In a report released today, Ameet Thakkar from BMO Capital reiterated a Sell rating on Enphase Energy, with a price target of $30.00.
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Ameet Thakkar has given his Sell rating due to a combination of factors surrounding Enphase Energy’s future market challenges and financial outlook. The company’s third-quarter revenue guidance fell short of consensus expectations, which were optimistic about potential revenues related to safe harbor provisions. This shortfall indicates potential difficulties in meeting market expectations moving forward.
Additionally, the anticipated phaseout of Section 25D by the end of 2025 is expected to significantly impact the U.S. residential solar market, with a projected 20% shrinkage in 2026. Enphase Energy, which heavily relies on loan and cash channels, may face a decline in market share as these channels are expected to contract. The company’s market dynamics are further challenged by trends such as the shift towards third-party ownership and changes in net energy metering policies, which could erode its market position. These factors contribute to a cautious outlook and support the Sell rating.
According to TipRanks, Thakkar is an analyst with an average return of -5.7% and a 42.00% success rate. Thakkar covers the Technology sector, focusing on stocks such as Enphase Energy, Sunrun, and First Solar.