costs, interest rates, inflation rate and the strength of the ruble against foreign currencies (in particular the US dollar) could reduce consumer spending or change consumer purchasing habits. A reduction in the amount of consumer spending could result in a decrease in our revenue and profits. If our merchants or partners make fewer sales of their products and services using our services or consumers spend less money per transaction, the volume of payments our Payment services segment processes will decline, resulting in lower revenue. A further weakening in the economy could have a negative impact on our merchants, as well as consumers who purchase products and services using our payment processing systems, which could, in turn, negatively impact our business, financial condition and results of operations, particularly if the recessionary environment disproportionately affects some of the market segments that represent a larger portion of our payment processing volume. In addition, these factors could force some of our merchants and/or agents to liquidate their operations or go bankrupt, or could cause our agents to reduce the number of their locations or hours of operation, resulting in reduced convenience of our service. We generate part of our revenues from advertising, which is cyclical and seasonal in nature, and any reduction in spending by or loss of advertisers would adversely affect our business, financial condition, and results of operations. We also have a certain amount of fixed costs, including salaries and rent, which could limit our ability to adjust costs and respond quickly to changes affecting the economy and our business.
Russia's economy has been facing significant challenges since 2014 due to the combined effect of the crisis in Eastern Ukraine, the deterioration of Russia's relationships with many Western countries, the economic and financial sanctions imposed in connection with these events on certain Russian companies and individuals, as well as against entire sectors of Russian economy, by the US, EU, Canada and other countries, a steep decline in oil prices, a record weakening of the Russian ruble against the US dollar, a lack of access to financing for Russian issuers, capital flight and a general climate of political and economic uncertainty, among other factors. In both 2015 and 2016, the Russian economy contracted, although it returned to modest growth in 2017 – 2019. During 2014-2016, the population's purchasing power decreased due to the weakening of the Russian ruble, basic necessities such as food products and utilities became more expensive, and consumer confidence declined significantly, according to the Russian Consumer Confidence Overall Index reported by Rosstat. The COVID-19 pandemic and related lockdown measures have also had an adverse effect on the Russian economy. The escalation of the Ukraine conflict and the resulting geopolitical crisis and international actions in response to it have had a further adverse effect on the Russian economy in 2022, resulting in, among other things, significant currency rate volatility, the imposition of currency controls, increased levels of migration from Russia, materially increased interest rates and inflation, and are reportedly likely to continue the have significant negative implications on the Russian economy (see "– Economic instability in Russia could have an adverse effect on our business" and "– The conflict between Russia and Ukraine, and particularly its 2022 escalation, the US, EU, UK and other countries' sanctions that have been imposed in connection therewith, the resulting negative implications on the Russian economy, and the measures that are being adopted by Russia in response, could adversely impact our operations and financial condition").
A prolonged economic slowdown or recession in Russia could have a significant negative effect on consumer spending in Russia and, accordingly, on our business. As a result of the challenging operating environment in Russia, we have experienced slower payment volume growth in certain of our payment categories and payment volume decline in certain others, in particular certain types of money remittances and financial services categories. Further adverse changes in economic conditions in Russia could adversely impact our future revenues and profits and cause a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Economy & Political Environment - Risk 9
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Russia is exposed to high levels of inflation.
As a substantial portion of our expenses (including operating costs and capital expenditures) are denominated in rubles, the relative movement of inflation and exchange rates significantly affects our results of operations. The effects of inflation could cause some of our costs to rise. Russia has experienced high levels of inflation since the early 1990s. For example, inflation increased dramatically after the 1998 financial crisis, reaching a rate of 84.4% in that year. Starting from 2016, inflation relatively stabilized reaching 3% in 2019 and 4.9% in 2020. In 2021, the level of inflation significantly increased and amounted to 8.4%, according to Rosstat, mainly as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, and, in 2022, the inflation reached 11.9% as a result of the effect the escalation of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine has had on the Russian economy. Certain of our costs, such as salaries and rent, are affected by inflation in Russia. To the extent the inflation causes these costs to increase, such inflation may materially adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations.
International Operations3 | 3.7%
International Operations - Risk 1
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A vast majority of major Western businesses, including a number of companies whose products are important to our business, have withdrawn from, suspended, wound down or substantially scaled back activities in Russia.
A vast majority of major Western businesses have withdrawn from, suspended, wound down or substantially scaled back activities in Russia or stopped dealings with Russian counterparts due to what ostensibly is a combination of compliance, political, reputational, and other reasons. Such businesses include, among others, software providers such as Oracle and hardware providers such as ForcePoint, and Cisco, the use of the products and services of which is material to our operations. Accordingly, we may face the risk of interruptions to our normal operations due to the need to replace such products and services and integrate alternative solutions on an emergency basis, and our business, financial condition and results of operations could be materially adversely affected as a result.
We offer downloadable QIWI Wallet applications for the most popular mobile and digital platforms and devices and support major mobile operating systems, including Android, iOS and other. In case our applications are not available on Google Play or Apple Store, it may negatively impact our overall strategy and ability to serve the increase of our consumer base.
International Operations - Risk 2
Emerging markets such as Russia are subject to greater risks than more developed markets, including significant legal, economic and political risks.
Investors in emerging markets such as Russia should be aware that these markets are subject to greater risk than more developed markets, including in some cases significant legal, economic and political risks. Investors should also note that emerging economies are subject to rapid change and that the information set out herein may become outdated relatively quickly. Accordingly, investors should exercise particular care in evaluating the risks involved and must decide for themselves whether, in light of those risks, their investment is appropriate.
Generally, investment in emerging markets is only suitable for sophisticated investors who fully appreciate the significance of the risks involved, and investors are urged to consult with their own legal and financial advisors before making an investment in our ADSs.
International Operations - Risk 3
We may not be able to expand into new geographical markets, or develop our existing international operations successfully, which could limit our ability to grow and increase our profitability.
Certain of our services are offered in countries beyond Russia, and we may look to further expand our geographical footprint if the right opportunities appear. Our expansion into new geographical markets and further development of our international operations depend on our ability to apply our existing technology or to develop new applications to meet the particular needs of each local market or country. We may not have adequate financial, technological or personnel and management resources to develop effective and secure services or distribution channels that will satisfy the demands of these markets. We may not be able to establish partnerships with any counterparties that we may need in order to strengthen our international operations. If we fail to enter new markets or countries or to develop our international operations, we may not be able to continue to grow our revenues and earnings. Furthermore, we may expand into new geographical markets in which we may not have any previous operating experience. We operate in an industry that is often subject to significant regulation, and our lack of familiarity with the regulatory landscape in new markets may result in us running into unanticipated problems or delays in obtaining the requisite regulatory approvals and licenses. We may not be able to successfully expand in such markets due to our lack of experience. Moreover, we may not be able to execute our strategy in our existing international operations successfully, which may result in additional losses or limit our growth prospects. The general anti-Russian sentiment that has become prevalent in the international business community in the wake of the military conflict in Ukraine and resulting sanctions in 2022 may also hinder of international expansion.
In addition, expanding internationally subjects us to a number of risks, including:
- greater difficulty in managing foreign operations;- expenses associated with localizing our products, including offering consumers the ability to transact in major currencies;- higher labor costs and problems integrating employees that we hire in different countries into our existing corporate culture;- laws and business practices that favor local competitors;- multiple and changing laws, tax regimes and government regulations;- foreign currency restrictions and exchange rate fluctuations;- changes in a specific country's or region's political or economic conditions; and - differing intellectual property laws.
In addition, our international operations may expose us to numerous and sometimes conflicting legal and regulatory requirements, and violations or unfavorable interpretation by authorities of these regulations could harm our business. In particular, we are exposed to the risk of being deemed to have permanent establishment in a specific country and transfer pricing risks which could result in additional tax liability.
If we are not able to manage these and multiple other risks associated with international operations successfully, our business, financial condition and results of operations could be materially adversely affected.
Natural and Human Disruptions2 | 2.4%
Natural and Human Disruptions - Risk 1
Global anti-offshore measures may have adverse impact on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
In 2013 the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development ("OECD") and G20 countries accepted that existing international tax rules create opportunities for base erosion and profit shifting, because these rules have been designed more than a century ago. Pursuing solutions for this problem, OECD and G20 countries adopted a 15-point Action Plan to Base Erosion and Profit Shifting ("BEPS"). The BEPS package of measures represents the substantial renovation of the international tax rules. In light of the new measures, it is expected that profits will be reported where the economic activities that generate them are carried out and where value is created.
