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Super Micro Stock (SMCI) Falls after Cutting Q1 Revenue Outlook, Signals Strong AI Demand Ahead

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Super Micro Computer shares dropped 7% Thursday after it projected Q1 revenue of $5 billion, missing both its prior forecast and Wall Street’s estimate.

Super Micro Stock (SMCI) Falls after Cutting Q1 Revenue Outlook, Signals Strong AI Demand Ahead

Shares of Super Micro Computer (SMCI) fell about 7% Thursday morning after the company reported preliminary fiscal Q1 revenue that missed both Wall Street expectations and its own guidance. The AI server and data center equipment maker said it expects Q1 revenue of $5 billion, well below its prior forecast of $6 billion to $7 billion and the analyst consensus of $6.49 billion.

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Revenue Shift, Not Demand Slowdown

The revised outlook is attributed to recent design win upgrades, essentially customers upgrading their server orders, exceeding $12 billion. This pushed some expected Q1 revenue into the second quarter.

Despite the move, Supermicro noted that customer demand remains robust, especially for its advanced GPU and server solutions. These include systems powered by Nvidia’s (NVDA) chips and AMD’s (AMD) processors, key components in AI workloads and data center expansion.

CEO Charles Liang said there is significant customer interest in their new AI liquid-cooled solutions. Also, he stated that the company’s key clients are “ramping large, multi-quarter, volume deployments,” which supports demand growth. Importantly, the company maintained the full-year revenue forecast of at least $33 billion.

While the company did not provide updated earnings figures, it confirmed that its Q1 earnings call is scheduled for November 4. Alongside earnings, SMCI will provide more details on Q2 deliveries and revenue.

Is SMCI a Good Stock to Buy?

On TipRanks, SMCI stock has a Hold consensus rating based on four Buys, eight Holds, and three Sells assigned in the past three months. Meanwhile, the average Super Micro Computer price target of $43.46 implies a 10.28% downside risk from current levels.

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