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Cautious Outlook on Moderna: Debt Reliance and Modest Growth Amidst Legal Challenges

Cautious Outlook on Moderna: Debt Reliance and Modest Growth Amidst Legal Challenges

Leerink Partners analyst Mani Foroohar maintained a Sell rating on Moderna today and set a price target of $18.00.

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Mani Foroohar has given his Sell rating due to a combination of factors impacting Moderna’s financial outlook. The company has announced a significant term loan facility, which increases its cash guidance but also raises concerns about its reliance on debt financing. This move, while potentially beneficial for capital costs, highlights the company’s vulnerability in ongoing intellectual property litigation, which could result in substantial financial liabilities.
Additionally, Moderna’s revenue guidance for the upcoming years remains modest, with expectations of only 10% growth in 2026 driven by specific partnerships and product uptake. The company’s efforts to optimize costs and improve margins are noted, but the discontinuation of several R&D programs and the pause of early-stage projects until cash break-even is achieved by 2028, suggest a cautious approach to future growth. These factors collectively contribute to a less optimistic view of Moderna’s stock performance.

In another report released yesterday, Wolfe Research also reiterated a Sell rating on the stock with a $17.00 price target.

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