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Cautious Outlook on PayPal Holdings Amid Transaction Volatility and Strategic Challenges

Cautious Outlook on PayPal Holdings Amid Transaction Volatility and Strategic Challenges

Robert W. Baird analyst Colin Sebastian downgraded the rating on PayPal Holdings to a Hold today, setting a price target of $66.00.

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Colin Sebastian has given his Hold rating due to a combination of factors affecting PayPal Holdings. One primary reason is the uneven transaction volumes observed in the fourth quarter, coupled with an anticipated investment cycle in 2026, which could delay significant improvements in the company’s platform. This uncertainty, along with the need for more time to restore market share through branded checkout initiatives, contributes to the cautious outlook.
Additionally, there are concerns about higher credit losses and exposure to lower-income customers, as well as potential risks from e-commerce consolidation that might bypass digital wallets like PayPal. Despite these challenges, Colin acknowledges the company’s strategic efforts in areas such as Venmo monetization and agentic commerce, which could support future growth. However, these initiatives are expected to take longer to significantly impact the company’s market position, leading to the Hold rating.

Sebastian covers the Consumer Cyclical sector, focusing on stocks such as Pattern Group, Inc. Class A, eBay, and Amazon. According to TipRanks, Sebastian has an average return of 12.1% and a 54.14% success rate on recommended stocks.

In another report released yesterday, Bank of America Securities also downgraded the stock to a Hold with a $68.00 price target.

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