United Airlines (UAL), on its Q2 earnings conference call, said that from a supply perspective, “it’s deja vu all over again.” United said this is almost the exact same setup as a year ago at this time, with weak RASM results across the industry, leading to supply cuts starting in mid August leading to better margin results, which then led to strong stock price performance. Demand, while it stabilized, was about five points weaker in the first half of the year than United was expecting at the start of the year.
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