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Invesco QQQ Trust Sees Strong Inflows Amid Tech Volatility

Invesco QQQ Trust Sees Strong Inflows Amid Tech Volatility

Invesco QQQ Trust ( $QQQ ) has fallen by 0.57% in the past week. It has experienced a 5-day net inflow of $3.27 billion.
This is due, in part, to market sentiment on some of the ETF’s largest holdings. For example:

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    • Nvidia Corporation remained at the center of the AI boom this week, with analysts continuing to describe it as one of the two key “pillars” of physical AI alongside Tesla and hailing CEO Jensen Huang as the sector’s “godfather.” Despite short‑term share price volatility and minor pullbacks, Wall Street still assigns Nvidia a Strong Buy rating, with several price targets implying mid‑ to high‑30% upside as investors bet the company will stay several years ahead of rival chipmakers in data‑center and autonomous‑systems hardware. Regulatory headlines added some uncertainty: reports out of China suggest leading AI firms such as DeepSeek, ByteDance, Alibaba, and Tencent may soon receive approval to import Nvidia’s powerful H200 accelerators, which could unlock a fresh wave of data‑center demand but also keeps the company squarely in the crosshairs of U.S.–China tech tensions. Meanwhile, Microsoft underscored Nvidia’s importance by emphasizing its “great partnership” with both Nvidia and AMD for AI chips, signaling that even as hyperscalers develop their own silicon, they still rely heavily on Nvidia’s GPUs to power generative AI and cloud workloads.
    • Apple Inc stayed in the market spotlight after a string of blockbuster quarters, with iPhone and Services firing on all cylinders and prompting another round of analyst upgrades despite already lofty valuation multiples. The company’s latest results showed December‑quarter revenue of about $143.8 billion, up more than 15% year over year, driven by a more than 23% surge in iPhone sales to roughly $85 billion and a record $28.8 billion in high‑margin Services revenue; China iPhone demand in particular rebounded sharply after several soft years. Strategically, Apple is leaning into the high end of its ecosystem, prioritizing three premium iPhone models — including its first foldable — for late 2026 while pushing the mainstream iPhone 18 to 2027 to cope with rising memory‑chip costs and supply constraints, a move aimed at protecting margins even if it risks some volume. Analysts at JPMorgan, BofA, Goldman and others have responded with aggressive price‑target hikes, in several cases to the $315–$330 range and as high as $325 from JPMorgan, arguing that strong demand, services growth, and a new AI cycle (including an upgraded Siri and a partnership with Google on core AI models) can sustain double‑digit earnings growth into 2027. At the same time, investors are watching Apple’s AI capabilities and talent retention closely: the recent loss of multiple AI researchers and Siri leaders to rivals such as Meta and Google has amplified concern that Apple is playing catch‑up in generative AI, even as Wall Street maintains a “Moderate Buy” stance with an average target around $303–$300, implying mid‑teens upside from current levels.
    • Microsoft faced a sharp but sentiment‑driven pullback, with shares down roughly 8.5% over the past week and 11% over the past month, as investors digested cloud growth that was strong by historical standards but shy of sky‑high expectations and guidance that pointed to heavier AI‑related investment. The latest quarter beat on both revenue and earnings — Intelligent Cloud sales climbed nearly 29% to $32.9 billion, and Azure and other cloud services grew 39% year on year — yet the market focused on capacity constraints and the fact that Azure’s upside versus guidance was modest, forcing Microsoft to boost capital spending after already deploying $88.2 billion last year, with even larger capex planned for fiscal 2026. Still, profitability remained impressive: operating income jumped about 21% to $38.3 billion and overall margins expanded to roughly 47%, helped by strong performance in Productivity and Business Processes, where Microsoft 365 and Copilot adoption is accelerating and paid Copilot seats reached about 15 million. Away from the headline cloud story, management is trying to rebuild user trust in Windows by prioritizing stability over aggressive feature rollouts, while the Xbox business appears increasingly tied to the broader Windows PC ecosystem as game‑developer surveys show far stronger support for PC than for dedicated consoles. Despite near‑term volatility, the analyst community remains firmly bullish, with a Strong Buy consensus, an average 12‑month target around $603 and several high‑profile targets in the $614–$650 range, suggesting roughly 30%–40% upside as investors look past capacity bottlenecks to a longer‑term growth story built on cloud, AI infrastructure, and monetization of Copilot across Microsoft’s software stack.

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