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Trump ‘Chickens Out’ on Tariffs? Not So Fast.

Trump ‘Chickens Out’ on Tariffs? Not So Fast.

The “TACO” acronym, which stands for “Trump Always Chickens Out,” references the act of Trump setting a high tariff rate and then later pausing or lowering it. While it’s true that Trump has done this several times, his tariff strategy has reaped real rewards.

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During the second quarter of 2025, U.S. tariff revenue grew by 73% to a record high of $64 billion. Tariff revenue in June totaled $26.6 billion compared to $6.3 billion a year ago.

U.S. Tariffs at Highest Level Since the 1940s

While Trump extended the April 2 tariff pause to August 1, he hasn’t budged on his 10% baseline tariff. Trading partners of the U.S. now view the 10% duty as the best-case scenario instead of the worst-case scenario, said the Wall Street Journal’s Greg Ip.

As of July 2, the U.S. has an average tariff rate of 13.4%, according to data from JPMorgan Chase (JPM). That’s well above the average rate of 2.3% in 2024 and marks the highest rate since the 1940s. At the same time, countries have been hesitant to retaliate, signaling the strength and importance of the U.S. in global trade.

Head over to TipRanks’ Stock Analysis and News feed for the latest trade and tariff developments.

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