The Convention on Mutual Administrative Assistance in Tax Matters developed by the Council of Europe and the OECD in 1988 and amended by Protocol in 2010 is now signed by 146 jurisdictions (the Russian Federation, Cyprus, UAE are among the signatories). This Convention, by virtue of its Article 6, requires competent authorities of jurisdictions-signatories to participate in the automatic exchange of information that is foreseeably relevant for the administration or enforcement of their domestic laws concerning the taxes. In addition, by virtue of Article 5 the Convention requires competent authorities of jurisdictions-signatories to participate in the exchange of information on request and, by virtue of Article 7, stipulates that such competent authorities should participate in spontaneous exchange of information. The tax authorities (including, Russian, Cypriot and UAE tax authorities) already cooperate in terms of mutual administrative assistance in tax matters. In compliance with the requirements of Article 6 of this Convention in 2016 the Russian Federation joined the Standard for Automatic Exchange of Financial Account Information (Common Reporting Standard, the "CRS"). CRS calls on jurisdictions to obtain information from their financial institutions and automatically exchange that information with other jurisdictions on an annual basis. On October, 2022 G-20 agreed to supplement the CRS model rules by adopting rules on exchange of information on cryptocurrency transactions and approved additions to unified standards on exchange of information on financial accounts, which will become an integral part of the automatic exchange of information for tax purposes. The Russian Federation does not apply automatic exchange of financial information with the UK, US and some other jurisdictions. In addition, in 2022, a number of countries suspended international exchange of tax information with Russia and Russia was also included in "the EU black list" (see "– Weaknesses and changes in the Russian tax system could materially and adversely affect our business and the value of investments in Russia"). Russia still applies automatic exchange of financial information with Cyprus, UAE and other jurisdictions.
The Russian Federation also adopted country-by-country reporting ("CbCR") requirements which assume automatic exchange of county-by-country reports. The mandatory CbCR reporting for multinational enterprise groups was introduced in Cyprus as well. The new means of global exchange of financial information provide for much more transparency of international transactions. Due to information exchange instruments the tax authorities are becoming much more efficient in combating tax avoidance.
The above developments in terms of global information exchange could complicate tax planning as well as related business decisions and could possibly expose us to significant fines and penalties and to enforcement measures, despite our best efforts at compliance, and could result in a greater than expected tax burden.
On November 24, 2016, the OECD published the Multilateral Convention to Implement Tax Treaty Related Measures to Prevent BEPS ("MLI") which introduces new provisions to existing double tax treaties limiting the use of tax benefits provided thereof. As a minimum standard MLI implements principle purposes test, under which treaty benefits are disallowed if one of the principle purposes of the transaction or the structure was to obtain tax benefit. Depending on the position chosen by the party of MLI, certain optional provisions limiting tax treaty benefits could also apply. For example, the reduced rate on dividends provided under a double tax treaty shall be denied if the conditions for holding equity interest or shares by the time of the dividend payout are met over less than a 365-day period. The optional provisions of MLI also provide for Dual Resident Entities rules under which if there is a conflict of tax residency for the person (other than an individual) and competent authorities do not come to an agreement on the relevant person, it shall not be entitled to any tax relief or exemption provided by the relevant double tax treaty except to the extent as may be agreed upon by the competent authorities. Given that certain provisions of MLI are optional and are subject to notifications and reservations by the states-parties, tax consequences should now be determined by way of considering several sources of legislation, namely the domestic tax law, double tax treaties and MLI provisions, which have been adopted by states-parties to the relevant double tax treaty.
Cyprus Government ratified the MLI on January 22, 2020. Cyprus has adopted the minimum standards of the MLI and made full reservations on all other provisions of the MLI, including replacement of the "effective management" concept with the mutual agreement procedure between the jurisdictions of which the entity shall be deemed to be a resident. In effect, the double tax treaties of Cyprus will be amended to include these provisions without further bilateral negotiations after the other jurisdiction of the respective tax treaty has deposited its instrument of ratification, acceptance, or approval of the MLI, and a specified time period has passed. The UAE has ratified MLI on May 29, 2019 covering 114 of its double tax treaties, adopting the minimum standards and making certain reservations with respect to optional provisions.
On May 1, 2019 the MLI was ratified by the Russian Federation. Starting from 2021, MLI has come into effect in respect of withholding taxes covered by tax treaties concluded by the Russian Federation with 34 countries (including tax treaty with Cyprus). Starting from 2022, MLI has become into effect in respect of withholding taxes covered by tax treaties concluded by the Russian Federation with 7 more countries. Application of MLI could potentially limit tax benefits granted by double tax treaties of the Russian Federation and Cyprus.
The OECD Inclusive Framework (IF) on BEPS have been developing a ‘two-pillar' approach in an effort to address the tax challenges arising from the digitalization of the economy (also known as the BEPS 2.0 project). In June and July 2021, a political agreement on the key aspects of the proposals was reached by the G7, G20, and many of the OECD IF countries. Furthermore, in
October 2021, the OECD/G20 IF published an updated statement on the two-pillar solution. Under Pillar One, a formulaic share of the consolidated profit of certain multinational enterprises (MNE) will be allocated to markets (i.e. where sales arise). Pillar One will apply to MNEs with profitability above 10% and global turnover above EUR 20 billion. Pillar Two introduces a global minimum effective tax rate of 15%. Companies with global turnover above EUR 750 million will be within the scope of Pillar Two, with headquarter jurisdictions retaining the option to apply the rules to smaller, domestic MNEs. Pillar Two should also introduce Subject to Tax Rule resulting in additional taxation of certain types of income paid at source to jurisdictions where it taxed at tax rates below certain threshold. Pillar One and Pillar Two are expected to take effect in 2023 at the earliest.
The Russian Federation and UAE are members of the IF. Cyprus is not currently a member of the IF, however an announcement issued by the Cyprus Ministry of Finance on October 9 2021 highlighted that Cyprus is in alignment with the principles governing the two-pillar plan of the IF's agreement.
The implementation of global instruments means the application of such instruments by competent authorities on mutually agreed grounds, however, there might be a risk that competent authorities of jurisdictions where our subsidiaries operate would apply newly introduced global transparency instruments inconsistently, which would lead to the imposition of additional taxes on us.
For more details on the possible impact of these measures, see sections below.
Natural and Human Disruptions - Risk 2
Russian anti-offshore measures may have adverse impact on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
The Russian Federation, like a number of other countries in the world, is actively involved in introduction of measures against tax evasion through the use of low tax jurisdictions as well as aggressive tax planning structures. Starting from January 1, 2015, the Federal Law No. 376-FZ, introducing the concept of "controlled foreign companies" (the "CFC Rules"), the concept of "corporate tax residency" and the concept of "beneficial ownership" into Russian tax legislation, came into force. Moreover, Russia has entered into several multilateral agreements for the exchange of information between the tax authorities of different countries.
Under the Russian CFC Rules, in certain circumstances, undistributed profits of foreign companies and non-corporate structures (e.g., trusts, funds or partnerships) domiciled in foreign jurisdictions, which are ultimately owned and/ or controlled by Russian tax residents (legal entities and individuals) will be subject to taxation in Russia. The Russian CFC Rules are being constantly developed. In the meantime, certain provisions of the Russian CFC Rules are still ambiguous and may be subject to arbitrary interpretation by the Russian tax authorities.
Under the concept of "corporate tax residency" a foreign legal entity may be recognized as a Russian tax resident (see "– Our companies established outside of Russia may be exposed to taxation in Russia"). When an entity is recognized as Russian tax resident it is obligated to register with the Russian tax authorities, calculate and pay Russian tax on its worldwide income and comply with other tax-related rules established for Russian entities. There is still an uncertainty as to how these criteria will be applied by the Russian tax authorities in practice.
Under the Russian Tax Code, a beneficial owner is defined as a person with by means of direct and/or indirect participation or control over other organizations or otherwise, has the right to own, use or dispose of income, or the person on whose behalf another person is authorized to use and/or dispose of such income. When determining the beneficial owner, the functions of a foreign person that is claiming the application of reduced tax rates under an applicable double tax treaty and the risks that such person takes should be analyzed. In accordance with the provisions of the Russian Tax Code, the benefits of a double tax treaty will not apply if a foreign person claiming such benefits has limited powers to dispose of the relevant income, fulfills intermediary functions without performing any other duties or taking any risks and paying such income (partially or in full) directly or indirectly to another person who would not be entitled to the same benefits should it received the income in question directly from Russia. Starting from January 1, 2017, the Russian Tax Code requires a tax agent, i.e. the payer of income, in addition to a certificate of tax residency to obtain a confirmation from the recipient of the income that it is the beneficial owner of the income. To date, there is still no approved or recommended format of such confirmation letter and (or) the precise list of documents to be obtained from the recipient of income claiming the beneficial owner status.
It cannot be excluded that we might be subject to additional tax liabilities because of these changes being introduced and applied to transactions carried out by us, which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations (see also "– We may encounter difficulties in obtaining lower rates of Russian withholding income tax envisaged by the Russia-Cyprus double tax treaty for dividends distributed from Russia", "Global anti-offshore measures may have adverse impact on our business, financial condition and results of operations" and "Our companies established outside of Russia may be exposed to taxation in Russia").
