We may be unable to realize our business strategy of improving operating performance, growing our business and generating savings and improvements.
Over the past five years the Company has been experiencing a decline in course attendance and revenue generated from our operations. As a result, we have been implementing new strategic initiatives, including those described in this Form 10-K, which include offering and expanding the services provided through Workforce Optimization Solutions, adjusting the duration of some of our courses to be more competitive, the comprehensive cost reduction program, Guaranteed to Run ("GTR") courses, and pricing promotions that are designed to improve our operating performance, stabilize and increase revenue and grow our business. The failure to achieve the goals of some or all of these initiatives could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition, results of operations and our business. There is no assurance that we will be able to pursue, successfully implement or realize the expected benefits of any initiative or that we will be able to sustain improvements made to date.
Our operating results have historically fluctuated, and we expect fluctuations to continue in the future.
Fluctuations in our historical operating results have resulted from many factors, some of which are beyond our control. In the future, these or other factors could have a material adverse impact on our operating results and cause our stock price to decrease. For example:
Timing of Course Development, and Sales and Marketing Expenditures.
We try to adjust our expenditures for course development and sales and marketing to maintain our long-term profitability, including our assessment of the potential to influence future customer demand, market conditions, and other factors. This may mean accepting reduced margins in poor economic periods, as we must commit too much of our spending before our attendees enroll in our courses. If revenues fall short of our expectations, we may not be able to adjust our expenditures quickly enough to compensate for lower than anticipated revenues. This could compound the impact of any revenue shortfall and further affect our operating results and the price of our common stock.
Many of the new titles now being offered are not developed or taught by Learning Tree, but rather were obtained from other providers.
Reselling other providers courses limits our ability to ensure a quality customer experience. While we do review and approve partner courses before offering them to our customers, our revenues could be negatively impacted if customers are not satisfied with these courses. In addition, the margins earned on these partner courses may be lower than those of our proprietary courses.
Course Scheduling and Marketing Activities.
The timing and content of our courses and our marketing activities can affect the number of participants who attend our courses. Some of the activities that can contribute to fluctuations in our operating results include:
- the frequency of our course events;- the number of weeks during which our courses can be conducted in a quarter;- the timing, timely delivery, frequency and size of, and the response to, our marketing and advertising campaigns;- the timing of introduction of new course titles;- the average length of courses, based on the current mix of course titles, which affects the average revenue per attendee; and - the mix between course events held at customer locations and course events held in our education centers and hotels due to differing gross profit margins.
Seasonal Factors.
Our quarterly revenues and income fluctuate due to the seasonal spending patterns of our customers, which are affected by factors such as:
- cyclic or one-time budgetary considerations;- government spending and budget cycles;- factors specific to their business or industry; and - weather, holiday and vacation considerations.
Use of Accounting Estimates.
The preparation of our financial statements in conformity with Generally Accepted Accounting Principles in the United States ("GAAP") requires us to make estimates and assumptions in calculating our financial results. As one example, we currently offer our customers a multiple-course sales discount referred to as a Training Passport, which allows an individual Passport holder to attend up to a specified number of Learning Tree courses over a specified period for a fixed price. For a Training Passport, the amount of revenue we recognize for each attendance in one of our courses is based upon the selling price of the Training Passport, the list price of the course taken, the average list price of all courses taken, and our estimate of the average number of courses a Passport holder will attend. After expiration of a Training Passport, we record the difference, if any, between the revenue previously recognized and the Training Passport selling price. We base our estimate of the average number of course events that a Training Passport holder will attend based on historical trends. However, these historical trends may not accurately predict the actual number of course events that a Training Passport holder will attend in the future. If average Training Passport attendance rates were to increase, for example, we would have to make negative adjustments to our revenue, which could be significant. For a summary of some of our key accounting estimates, please see our "Critical Accounting Estimates and Policies" in Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations.
We may not be able to fully utilize our deferred tax assets and changes in our tax rates or exposure to additional tax liabilities could adversely affect our financial position.
In fiscal year 2012, we established a valuation allowance against our deferred tax assets in the United States due to current year and projected future pre-tax book losses. We continue to maintain this valuation allowance throughout the subsequent financial years. Management judgment is required in determining the provision for income taxes and in determining whether deferred tax assets will be realized in full or in part, primarily with respect to projecting taxable income. Future taxable income can never be projected with certainty as it is dependent on numerous factors, some of which are beyond our control. Substantial variances between our estimates of future taxable income and actual results, or changes in our estimate of future taxable income, could lead to changes in the amount of deferred tax assets that can be realized and could therefore require corresponding adjustments to the valuation allowance. Our income tax provision could be significantly impacted by estimates surrounding our uncertain tax positions, decisions on repatriation of foreign earnings, and changes to our valuation allowance in future periods. Furthermore, the new tax laws enacted in December 2017 under the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, which brought about corporate income tax rate changes, the modification or elimination of certain tax incentives, changes to the U.S. tax regime for taxing overseas earnings (including modification to the regime for repatriating such earnings), and measures to prevent base erosion of profits in the U.S., may also impact our future effective tax rate and have a significant effect on our future operating results. As a result, we may never be able to use the full amount of our deferred tax assets which could adversely affect our financial position.
Changing Regulation of Corporate Governance and Public Disclosure.
Changing laws, regulations and standards relating to corporate governance and public disclosure can result in uncertainty regarding compliance matters and higher costs incurred with ongoing revisions to disclosure and governance practices. As a result, our efforts to comply with evolving laws, regulations and standards have resulted in, and are likely to continue to result in, increased general and administrative expenses and a diversion of management time and attention from revenue-generating activities to compliance activities. If our efforts to comply with new or changed laws, regulations and standards differ from the activities intended by regulatory or governing bodies due to ambiguities related to practice, our reputation may be harmed. If the Company deregisters its common stock under the Exchange Act, the Company will be able to materially reduce its costs of public reporting compliance under U.S. securities laws.
Introductions and Adoption of New Technology.
Our customers tend to increase their training at times when new technology is being introduced. During periods when fewer new technologies are being introduced, demand for our training courses may decrease, which could have a material adverse effect on our operating results and stock price.
Other Factors.
Other factors that may affect our operating results include:
- competitive forces within our current and anticipated future markets;- our ability to attract customers and meet their expectations;- currency fluctuations and other risks inherent in international operations;- general economic conditions;- differences in the timing of our spending on the marketing of our courses, as well as the timing of our spending on the development of our courses and other areas; and - excess capacity and/or unused space in our education centers and/or administrative office facilities, and our ability to sublease or find other uses for it.
All or any of these and similar factors could cause our operating results to differ substantially from the expectations of public market analysts and investors, which would likely have a material adverse impact on our stock price.