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Cal-Maine Foods Hold Rating: Balancing Strong Earnings with Commodity Price Risks and Market Challenges

Cal-Maine Foods Hold Rating: Balancing Strong Earnings with Commodity Price Risks and Market Challenges

In a report released yesterday, Benjamin Mayhew from BMO Capital maintained a Hold rating on Cal-Maine Foods, with a price target of $100.00.

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Benjamin Mayhew has given his Hold rating due to a combination of factors influencing Cal-Maine Foods’ current and future financial outlook. While the company is expected to report strong earnings for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025, driven by better-than-anticipated pricing, there are concerns about the normalization of earnings as commodity egg prices begin to decline. This anticipated decrease in egg prices, following a record high in the previous quarter, poses a challenge for investors considering the stock at its current levels.
Despite the potential for higher earnings through fiscal year 2026, supported by the Echo Lake Foods acquisition and lower feed costs, the risk/reward profile appears balanced. The possibility of a supply recovery and easing of egg prices, alongside the ongoing risk of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza (HPAI), adds complexity to the investment outlook. Additionally, while the company is well-positioned to grow its specialty and value-added product mix, and increase shareholder returns, the overall market conditions suggest a cautious approach, justifying the Hold rating.

In another report released yesterday, Stephens also maintained a Hold rating on the stock with a $108.00 price target.

CALM’s price has also changed slightly for the past six months – from $112.510 to $102.780, which is a -8.65% drop .

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