Capital Markets2 | 2.4%
Capital Markets - Risk 1
We are subject to fluctuations in currency exchange rates.
We are exposed to currency risks. Our financial statements are expressed in Russian rubles, while our revenues and expenses outside Russia are in local currencies and some of our assets and liabilities are in foreign currencies (see "– Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk – Foreign Exchange Risk"). In addition, in 2022, we have increased our currency position in the absence of dividend payments. Accordingly, our results of operations and assets and liabilities are exposed to fluctuations in exchange rates between the ruble and such other currencies. Changes in currency exchange rates also affect the carrying value of assets on our consolidated statement of financial position, which, depending on the statement of financial position classification of the relevant asset, can result in losses on our consolidated statement of financial position. In addition, because our earnings are primarily denominated in Russian rubles whereas our ADSs are quoted in US dollar, currency exchange rate fluctuations between the Russian ruble and the US dollar significantly affect the price of our ADSs.
Over the past ten years, the Russian ruble has fluctuated dramatically against the US dollar and the euro. Due to the economic sanctions imposed on certain Russian companies and individuals by the US, EU, Canada and other countries, as well as the volatility in oil prices, high inflation and a sharp capital outflow from Russia, the Russian ruble has significantly depreciated against the US dollar and the euro since the beginning of 2014 (see " – Economic instability in Russia could have an adverse effect on our business"). According to the CBR, from December 31, 2014 to December 31, 2015 and from December 31, 2013 to December 31, 2014, the ruble has depreciated by 30% and 72% against the US dollar, respectively, and by 17% and 52% against the euro, respectively. From December 31, 2015 to December 31, 2016, the ruble appreciated somewhat against these currencies and remained relatively stable throughout 2017; however, depreciation of the ruble resumed in 2018 when its value fell 21% against the US dollar and 15% against the euro, in each case from December 31, 2017 to December 31, 2018. In 2019, the ruble/ US Dollar exchange rate was relatively stable with intermittent volatility, and was RUB 61.9 per US $1.00 on December 31, 2019. However, in the first quarter of 2020 the ruble again depreciated substantially and abruptly against the US dollar and the euro due to a steep decline in oil prices and has continued to be volatile throughout the year, ending it at RUB 73.88 per US $1.00 on December 31, 2020. The exchange rate mostly remained stable throughout 2021 and amounted to RUB 74.3 per US $1.00 on December 31, 2021. Another major decline occurred in early 2022 in the wake of the military conflict in Ukraine and resulting sanctions. By March 4, 2022, the official Central Bank-issued ruble exchange rate dropped to 111.76 per dollar, compared to 75.76 per dollar on February 21, immediately prior to the escalation, representing a 48% drop over the course of less than two weeks. The ruble regained much of the ground it lost by late March due to extreme protective measures adopted by the Russian government and the Central Bank, including a mandatory exchange of the majority of currency proceeds by exporters, prohibitively high commissions on foreign currency exchange by individuals, and other protective measures, ending the year at RUB 70.34 per US $1.00 on December 31, 2022 (see "– We are subject to the economic risk and business cycles of our merchants, partners and agents and the overall level of consumer spending"). It is likely that significant fluctuations will continue in the future, especially in response to the unravelling impact of the Ukraine conflict on the Russian economy and any measures that the Russian government may in response. Further fluctuations of the ruble could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and the price of our ADSs.
Capital Markets - Risk 2
Our ADSs trade on more than one market and this may result in increased volatility and price variations between such markets.
While trading in our ADSs has been halted by Nasdaq and trading in our ADSs on the Moscow Exchange is subject to certain limitations, our ADSs have historically traded on both Nasdaq and the Moscow Exchange. See "–Holders of our ADSs currently have limited or no liquidity in our ADSs. Following the trading halt introduced on our ADSs by Nasdaq, Nasdaq informed us of its determination to delist our securities. Although we requested a hearing to appeal the delisting determination, there can be no assurance that Nasdaq will reverse its decision and when or if the trading will be resumed. Trading in our ADSs on the Moscow Exchange is subject to certain limitations", Prior to the trading halt, trading in our ADSs on these markets occurred in different currencies (US dollars on Nasdaq and Russian rubles on the Moscow Exchange) and at different times (due to different time zones, trading days and public holidays in the US and Russia). The trading prices of our ADSs on these two markets may differ due to these and other factors. The liquidity of trading in our ADSs on the Moscow Exchange is limited and has been even more limited due to the lingering stock market infrastructure issues resulting from the EU sanctions in relation to NSD, which made it impossible to settle ADSs between the markets. If the trading halt and restrictions are lifted, inherent limited liquidity of our ADSs on the Moscow Exchange may impair your ability to sell your ADSs on the Moscow Exchange at the time you wish to sell them or at a price that you consider reasonable. In addition, trading of a small number of ADSs on that market could adversely impact the price of our ADSs significantly and could, in turn, impact the price in the US. Any decrease in the trading price of our ADSs on one of these markets could cause a decrease in the trading price of our ADSs on the other market. Additionally, as there is no direct trading or settlement between the two stock markets, there can be no assurance that ADSs resume to move between markets in the current market environment.
Production
Total Risks: 6/82 (7%)Above Sector Average
Employment / Personnel1 | 1.2%
Employment / Personnel - Risk 1
In a dynamic industry like ours, the ability to attract, recruit, retain and develop qualified personnel is critical to our success and growth.
Our business functions at the intersection of rapidly changing technological, social, economic and regulatory developments that require a wide-ranging set of expertise and intellectual capital. In order for us to compete and grow successfully, we must attract, recruit, retain and develop the necessary personnel who can provide the needed expertise across the entire spectrum of our intellectual capital needs. This is particularly true with respect to top management personnel as well as qualified and experienced software engineers and IT staff, who are highly sought after and are not in sufficient supply in Russia and in most other markets in which we operate. The market for such personnel is highly competitive, and we may not succeed in recruiting additional personnel or may fail to replace effectively current personnel who depart with qualified or effective successors. A failure to replace departing personnel in an efficient and timely manner might result in improper functioning or failures of our systems and technologies, since our know-how may not always be properly institutionalized and instead is reliant on the expertise of specific employees, which we may not be able to replace immediately in the event of their departure. Our efforts to retain and develop personnel may result in significant additional expenses, which could adversely affect our profitability. We currently do not have a market standard long-term incentive plan due to the refusal by our shareholders to approve the disapplication of pre-emptive rights (see "– Our ADS holders may not be able to exercise their pre-emptive rights in relation to future issuances of class B shares"). In Cyprus, where our company is registered, there is no statutory carve-out from pre-emptive rights for issuances of shares to employees like in some other jurisdictions, and such carve-out has to be specifically approved by shareholders and renewed periodically. The refusal by our shareholders to approve disapplication of pre-emptive rights for issuances of shares to employees has rendered us unable to issue shares to our employees under our employee incentive plans, and, as a result of the halt of trading of our ADSs on Nasdaq and limited trading of our ADSs on the Moscow Exchange, we are not able to purchase ADSs for purposes of distributing them to our employees as part of an employee incentive plan (see "– Holders of our ADSs currently have limited or no liquidity in our ADSs. Following the trading halt introduced on our ADSs by Nasdaq, Nasdaq informed us of its determination to delist our securities. Although we requested a hearing to appeal the delisting determination, there can be no assurance that Nasdaq will reverse its decision and when or if the trading will be resumed. Trading in our ADSs on the Moscow Exchange is subject to certain limitations"). These developments could undermine our ability to retain and attract competitive talent who have come to expect share-based compensation in an industry like ours.
In addition, the 2022 escalation of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine has had a significant effect on Russian economy and, along with the partial mobilization of Russian citizens in September 2022, it also resulted in a migration of workforce out of Russia. Most of our employees continue to work remotely since COVID-19, aside for situations where an employee is required to work at a certain location for regulatory or other compliance reasons, and we provide necessary infrastructure to support such remote work and pay salary regardless of employee's geographical location. We are constantly monitoring the current situation to assure safety of our employees located in Russia and other territories as well as measures to retain talent within our organization. However, no assurance can be given that if the Ukraine conflict continues to unravel there would not be further migration of skilled workers out of Russia, which, if not managed through our recruitment and motivation efforts, may result in shortages of skilled employees as well as in general increased competition for qualified personnel on the labor market (see "– The conflict between Russia and Ukraine, and particularly its 2022 escalation, the US, EU, UK and other countries' sanctions that have been imposed in connection therewith, the resulting negative implications on the Russian economy, and the measures that are being adopted by Russia in response, could adversely impact our operations and financial condition"). Furthermore, while we continue to ensure that our employees have relevant infrastructure to work in Russia safely, any adverse development of the Ukraine conflict may affect work environment in Russia, which could, in turn, significantly affect the ability and the willingness of our employees to work from Russia as opposed to migrating to other territories, creating an additional administrative burden for us associated with any potential relocation of our employees to other places.
