VanEck Semiconductor ETF Faces Fund Outflows Amid Strong Performance

VanEck Semiconductor ETF ( $SMH ) has risen by 1.75% in the past week. It has experienced a 5-day net outflow of $508.07 million.
This is due, in part, to market sentiment on some of the ETF’s largest holdings. For example:

• Nvidia Corporation continues to be a standout in the AI hardware market, recently becoming the first company to reach a $4 trillion market capitalization. This milestone is fueled by the strong demand for its GPUs, which are essential for AI model development. Despite concerns about high valuations reminiscent of the late 1990s dot-com bubble, Nvidia remains a favorite among analysts, with a strong buy consensus. The company is also expanding its AI infrastructure globally, launching the Isambard-AI supercomputer in collaboration with the University of Bristol. This move is part of Nvidia’s ‘sovereign AI’ strategy, aiming to build national AI infrastructures. However, some analysts warn of a potential market bubble, suggesting that investors consider diversifying into safer areas.
• Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSMC) has reported strong Q2 2025 earnings, with a 38.6% year-over-year revenue growth and a 60.7% increase in net income. The company’s advanced technologies, particularly in AI and high-performance computing, are driving this success. Despite the impressive results, some analysts express caution due to the stock’s high valuation and potential moderation in growth rates. TSMC’s management remains optimistic about continued demand for its cutting-edge technologies, projecting robust revenue growth in the coming quarters. However, challenges such as foreign exchange headwinds and margin dilution from overseas fabs persist, requiring strategic management to mitigate their effects.
• Broadcom Inc. recently faced a setback as it scrapped plans to invest in a $1 billion plant in Spain, reportedly due to concerns over U.S. opposition to semiconductor investments abroad. Despite this, Broadcom remains a key player in the AI chip market, with its ASICs being crucial for AI and cloud applications. The company continues to leverage its leadership in networking silicon to drive growth in custom silicon for hyperscalers. Analysts maintain a strong buy consensus on Broadcom, citing its strategic position in the AI industry and its ability to meet the needs of large customers with high-quality, high-speed networking solutions.