Moderately bullish activity in Microsoft (MSFT), with shares up $6.08, or 1.3%, near $472.02. Options volume roughly in line with average with 133k contracts traded and calls leading puts for a put/call ratio of 0.48, compared to a typical level near 0.8. Implied volatility (IV30) is higher by 0.1 points near 32.01, in the highest 10% of observations over the past year, suggesting an expected daily move of $9.52. Put-call skew steepened, indicating increased demand for downside protection.Looking ahead: Microsoft (MSFT) will report earnings after the close on 2026-01-28.Option markets are pricing in a 50% probability of a move greater than 7.68% or $36.24.
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