For these and other reasons, we cannot assure you that we will be able to attract and retain qualified personnel in the future. Failure to retain or attract key personnel could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Supply Chain3 | 3.7%
Supply Chain - Risk 1
Our business is exposed to counterparty and credit risks.
In our Payment Services segment, we seek to sell services on a prepayment basis or to ensure that our counterparties have low credit risk profiles, such as large merchants and agents. Nevertheless, we are exposed to the risk of non-payment or other default under our contracts with our agents and merchants. If we provide trade credit or loans to an agent and we are unable to collect loans or proceeds paid to the agent by its consumers due to the agent's insolvency, fraud or otherwise, we must nonetheless complete the payment to the merchant on behalf of the consumer. As a result, our losses would not be limited to a loss of revenue in the form of fees due to us from the agent, but could amount to the entire amount of consumer payments accepted by such agent for a certain period of time. We also face counterparty risk in connection with the bank guarantees and lending products of our ROWI project, such as loans for public contractors and marketplaces suppliers.
We also have significant receivables due from some of our merchants and agents, and may not recover these receivables in the event of such merchants' bankruptcy or otherwise. As of December 31, 2022, we had credit exposure to our agents of RUB 4,060 million and to our merchants of RUB 6,756 million. Our receivables from merchants are generally non-interest bearing and unsecured, while our receivables and loans from agents are generally interest-bearing and unsecured. Although we monitor the creditworthiness of our counterparties on an ongoing basis, there can be no assurance that the models and approaches we use to assess and monitor their creditworthiness will be sufficiently predictive, and we may be unable to detect and take steps to timely mitigate an increased credit risk.
In addition to the above sources of credit risk, as of December 31, 2022, we had credit exposure to our counterparties in connection with our ROWI project factoring portfolio of RUB 12.6 billion, guarantees for third party obligations (primarily in connection with our digital bank guarantee services) in the amount of RUB 81.5 billion, and loans relating to our ROWI project of RUB 2.1 billion.
If we experience material defaults by our consumers, agents, merchants, or other partners, our business, financial condition and results of operations could be materially adversely affected.
Supply Chain - Risk 2
Our agreements with most of our counterparties, including our agents, merchants and other partners, do not include exclusivity clauses and may be terminated unilaterally at any time or at short notice.
We normally do not include exclusivity clauses in our agreements with our counterparties, including our agents, merchants and other partners. Accordingly, our counterparties usually do not have any restrictions on dealings with other providers and can switch from our payment processing system to another or disconnect from our system or platform without significant investment. Additionally, due to mandatory provisions of Russian civil law, our agreements with agents may be unilaterally terminated by the agents at any time, and our agreements with merchants and other counterparties may be unilaterally terminated at a short prior notice. The termination of our contracts with existing agents, merchants or other partners, or a significant decline in the amount of business we do with them as a result of our contracts not having exclusivity clauses could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Supply Chain - Risk 3
Changed
Certain Russian companies are required to use primarily domestic Russia-produced software and hardware.
In October 2020, a legislative initiative was publicized aiming to mandate the use of domestically-developed software and telecommunication and radio hardware with respect to critical digital infrastructure. On March 30, 2022, the Russian President issued a decree prohibiting the use of foreign hardware and software at critical digital infrastructure. Although the requirement will only apply to market participants that are deemed to operate critical digital infrastructure (which currently does not include our company), if this requirement is further extended to other players including ourselves or we are qualified by Russian state authorities as a critical digital infrastructure operator, it is possible that it could materially adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations. Since we use a lot of foreign-produced technologies and equipment, complying with these requirements may prove a challenge for us and is likely to result in significant operational costs. The switch to locally produced software and hardware may adversely affect the performance and safety features of the system and thus the quality of our services. See also "– A vast majority of major Western businesses, including a number of companies whose products are important to our business, have withdrawn from, suspended, wound down or substantially scaled back activities in Russia".
Costs2 | 2.4%
Costs - Risk 1
Our services have been and may continue to be used for fraudulent, illegal or improper purposes, which could expose us to additional liability and harm our business.
Despite measures we have taken and continue to take, our services have been and may continue to be used for fraudulent, illegal or improper purposes. These include use of our payment and other financial services in connection with fraudulent sales of goods or services, illicit sales of prescription medications or controlled substances, illegal online gambling, software and other intellectual property piracy, money laundering, bank fraud, terrorist financing, trafficking, and prohibited sales of restricted products.
Criminals are using increasingly sophisticated methods to engage in illegal activities. It is possible that fraudulent, illegal or improper use of our services could increase in the future. Our risk management policies and procedures may not be fully effective to identify, monitor and manage these risks, and we may from time to time not be able to identify merchants who are engaged in illegal activities, particularly if we work with them indirectly through payment aggregators since we generally do not perform full know-your-customer procedures with respect to each merchant engaged by such aggregators and rely on the aggregators to vet their merchants appropriately. Furthermore, the regulators' interpretation of what constitutes illegal activities is subject to change, and their interpretation of applicable laws may differ from ours. We are also not able to monitor in each case the sources for our counterparties' funds or the ways in which they use them. Increases in chargebacks or other liability could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations. An increase in fraudulent transactions or publicity regarding chargeback disputes could harm our reputation and reduce consumer confidence in the use of our products and services.
The perceived risk of the use of e-payments or other financial services to finance fraudulent, illegal or improper activities is causing the regulators to impose restrictions on the operations of the providers of such services that negatively affect regular compliant transactions and operations as well. See "– Know-your-client requirements established by Russian anti-money laundering legislation may adversely impact our transaction volumes" and "– If we cannot keep pace with rapid developments and change in our industry and provide new services to our clients, or if any of the new products we roll out are unsuccessful, the use of our services could decline, and we could experience a decline in revenue and an inability to recoup costs". While we already undertake efforts to cut off or refuse to engage merchants and users who appear to be engaged in illegal activities from our network, the relevant state authorities could further increase their enforcement measures against such merchants and users, including through the introduction of new legislation. In the event that we are required to cease working with a significant number of merchants or payment aggregators, or shut down a significant number of wallets, as a result of such actions, our revenue and our profitability could materially decline.
It has been reported that peer-to-peer transfers through regular retail banks and payment services providers such as ourselves may be increasingly used in Russia in various illegal activities, including by illicit forex dealers, online casinos, cryptocurrencies exchanges and peer-to-peer exchange offices, scammers, etc. Recognizing this industry-wide problem, in September 2021 the CBR introduced heightened scrutiny recommendations with respect to peer-to-peer transactions. These recommendations require financial institutions such as ourselves to track transactions that are deemed suspicious under the various criteria imposed by the recommendations, cancel or block such suspicious transactions under certain circumstances and terminate relationships with the relevant clients carrying out such transactions. For instance, such criteria designate as suspicious operations of clients with unusual number of individuals as counterparties or if the volume of operations exceeds certain threshold. Due to the broad scope of suspiciousness criteria, in practice suspicious transactions may be difficult to distinguish from legitimate peer-to-peer transfers or payments to private accounts of small entrepreneurs that provide perfectly legal services. It is likely that certain bona fide operations that do not involve anything illegal or improper may be affected by the new regulations as the market participants, including our company, seek to institute controls aimed at compliance with the new guidelines. Since the beginning of 2022 the CBR has been collecting from credit institutions specialized reports focused specifically on their peer-to-peer transactions which may negatively affect the volume of the peer-to-peer transfers in Russia generally (and our respective volumes in particular). If we experience a decline in our peer-to-peer transfers volume, or if we are found to be in violation of the new regulations due to any differences in ours and the regulator's interpretation thereof, our business, financial condition and results of operations could be materially adversely affected.
Any resulting claims could damage our reputation and any resulting liabilities (including the revocation of applicable banking licenses or significant fines), the loss of transaction volume, decline in the number of customers or increased costs could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Costs - Risk 2
We do not have and may be unable to obtain sufficient insurance to protect ourselves from business risks.
The insurance industry in Russia is not yet fully developed, and many forms of insurance protection common in more developed countries are not yet fully available or are not available on comparable or commercially acceptable terms. Accordingly, while we hold certain mandatory types of insurance policies in Russia, we do not currently maintain insurance coverage for business interruption, property damage or loss of key management personnel as we have been unable to obtain these on commercially acceptable terms. We do not hold insurance policies to cover for any losses resulting from counterparty and credit risks or fraudulent transactions. We also do not generally maintain separate funds or otherwise set aside reserves for most types of business-related risks. Accordingly, our lack of insurance coverage or reserves with respect to business-related risks may expose us to substantial losses, which could materially adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Tech & Innovation
Total Risks: 5/82 (6%)Above Sector Average
Innovation / R&D1 | 1.2%
Innovation / R&D - Risk 1
If we cannot keep pace with rapid developments and change in our industry and provide new services to our clients, or if any of the new products we roll out are unsuccessful, the use of our services could decline, and we could experience a decline in revenue and an inability to recoup costs.
