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Cautious Outlook on MINISO Group Holdings Amid Revenue Shortfalls and Market Risks

Cautious Outlook on MINISO Group Holdings Amid Revenue Shortfalls and Market Risks

MINISO Group Holding (MNSOResearch Report), the Consumer Cyclical sector company, was revisited by a Wall Street analyst on March 21. Analyst Lucy Yu from Bank of America Securities reiterated a Sell rating on the stock and has a $17.10 price target.

Lucy Yu’s rating is based on several factors, primarily focusing on MINISO Group Holding’s recent financial performance and future outlook. The company’s fourth-quarter results for 2024 fell short of expectations, with revenue and non-IFRS net profit after tax (NPAT) missing targets. This underperformance was attributed to lower-than-expected revenue growth, prompting a downward revision of the company’s earnings per share estimates for 2025 and 2026.
Additionally, Lucy Yu expressed concerns about the company’s ability to achieve positive same-store sales growth in China, as well as uncertainties surrounding margins due to the increasing contribution from direct-to-customer sales. Other factors contributing to the Sell rating include potential impacts from US tariffs, a macroeconomic slowdown, higher finance costs, and losses from the company’s investment in Yonghui. Despite some growth in overseas markets, these risks present significant downside potential, leading to a cautious outlook on the stock.

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