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ZIM Faces Downside Risk Amid Declining Freight Rates and Flat Volume Growth

ZIM Faces Downside Risk Amid Declining Freight Rates and Flat Volume Growth

ZIM, the Industrials sector company, was revisited by a Wall Street analyst yesterday. Analyst Muneeba Kayani from Bank of America Securities reiterated a Sell rating on the stock and has a $13.20 price target.

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Muneeba Kayani has given his Sell rating due to a combination of factors impacting ZIM’s financial outlook. Despite an optimistic third-quarter forecast, the company anticipates a significant drop in freight rates for the fiscal year 2025, coupled with a revised volume growth outlook that is now expected to remain flat year-over-year. This adjustment comes after a 6% decline in second-quarter volumes, with a notable 16% decrease in the Transpacific region.
Furthermore, while ZIM has raised its EBITDA guidance for 2025, the overall market conditions, including a negative outlook for rates in the second half of the year, have led to a lower price objective of $13.20. The company’s net debt to EBITDA ratio is also expected to increase, placing it at a disadvantage compared to its peers who maintain a net cash position. These factors collectively contribute to the reiterated Underperform rating, indicating a potential downside risk for investors.

In another report released on August 22, J.P. Morgan also maintained a Sell rating on the stock with a $9.80 price target.

ZIM’s price has also changed moderately for the past six months – from $21.800 to $14.470, which is a -33.62% drop .

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