The financial services industry in which we operate is characterized by rapid technological change, new product and service introductions, evolving industry standards, changing customer needs and the entrance of more established market players seeking to expand into these businesses. In order to remain competitive, we continually seek to expand the services we offer and to develop new projects. These projects carry risks, such as delays in delivery, performance problems, lack of customer acceptance, failure to adequately assess the potential revenues and budget the expenses of a project and the amount of investment required by it, failure to anticipate potential pitfalls and issues, and misjudgment of a need for a particular product by the intended customer base, among other things. In our industry, these risks are acute. Any delay in the delivery of new services or the failure to differentiate our services or to accurately predict and address market demand could render our services less desirable, or even obsolete, to consumers, merchants or partners, and hurt our future prospects. For example, if alternative payment and financial products and services become widely available, thereby substituting our current products and services, and we do not develop and offer similar alternative products and services successfully and on a timely basis, our business and its prospects could be adversely affected. At the same time, if a new product we roll out or acquire fails to perform as anticipated, this could similarly adversely affect our business, financial position and results of operations. Since we position ourselves as a provider of next generation payment and financial services, many of these new products are based on business models that are unproven and are essentially start-ups launched to test a hypothesis based on various assumptions regarding consumer behavior patterns and demands. These assumptions may ultimately prove wrong and we may not be able to convert these hypotheses into sustainable businesses and recoup our investments made in such businesses. These risks have materialized in particular with respect to Rocketbank, which we acquired in 2017 and which we had to wind down in 2020, and with respect to our payment-by-installments card project SOVEST, which we divested in July 2020.
We may be unable to recover the costs we have incurred in developing, rolling out, implementing and marketing new products and services. Our development efforts could result in increased costs and we could also experience a loss in business that could reduce our earnings or could cause a loss of revenue if promised new services are not timely delivered to our clients, are not able to compete effectively with those of our competitors or do not perform as anticipated. As we enter markets that are new for us with our new products and services offerings, we face additional operational, regulatory and other risks that we may not be able to adequately address due to our lack of experience in such markets and the associated risks.
We also actively develop other new products, services and technologies, such as factoring and digital bank guarantees, products aimed at the self-employed market, and certain other projects. If our efforts in connection with any of such initiatives do not pay off as expected, this will result in the loss of our investment both in terms of money and management time, which could adversely affect our profitability.
Additionally, in order to remain competitive in an innovative industry such as ours, we have to make investments in start-up companies or undertake different research and development initiatives. If our investments in start-up companies or research and development initiatives do not yield the expected results, we may lose money, time and effort invested.
If we are unable to develop, adapt to or access technological changes or evolving industry standards on a timely and cost-effective basis, or if our new initiatives do not yield the expected results, our business, financial condition and results of operations could be materially adversely affected.
Trade Secrets1 | 1.2%
Trade Secrets - Risk 1
We may not be able to successfully protect our intellectual property and may be subject to infringement claims.
We rely on a combination of contractual rights, copyright, trademark and trade secret laws to establish and protect our proprietary technology. We also maintain patents for certain of our technologies. We customarily require our employees and independent contractors to execute confidentiality agreements or otherwise to agree to keep our proprietary information confidential when their relationship with us begins. Typically, our employment contracts also include clauses requiring our employees to assign to us all of the inventions and intellectual property rights they develop in the course of their employment and to agree not to disclose our confidential information. Nevertheless, we may not be able to successfully protect our intellectual property at all times. Our agreements with software developers may not have always properly and unambiguously assigned the rights to software to us, and as such this software may be exposed to their claims. This is also often the case at various companies we have acquired throughout our history. Certain technologies that we have developed may not be fully and comprehensively protected by copyrights or patents and could therefore be exposed to theft or misuse. Third parties, including our competitors, may independently develop similar technology, duplicate our services or design around our intellectual property. Further, contractual arrangements may not prevent unauthorized disclosure of our confidential information or ensure an adequate remedy in the event of any unauthorized disclosure of our confidential information. Because of the limited protection and enforcement of intellectual property rights in certain jurisdictions in which we operate, such as Russia and CIS countries, our intellectual property rights may not be as protected as they may be in more developed markets such as the US. We may have to litigate to enforce or determine the scope or enforceability of our intellectual property rights (including trade secrets and know-how), which could be expensive, could cause a diversion of resources and may not prove successful. The loss of intellectual property protection could harm our business and ability to compete and could result in costly redesign efforts, discontinuance of certain service offerings or other competitive harm. Additionally, we do not hold any patents for our business model or our business processes, in part because our ability to obtain them in Russia is subject to legislative constraints, and we do not currently intend to obtain any such patents in Russia or elsewhere.
We may also be subject to costly litigation in the event our services or technology are claimed to infringe, misappropriate or otherwise violate a third party's intellectual property or proprietary rights. Such claims could include patent infringement, copyright infringement, trademark infringement, trade secret misappropriation or breach of licenses. In addition, while we seek to obtain copyright registration certificates for the critical software we develop, our rights to software obtained as works for hire might be potentially challenged by the employees and former employees or developers of such software. We may not be able to successfully defend against such claims, which may result in a limitation on our ability to use the intellectual property subject to these claims and also might require us to redesign affected services, enter into costly settlement or license agreements, pay costly damage awards, or face a temporary or permanent injunction prohibiting us from marketing or selling certain of our services. In such circumstances, if we cannot or do not license the infringed technology on reasonable terms or substitute similar technology from another source, our revenue and earnings could be adversely impacted. Additionally, non-practicing entities had and may continue in the future to acquire patents, make claims of patent infringement and attempt to extract settlements from companies in our industry. Even if we believe that such claims are without merit and successfully defend these claims, defending against such claims is time consuming and expensive and could result in the diversion of the time and attention of our management and employees.
Cyber Security1 | 1.2%
Cyber Security - Risk 1
Unauthorized or improper disclosure of data, whether through cybersecurity breaches, computer viruses or otherwise, could expose us to direct loss, liability, protracted and costly litigation and damage our reputation.
We store and/or transmit sensitive data, such as credit or debit card numbers, mobile phone numbers and other personal data, and we have ultimate liability to our customers for our failure to protect this data. Numerous and evolving cybersecurity threats, including advanced and persisting cyberattacks, cyberextortion, spear phishing and social engineering schemes, the introduction of computer viruses or other malware, and the physical destruction of all or portions of our information technology and infrastructure could compromise the confidentiality, availability, and integrity of the data in our systems. In the past, we have experienced breaches of our security by hackers in the past, and breaches could occur in the future. In such circumstances, our encryption of data and other protective measures did not prevent unauthorized access and may not be sufficient to prevent future unauthorized access. Any future breach of our system, including through employee fraud, may subject us to material losses or liability, including fines and claims for unauthorized purchases with misappropriated credit or debit card information, identity theft, impersonation or other similar fraud claims. Moreover, even in the absence of an emergency event such as a cyberbreach, we may at times be found to be not in compliance with applicable personal data processing and transfer legislation, which is actively developing and becoming increasingly complex throughout the world, including in Russia, with the governments throughout the world increasingly focusing on toughening controls over enforcement of this legislation. For instance, in 2022, Russian personal data regulation was amended to implement enhanced control by Russian state authorities over personal data leakages. Moreover, there is a legislative initiative in Russia to introduce fines for personal data leakage in the amount of up to 3% of the turnover in certain cases.
In addition, while we have not experienced any material cyberattacks or any other material cyber security issues in the past, since the 2022 escalation of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine we have registered an increase in the number of DDoS attacks in March and April 2022, which, however, did not have a material effect on our business operations (see "– The conflict between Russia and Ukraine, and particularly its 2022 escalation, the US, EU, UK and other countries' sanctions that have been imposed in connection therewith, the resulting negative implications on the Russian economy, and the measures that are being adopted by Russia in response, could adversely impact our operations and financial condition"). While, in line with our information security policy and strategy, we are constantly developing and enhancing our security systems and infrastructure (most recently, increasing our server capacity by adding additional DNS servers in 2022) and regularly monitor compliance with information security requirements, we may still be exposed to similar attacks on a larger scale or more severe attacks, any of which may have a material adverse effect on our operations.
A misuse of sensitive data, including personal data, or a cybersecurity breach could harm our reputation and deter clients from using electronic payments as well as kiosks and terminals generally and any of our services specifically, increase our operating expenses in order to correct the breaches or failures, expose us to uninsured liability, increase our risk of regulatory scrutiny, subject us to lawsuits, result in the imposition of material penalties and fines by state authorities and otherwise materially adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Technology2 | 2.4%
Technology - Risk 1
Our systems and our third-party providers' systems may fail due to factors beyond our control, which could interrupt our service, cause us to lose business and increase our costs.
