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Cautious Hold Rating for Telenor Amid Modest Growth and Financial Adjustments

Cautious Hold Rating for Telenor Amid Modest Growth and Financial Adjustments

Morgan Stanley analyst Terence Tsui has maintained their neutral stance on 0G8C stock, giving a Hold rating on November 3.

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Terence Tsui’s rating is based on Telenor’s updated financial outlook, which suggests steady but modest growth in the coming years. The company anticipates low single-digit growth in Nordic service revenues and low-to-mid single-digit growth in organic EBITDA, supported by stable operating expenses. Additionally, Telenor plans to reduce its capital expenditure to sales ratio, aiming for a decrease below 13% by 2028 and further to 11–12% by 2030.
Despite these positive projections, the growth targets are slightly lower compared to previous expectations set for 2023-2025. The free cash flow before mergers and acquisitions is expected to grow at a mid-to-high single-digit compound annual growth rate from 2025, but it will not fully cover the group dividend until around 2028. These factors contribute to a cautious outlook, justifying the Hold rating as Telenor’s growth prospects, while stable, are not sufficiently compelling to warrant a more bullish recommendation.

In another report released on November 3, Barclays also maintained a Hold rating on the stock with a NOK165.00 price target.

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