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Xylem’s Strong Execution Overshadowed by Valuation Concerns and Flat Revenue Outlook, Leading to Hold Rating

Xylem’s Strong Execution Overshadowed by Valuation Concerns and Flat Revenue Outlook, Leading to Hold Rating

Xylem, the Industrials sector company, was revisited by a Wall Street analyst today. Analyst Joseph C Giordano from TD Cowen maintained a Hold rating on the stock and has a $135.00 price target.

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Joseph C Giordano’s rating is based on a combination of factors, including the current performance and future outlook of Xylem. While the company has shown strong execution, particularly in terms of margins, there is a noticeable slowdown in orders and revenues, which are expected to remain flat in 2025. The municipal water spending survey indicates a positive environment in the US, but tangible evidence of order acceleration is needed to boost confidence in exceeding expectations for 2026.
Despite favorable conditions, the stock’s valuation is a concern, trading at nearly 30 times the estimated 2025 earnings and around 25 times for 2026. Although Xylem has traded at higher multiples in the past, achieving a 20% upside would require a significant re-rating and a performance that surpasses current market expectations by nearly 10%. This scenario, while possible, is not easily justifiable as a base case, leading to the Hold rating with a price target of $135, which assumes a 25 times multiple of the fiscal year 2026 earnings estimate.

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