We depend on the efficient and uninterrupted operation of numerous systems, including our computer systems, software and telecommunications networks, as well as the data centers that we lease from third parties. Our systems and operations, or those of our third-party providers, could be exposed to damage or interruption from, among other things, fire, flood, natural disaster, power loss, telecommunications failure, vendor failure, unauthorized entry, improper operation and computer viruses. In addition, because all three of our data centers used for processing payments are located in the city of Moscow, a catastrophic event affecting the city of Moscow may result in the loss of all of three of our data centers. Substantial property and equipment loss, and disruption in operations as well as any defects in our systems or those of third parties or other difficulties could expose us to liability and materially adversely impact our business, financial condition and results of operations in all of our operating segments. In addition, any outage or disruptive efforts could adversely impact our reputation, brand and future prospects.
Technology - Risk 2
We may use open source software in a manner that could be harmful to our business.
We use open source software in connection with our technology and services. The original developers of the open source code provide no warranties on such code. Moreover, some open source software licenses require users who distribute open source software as part of their software to publicly disclose all or part of the source code to such software and/or make available any derivative works of the open source code on unfavorable terms or at no cost. The use of such open source code may ultimately require us to replace certain code used in our products, pay a royalty to use some open source code or discontinue certain products. Any of the above requirements could be harmful to our business, financial condition and operations.
Ability to Sell
Total Risks: 5/82 (6%)Above Sector Average
Competition1 | 1.2%
Competition - Risk 1
The financial services industry is highly competitive, and we have a vast number of competitors that are larger and have greater financial and other resources.
The financial services industry in which we operate with our payment services and other financial services that we provide, is highly competitive, and our ability to compete effectively is therefore of paramount importance. In all countries where we operate, we face competition from a variety of financial and non-financial business groups. These competitors include retail banks, non-traditional payment service providers (such as retailers and mobile network operators, or MNOs), electronic payment system operators, as well as other companies which provide various forms of banking and payment solutions or services, including electronic payments, payment processing services, lending and other services. Competitors in our industry seek to differentiate themselves by features and functionalities such as speed, convenience, network size, accessibility, safety, reliability and price, among others. A significant number of our competitors have greater financial, technological and marketing resources than we have, operate robust networks and are highly regarded by consumers.
Our key competitors in Russia are retail banks, particularly those with a focus on well-developed electronic payment solutions, including Sberbank, Russia's largest bank that is majority-owned by the Russian state, which benefits from a large retail network, Alfa-Bank, one of the leading privately-owned Russian retail banks, and Tinkoff Bank, which positions itself as a specialized bank focused on innovative online retail financial services. In response to the Ukraine conflict several of Russia's largest banks, including Sberbank, Alfa-Bank, VTB, and others which together account for a vast majority of Russia's banking sector, as well as a number of lesser banks are now on the US Department of the Treasury's Office of Foreign Assets Control's List of Specially Designated Nationals and Blocked Persons (SDNs), such that their property in the US is blocked and US persons are prohibited from dealing with them, and are also subject to various EU and UK sanctions. On March 2, 2022, a number of major Russian banks were banned from the SWIFT system by the EU. In addition, numerous companies from the US, EU, UK and other countries have suspended, wound down or substantially scaled back their Russian operations, or announced plans to do so, for reputational reasons. It has been observed that businesses from the United States, the European Union, the United Kingdom and certain other countries, are exhibiting an overall trend of avoiding any associations with Russia. On March 5, 2022, Visa and Mastercard suspended membership of all their Russian members, and Russian consumers unable to execute purchases from most foreign merchants, which is expected to have a negative, albeit limited, effect on our payment volumes due the shutdown of such cross-border transactions. See "– A vast majority of major Western businesses, including a number of companies whose products are important to our business, have withdrawn from, suspended, wound down or substantially scaled back activities in Russia." The abovementioned factors had a significant impact on the competitive landscape in favor of smaller payment and financial service providers such as ourselves resulting into increased payment services volumes and improved payment services net revenue yield (see Item 5.A "Operating Measures"). Overall, the military conflict in Ukraine is continuing to unravel, and we cannot predict how it will unfold or the impact it will have on our business or results of operations in the future.
Sberbank has long adhered to the strategy of innovation in the financial and payments space and has been focusing on the promotion of alternative banking channels, such as kiosks, internet banking and mobile banking. Sberbank is the market leader of the Russian payments market, has access to significant financial resources, and possesses an extensive nationwide network of branches. It actively develops its online payment services capabilities, including through its online and mobile banking platform Sberbank Online and through YooMoney, one of the major electronic payment service providers in Russia formerly operated through a joint venture with Yandex, a leading Russian diversified technology company, which Sberbank bought out entirely in 2020. These factors give Sberbank a substantial competitive advantage over us in the payments business as well as any other financial services businesses that we pursue or may pursue. Additionally, Sberbank is pursuing a strategy to transform itself into a multi-purpose digital ecosystem offering, in addition to its core banking and payments products, it offers a variety of diverse online services including e-commerce, entertainment, telemedicine, and others. The increasing domination of a major bank such as Sberbank in various online services, particularly e-commerce, may make customer acquisition and retention more complex and costly for smaller independent payment services providers such as ourselves. Although Sberbank's ability to retain and attract customers was affected by the sanctions regime,for instance its application is not available on Google Play or Apple Store, we understand that Sberbank is currently is looking for alternative methods to provide its services to its clients.
Our other major competitors in the banking industry include Alfa-Bank, a major retail bank that combines a strong competitive position in the traditional retail banking sector with a focus on developing innovative financial and payments solutions, and Tinkoff Bank, which is a provider of online retail financial services operating in Russia through a high-tech branchless platform. Numerous other Russian banks are also actively pursuing the electronic payments business and developing various consumer payment solutions.
Tinkoff is also our major competitor in the self-employed servicing market, which is important to us as a key strategic growth stream. We provide different complex payment and payout solutions to diverse businesses, such as taxi companies (payments to taxi drivers) or delivery businesses (payments to couriers). These products are somewhat similar in nature to salary programs and certain other products offered by traditional retail banks, thereby exposing us to competition from all banks that offer such services for self-employed, particularly those similarly focused on convenience of on-boarding and use as well as customizable and user-friendly interfaces, such as Tinkoff and other major Russian banks with actively developing self-employed individuals and sole entrepreneurs servicing programs.
The competition in the digital money transfer services space is also further intensifying as key market players including retail banks develop and digitalize their products. In 2019, the CBR in cooperation with other banks established an instant payment system ("IPS"), in which all major Russian retail banks participate, and which enables instantaneous money transfers between accounts at different banks with the only piece of identification needed for a transfer being the person's cell phone number. It may prove difficult for our digital money remittance solutions to compete with such system on the basis of convenience, price, or otherwise, particularly since it often features zero or relatively low commissions. There can be no assurance that the commissions within the IPS will not further decrease, whether as a result of a regulatory action or a market trend.
Another CBR initiative that may adversely affect our business is the proposed introduction of the "digital ruble", an official digital form ofcurrency stored and exchanged via a CBR-operated platform that will exist alongside the traditional monetary system in Russia. According to public sources, the introduction of the digital ruble has the potential to cause an outflow from the Russian banks of up to 9 trillion rubles (approximately USD 128 billion) in liquidity by 2024. The electronic payments businesses may be similarly adversely affected. The introduction of the digital ruble may have a significant impact on the competitive landscape in the payments industry. During 2022, the CBR together with a number of selected banks ran various tests on transactions with the use of digital ruble, including opening and replenishing digital wallets, transfers between people, including the use of mobile banking applications, and payment for goods and services. The CBR intends to start testing C2B transactions using actual digital rubles on a small set of pilot banks' clients in 2Q 2023. There are risks associated with the loss of income from remittances, as well as additional costs for the implementation and maintenance of security systems for servicing the digital ruble, even though the tariff conditions for use of the digital ruble have not yet been determined for market participants. The CBR also intends to begin work on a cross-border settlement model using the digital ruble in 1Q 2023.The introduction of the digital ruble may have a significant impact on the competitive landscape in the payments industry.
Our competitors in the payments business also include non-traditional payment service providers that engage in payment services as a non-core business. In particular, we compete with the Russian Federal State Unitary Enterprise Postal Service, or Russian Post, which offers certain payment services. Russian Post's geographical penetration is at least as dispersed as our physical distribution network (i.e. our kiosks and terminals). It also co-owns, in a joint-venture with the Russian state-controlled VTB Bank, the full-service commercial bank Pochta Bank. As a state-sponsored institution, we believe that it is able to provide payment services at significantly lower prices than we are able to match profitably.
