Circle initiated, Charter upgraded: Wall Street’s top analyst calls

The most talked about and market moving research calls around Wall Street are now in one place. Here are today’s research calls that investors need to know, as compiled by The Fly.

Top Upgrades:

• Wolfe Research upgraded Charter (CHTR) to Peer Perform from Underperform without a price target. President Trump’s “Big Beautiful Bill” seems likely to reinstate 100% bonus depreciation, notes the firm, which estimates the five major connectivity providers could cumulatively gain $10.5B of cash tax relief in 2025 alone.
• Wells Fargo upgraded Mondelez (MDLZ) to Overweight from Equal Weight with a price target of $78, up from $68. The firm sees the “intersection” of price execution, “ever-muted” inflation in 2026 and a low relative valuation creating the “optimal bull case” for Mondelez.
• BMO Capital upgraded CubeSmart (CUBE) to Outperform from Market Perform with a $49 price target, up from $48, and moved to the analyst’s top pick in storage. The firm sees CubeSmart’s more urban exposure versus peers, exemplified in leading demographics, as likely to continue to outperform, particularly in New York City.
• Stifel upgraded EPR Properties (EPR) to Buy from Hold with a price target of $65, up from $52, visiting the company. With improvements in the share price and cost of capital, the company “can once again return to reasonable external growth,” the firm tells investors in a research note.

Top Downgrades:

• William Blair downgraded Sarepta (SRPT) to Market Perform from Outperform without a price target. The reduction in peak revenue opportunity following second case of fatal acute liver failure due to Elevidys treatment and “growing number of uncertain variables will be a deterrent for investors,” the firm tells investors in a research note.
• Argus downgraded Campbell’s (CPB) to Hold from Buy. The firm believes that valuations on the stock are reasonable given the company’s weak volume and “less than robust” outlook, though it would look to upgrade on signs of sustained volume and margin growth.
• Oppenheimer downgraded Johnson Controls (JCI) to Perform from Outperform on valuation. Following re-rating during the June quarter, valuation now sits at historical highs across multiple metrics, the firm notes.
• BMO Capital downgraded Public Storage (PSA) to Market Perform from Outperform with a $325 price target. The firm remains positive on Public Storage’s long-term fundamentals but says the shares have outperformed over the past year.
• Stifel downgraded Jack in the Box (JACK) to Hold from Buy with a price target of $20, down from $32. The Trump administration’s aggressive immigration policies are likely to create a “significant sales headwind for an unpredictable period.”

Top Initiations:

• Seaport Research initiated coverage of Circle (CRCL) with a Buy rating and $235 price target, telling investors that the firm views Circle as “a top-tier crypto ‘disruptor’ with a sizeable future opportunity.”
• Janney Montgomery Scott initiated coverage of Everest Group (EG) with a Buy rating and $425 fair value estimate. Everest is a “top-tier” global property and casualty reinsurer with a growing primary insurance business with “a long-term track record of strong performance,” having generated a median operating return on equity of 12% and average annual growth in shareholder value of 11% over the last 25 years, the firm tells investors.
• Macquarie initiated coverage of Sportradar (SRAD) with an Outperform rating and $32 price target. The market is still underestimating more U.S. state legalization, the in-play betting shift, and further market penetration in international markets, contends the firm, which doesn’t think Sportradar’s current valuation is reflective of OSB in California and Texas nor a U.S. in-play shift above 50% this decade.
• Wolfe Research initiated coverage of TPG (TPG) with an Outperform rating and $60 price target, representing over 20% upside. The firm sees “several ways” for TPG to generate high-teens fee-related earnings growth through 2027.
• Wells Fargo initiated coverage of Metsera (MTSR) with an Overweight rating and $65 price target. Wells sees a good risk/reward at current levels, saying data over the next year will strengthen Metsera’s “differentiated profile.”