Will Texas Instruments (TXN) and Union Pacific (UNP) Beat Earnings Tomorrow? Here’s What Polymarket Predicts

Investors are gearing up for a busy week of earnings reports that will help gauge both corporate and overall economic activity. On Tuesday, Texas Instruments (TXN) and Union Pacific (UNP) will report their earnings for the period ended December 31, 2025. Traders are already weighing in on expectations through Polymarket.

Polymarket is a prediction platform where traders bet on the outcomes of real-world events, including earnings reports, elections, and economic indicators. Polymarket odds reflect collective expectations and can provide insight into investor sentiment

Will Texas Instruments (TXN) Beat Earnings?

Texas Instruments produces chips that power everything from vehicles and smartphones to industrial machinery. Last quarter, Texas Instruments reported an earnings per share (EPS) of $1.48, missing the estimate of $1.49. However, it had beaten EPS estimates in every prior quarter since at least Q2 2021.

On Polymarket, traders assign 85% odds that Texas Instruments will be able to beat its estimated EPS of $1.31.

Will Union Pacific (UNP) Beat Earnings?

Union Pacific (UNP) operates one of the largest freight rail networks in the U.S. and serves as an indicator of the broader transportation sector. The company has surpassed earnings estimates for two consecutive quarters and reported an EPS of $2.91 for the period ending December 31, 2024.

However, Polymarket traders are pricing in that the streak may come to an end, assigning 55% odds that Union Pacific will be able to beat its estimated EPS of $2.87.

It’s important to note that Polymarket odds reflects expectations, not guaranteed outcomes. The odds represent the views and expectations of traders, but actual earnings results can differ significantly from these predictions. Investors should treat Polymarket data as just one tool when evaluating potential market moves.