We also face competition from other non-traditional payment service providers that have substantial financial resources, such as major tech businesses branching out into fintech, including Yandex, which released a debit card with cashback for its services and a deposit available through the FinUslugi aggregator platform in 2022, Russian leading marketplace Ozon, which also developed a captive bank and introduced a debit card with discounts for the purchase of their goods, another Russian leading marketplace Wildberries which also developed a captive bank, Alibaba with its financial services subsidiary Ant Financial, VK (formerly Mail.ru Group), and MNOs, in particular the Russian "Big Three" MNOs, MegaFon, VimpelCom and MTS, as well as their closest competitor Rostelekom, all of which have developed various payment solutions. Yandex in particular is the market leader in the Russian ride-hailing business which we actively service, and accordingly we could face intense competition from them in this sector. We also note that due to the rapidly changing operating environment, customer behavior and developments with westerns sanctions against Russia as well as countersanctions, many companies are constantly reviewing their plans and strategies in many cases without further notice to other market participants.
Globally, there is a steady influx of new fintech businesses looking to challenge and disrupt the payments and financial services industry. These include so-called "challenger banks" such as Starling, Monzo, N26, Revolut, Atom and Tandem, who develop various digital banking and financial services and compete with various aspects of our services offering (to the best of our knowledge, none of the aforementioned companies has entered the Russian market as of the date hereof and the possibility of their entering the Russian market is uncertain due to the geopolitical situation)). Since the development in the fintech space is rapid, new categories of non-traditional financial service providers may emerge in the future that may be difficult to currently anticipate. See "– If we cannot keep pace with rapid developments and change in our industry and provide new services to our clients, or if any of the new products we roll out are unsuccessful, the use of our services could decline, and we could experience a decline in revenue and an inability to recoup costs".
We also compete against some directly comparable businesses, such as electronic payment system operators (primarily YooMoney and WebMoney and previously PayPal which suspended its operations in Russia since February 2022) and kiosk, terminal and e-wallet operators, including Comepay and Elecsnet.
In recent years, we have started expanding our product portfolio beyond our traditional payment services business to include other types of financial services, such as factoring, digital bank guarantees services, online loans to public procurement tender participants and factoring services for marketplaces suppliers, which we offer through our ROWI project (formerly known as Factoring PLUS, rebranded in 2021). In connection with each of these projects, we face intense competition from a multitude of commercial and retail banks. Such banking institutions often have more established businesses in the various services similar to those offered by us. While we seek to differentiate our products from the competition on the basis of enhanced user experience, price and add-on features, there cannot be any assurance that we will be successful in doing so due to the number of competitors and their level of sophistication.
The CBR has announced plans to commence creation of a regulatory framework for so-called non-banking financial services providers that, among other things, will be able to process and transfer payments and open e-wallets, and participate directly in payment systems without the need to engage an acquiring bank. This initiative is aimed at lowering the barriers to entry into the payment services market in Russia, and accordingly requirements towards such providers are expected to be lower than those towards banking institutions, such as ourselves, which could have the effect of intensifying competition in our markets and affecting a number of our revenue streams, including payment processing and acquiring services. Certain merchants that we service may opt to become non-banking financial services providers, which would obliviate their need for our services.
Any increase in competition by other market participants, or any shift of customer preferences in their favor due to any real or perceived advantages of their products, could result in a loss of consumers and harm our payment volumes, revenues and margins. As major commercial and retail banks increase their online and virtual presence and come up with increasingly sophisticated products directly competing with our core competencies, our competitive position could be severely undermined, resulting in reduced demand for our products, both with respect to our payment services business and the other financial services projects that we are pursuing. If we are unable to compete successfully for consumers, agents, merchants or other partners, our business, financial condition and results of operations could be materially adversely affected.
Sales & Marketing3 | 3.7%
Sales & Marketing - Risk 1
Our profitability level depends on our ability to maintain or increase our payment services average net revenue yield.
One of the key measures we use to assess the performance of our payment services business is payment average net revenue yield, which we calculate by dividing payment net revenue by the total payment volume of the transactions we process. Our payment average net revenue yield may be affected by a number of factors, including changes in regulation, increased competition, pressure from merchants and/or agents and acquisitions. In the past we have experienced declines in our payment average net revenue yield for certain merchant categories, in particular for our Telecom merchants where the merchant fees were sharply reduced by the Big Three MNOs, who have been seeking to reduce costs, and may continue to do so in the future. In 2015, our average net revenue yield declined following the acquisition of the CONTACT money transfer system ("CONTACT") and the Rapida payment processing system ("Rapida") businesses, both of which operate with a significantly lower average net revenue yield than QIWI (excluding CONTACT and Rapida). Furthermore, our payment average net revenue yield may decline if we introduce new products that are important for expanding our ecosystem and growing our business, but are generally lower-yielding and thus dilute our net revenue yield. Our payment average net revenue yield has been adversely affected, and may continue to be adversely affected, by the introduction of the IPS established by the CBR (see "– The financial services industry is highly competitive, and we have a vast number of competitors that are larger and have greater financial and other resources"), resulting in a shift of part of our digital money remittance volumes within our ecosystem from our card-to-card money transfer service to the IPS, leading to a decline in average commission in the money remittance operations and a compression of our payment average net revenue yield. In order to maintain our competitiveness, we must continue to ensure that our payment processing system provides a more convenient and attractive option for merchants, customers and partners than alternative systems that may not require payment of a processing fee. Retail banks and various payment service providers are constantly developing low to zero-commission payment channels for their consumers. To attract consumers, we also offer certain services on a commission-free basis, such as most peer-to-peer transfers within QIWI Wallet and certain payments in e-commerce. Despite our efforts, consumers may still choose to use other payment service providers, even if those providers do not offer the convenience that we do, because they charge lower fees. In addition, because merchants, partners and agents are able to switch between different payment service providers, we may face additional pressure to reduce the fees we charge due to increased competition from other payment service providers. In addition to market competition, our commissions may also come under pressure if any future laws and regulations are adopted that impose limits on various types of fees that we charge. Proposals to such effect are often mentioned by various government agencies.
Our payment average net revenue yield is also impacted by the cost to us of consumers reloading their QIWI Wallet accounts. We make available to our consumers a large variety of methods to reload the QIWI Wallet accounts, including, among others, bank cards and accounts, mobile phone balances, kiosks and terminals and ATMs. Customers can also receive different payouts or money transfers to their wallets. The top up methods have different cost implications for us and such cost implications can change for different channels overtime. For example, on payments made through the kiosks and terminals owned by our agents, we historically have paid lower fees for reloading the QIWI Wallet than on most payments made from bank cards, as well as certain other channels. However, recently kiosks became a relatively more expensive top up channel for us. Additionally, since we provide payment services to merchants and consumers in the sports betting industry, betting accounts top-ups and betting gains received by our consumers into their QIWI Wallet accounts also represent an important and cost-efficient source of QIWI Wallets reloads, which could decline if our presence as a payment provider in the sports betting market diminishes for any reason (see "– Throughout the recent years, we have been deriving a substantial portion of our revenues from merchants in the betting industry, but we have recently experienced a loss of a significant portion of such revenue stream due to changes in regulation and market conditions, the negative repercussions of which on our business and financial results may continue to build up"). Similarly, our products for the self-employed individuals such as payout programs for taxi drivers, couriers, and similarly situated self-employed individuals, also account for a substantial amount of QIWI Wallets reloads that are cost-efficient to us, and any decline in this category could increase the average QIWI Wallet top-up cost. Should the relative weight of these reload channels in our total mix decline, this could put a negative pressure on our yields. We currently do not attempt to direct consumer preferences towards any particular reload methods. If reload methods that come at a higher cost to us were to constitute a larger proportion of our overall reload channels mix, our margins could be adversely affected, which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
The December 2020 CBR order requiring us to suspend or limit most types of payments to foreign merchants (see "– Qiwi Bank operates in a highly regulated environment and increased regulatory scrutiny could have an adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations") has also put negative pressure on our yields, since such payments on average carried a higher commission.
Our payment services segment net revenue yield is also affected by changes in our payment average net revenue yield and by our ability to generate revenue from payment-related value-added services, as well as passive revenue such as interest income on the wallet balances we hold and revenue from fees for inactive accounts and unclaimed payments. If we are not able to generate such additional revenues for any reasons including regulatory restrictions (see "– We are subject to extensive government regulation"), intensified competition or other reasons outside of our control, our financial condition and results of operation could be materially negatively affected.
If payment average net revenue yield or payment services segment net revenue declines as a result of any of these or other factors, we will have to offset the financial impact of such decline by increasing our payment volume, through the development and enhancement of existing and new services and products. We cannot assure you that we will be able to increase our payment volumes or that any new services we introduce or new products we develop will be profitable. If we are unable to offset the decline in our payment average net revenue yield resulting from this and other factors, our business, financial condition and results of operations could be materially adversely affected.
