OpenAI is expecting a monster 2025. The Sam Altman-led firm now projects $12.7 billion in revenue this year—nearly triple last year’s estimate—according to Bloomberg. Most of that growth is coming from its booming paid subscriptions for ChatGPT, including the new $200-a-month Pro tier. But while OpenAI sets its sights on a $300 billion valuation, Chinese rivals are creeping up fast.
Chinese AI Firms Rapidly Narrow the Gap
OpenAI’s lead isn’t as comfortable as it used to be. According to Reuters, DeepSeek’s new R-1 model has kicked off a wave of aggressive launches from Baidu (BIDU), Tencent (TCEHY), Alibaba (BABA), and 01.AI. Lee Kai-fu, CEO of 01.AI, said Chinese models are now just three months behind U.S. counterparts—after previously trailing by six to nine.
Altman Bets on GPT-5 and Long-Term Scale
Still, OpenAI’s plans aren’t slowing down. Altman said GPT-4.5 and GPT-5 are coming “in the next few weeks or months,” promising new voice, search, and deep research capabilities. The company doesn’t expect to turn a profit until 2029, when it projects $125 billion in revenue.
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