Sales & Marketing - Risk 2
If customer or merchant confidence in our business deteriorates, our business, financial condition and results of operations could be adversely affected.
Our business is built on customers' and merchants' confidence in our brands, as well as our ability to provide fast, reliable payment services, including electronic payment and payment processing services, and other financial services. The strength of our brands and reputation are of paramount importance to us. A number of factors could adversely affect customer confidence in our brands, many of which are beyond our control, and could have an adverse impact on our results of operations. These factors include:
- illegal or improper use of our systems and compliance related concerns;- regulatory action or investigations against us (see "– Qiwi Bank operates in a highly regulated environment and increased regulatory scrutiny could have an adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations");- any significant interruption to our systems and operations; and - any breach of our security system or any compromises of consumer data.
In addition, we are to some extent dependent on our agents, merchants and partners to which we license our products to maintain the reputation of our brands. Despite the measures that we put in place to ensure their compliance with our performance standards, our lack of control over their operations may result in the low quality of service of a particular counterparty being attributed to our brands, negatively affecting our overall reputation. For example, our agents are able to charge consumers fees for the use of the kiosks and terminals operated by them, in addition to the fees charged by us, and we mostly do not cap or otherwise control the level of such fees levied by our agents on consumers. We can provide no assurance that our agents will not raise these fees to a level that will adversely affect the popularity of our products among consumers. We also might determine to cap this type of fee to protect the strength of our brand and thereby lose some of our agents and points of physical presence. Furthermore, negative publicity surrounding any assertion that our clients, agents, merchants and/or partners are implicated in fraudulent transactions, irrespective of the accuracy of such publicity or its connection with our current operations or business, could harm our reputation. Any event that hurts any of our brands and reputation as a reliable financial services provider could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Sales & Marketing - Risk 3
Changed
We may experience difficulties with conducting transactions denominated in US dollars, euros and other currencies.
We contract with some of our international merchants in US dollars, euros and other currencies and may experience challenges in relationships with US and EU banks that could arise for any non-US company or non-EU company in connection with transactions denominated in US dollars or euros due to stricter internal bank policies regarding Russia, including enhanced know-your-customer due diligence procedures, restrictions on certain types of merchants and certain jurisdictions, and other bank internal policies, which we believe might be a result of the increasing negative sentiment towards Russia on part of US banks, among other factors (see "– The conflict between Russia and Ukraine, and particularly its 2022 escalation, the US, EU, UK and other countries' sanctions that have been imposed in connection therewith, the resulting negative implications on the Russian economy, and the measures that are being adopted by Russia in response, could adversely impact our operations and financial condition"), even with respect to transactions and relationships that do not appear to raise concerns under applicable sanctions.
Even though we maintain a number of accounts denominated in US dollars, euros and other currencies with various financial institutions, we are also conducting in parallel a portion of US dollar or euro transactions with our international merchants in other currencies, bearing additional currency conversion costs. No assurance can be given that such institutions or their respective correspondent banks will not refuse to process our transactions for the reasons set forth above or otherwise, thereby further increasing the currency conversion costs that we have to bear or that our international merchants will agree to accept payments in any currency, but the US dollar, euro or other currencies in the future. If we are not able to conduct transactions in US dollars, euros or other currencies envisaged under the agreements with our merchants, we may bear significant currency conversion costs or lose some of our merchants who will not be willing to conduct transactions in currencies other than the currency provided under the applicable agreement, and therefore our business, financial condition and results of operations may be materially adversely affected. We can give no assurance that similar issues would not arise with respect to our transactions in other currencies, which could have similarly adverse consequences for us.
Brand / Reputation1 | 1.2%
Brand / Reputation - Risk 1
Customer complaints, actual or perceived failures of our customer service function or negative publicity about our customer service could materially adversely affect the attractiveness of our services.
Customer complaints, actual or perceived failures of our customer service function or negative publicity about our customer service could diminish consumer confidence in, and the attractiveness of, our services. Breaches of our consumers' privacy and our security systems could have the same effect. We sometimes take measures to combat risks of fraud and breaches of privacy and security, such as freezing consumer funds or rejecting in opening an account, which could damage relations with our consumers. These measures heighten the need for prompt and attentive customer service to resolve irregularities and disputes. In addition, we have previously received negative media coverage regarding customer disputes. Moreover, some of our products compete to a large extent on the basis of enhanced customer service and attention to customers, and are vulnerable to any customer complaints or actual or perceived decline in service levels. Any failure on our part to continue to provide customers with the level of service they have come to expect could harm our reputation significantly. Effective customer service requires significant personnel expense, and this expense, if not managed properly, could impact our profitability significantly. Any inability by us to manage or train our customer service representatives properly could compromise our ability to handle customer complaints effectively. If we fail to provide customer service at the level our clients expect from us or do not handle customer complaints effectively, our reputation may suffer and we may lose our customers' confidence, which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
See a full breakdown of risk according to category and subcategory. The list starts with the category with the most risk. Click on subcategories to read relevant extracts from the most recent report.
FAQ
What are “Risk Factors”?
Risk factors are any situations or occurrences that could make investing in a company risky.
The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) requires that publicly traded companies disclose their most significant risk factors. This is so that potential investors can consider any risks before they make an investment.
They also offer companies protection, as a company can use risk factors as liability protection. This could happen if a company underperforms and investors take legal action as a result.
It is worth noting that smaller companies, that is those with a public float of under $75 million on the last business day, do not have to include risk factors in their 10-K and 10-Q forms, although some may choose to do so.
How do companies disclose their risk factors?
Publicly traded companies initially disclose their risk factors to the SEC through their S-1 filings as part of the IPO process.
Additionally, companies must provide a complete list of risk factors in their Annual Reports (Form 10-K) or (Form 20-F) for “foreign private issuers”.
Quarterly Reports also include a section on risk factors (Form 10-Q) where companies are only required to update any changes since the previous report.
According to the SEC, risk factors should be reported concisely, logically and in “plain English” so investors can understand them.
How can I use TipRanks risk factors in my stock research?
Use the Risk Factors tab to get data about the risk factors of any company in which you are considering investing.
You can easily see the most significant risks a company is facing. Additionally, you can find out which risk factors a company has added, removed or adjusted since its previous disclosure. You can also see how a company’s risk factors compare to others in its sector.
Without reading company reports or participating in conference calls, you would most likely not have access to this sort of information, which is usually not included in press releases or other public announcements.
A simplified analysis of risk factors is unique to TipRanks.
What are all the risk factor categories?
TipRanks has identified 6 major categories of risk factors and a number of subcategories for each. You can see how these categories are broken down in the list below.
1. Financial & Corporate
Accounting & Financial Operations - risks related to accounting loss, value of intangible assets, financial statements, value of intangible assets, financial reporting, estimates, guidance, company profitability, dividends, fluctuating results.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights – risks related to things that impact share prices and the rights of shareholders, including analyst ratings, major shareholder activity, trade volatility, liquidity of shares, anti-takeover provisions, international listing, dual listing.
Debt & Financing – risks related to debt, funding, financing and interest rates, financial investments.
Corporate Activity and Growth – risks related to restructuring, M&As, joint ventures, execution of corporate strategy, strategic alliances.
2. Legal & Regulatory
Litigation and Legal Liabilities – risks related to litigation/ lawsuits against the company.
Regulation – risks related to compliance, GDPR, and new legislation.
Environmental / Social – risks related to environmental regulation and to data privacy.
Taxation & Government Incentives – risks related to taxation and changes in government incentives.
3. Production
Costs – risks related to costs of production including commodity prices, future contracts, inventory.
Supply Chain – risks related to the company’s suppliers.
Manufacturing – risks related to the company’s manufacturing process including product quality and product recalls.
Human Capital – risks related to recruitment, training and retention of key employees, employee relationships & unions labor disputes, pension, and post retirement benefits, medical, health and welfare benefits, employee misconduct, employee litigation.
4. Technology & Innovation
Innovation / R&D – risks related to innovation and new product development.
Technology – risks related to the company’s reliance on technology.
Cyber Security – risks related to securing the company’s digital assets and from cyber attacks.
Trade Secrets & Patents – risks related to the company’s ability to protect its intellectual property and to infringement claims against the company as well as piracy and unlicensed copying.
5. Ability to Sell
Demand – risks related to the demand of the company’s goods and services including seasonality, reliance on key customers.
Competition – risks related to the company’s competition including substitutes.
Sales & Marketing – risks related to sales, marketing, and distribution channels, pricing, and market penetration.
Brand & Reputation – risks related to the company’s brand and reputation.
6. Macro & Political
Economy & Political Environment – risks related to changes in economic and political conditions.
Natural and Human Disruptions – risks related to catastrophes, floods, storms, terror, earthquakes, coronavirus pandemic/COVID-19.
International Operations – risks related to the global nature of the company.
Capital Markets – risks related to exchange rates and trade, cryptocurrency.