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Balanced Outlook for Dick’s Sporting Goods Amid Opportunities and Challenges

Balanced Outlook for Dick’s Sporting Goods Amid Opportunities and Challenges

TD Cowen analyst John Kernan has reiterated their neutral stance on DKS stock, giving a Hold rating on November 18.

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John Kernan’s rating is based on a combination of factors that reflect both opportunities and challenges for Dick’s Sporting Goods. The company’s guidance suggests an improved flow-through in the fourth quarter, although this is tempered by slower same-store sales growth, which might be conservatively estimated. The complexity of modeling is highlighted by Foot Locker’s inventory clean-up and significant charges, which add uncertainty to the financial outlook. Despite these challenges, the target price of $226 is based on a 13.5x multiple of the estimated earnings per share for FY27, indicating a balanced view of potential upside and risks.
Additionally, the core business of Dick’s is expected to see a 4% increase in same-store sales for the fourth quarter of FY25, with earnings per share projected above consensus. This suggests a positive incremental earnings before interest and taxes flow-through compared to the previous quarter. However, the uncertainty surrounding Foot Locker’s performance and its impact on Dick’s, alongside the management’s guidance for significant pretax charges, contribute to a cautious outlook. As such, Kernan’s Hold rating reflects a view that while there are positive indicators, the risks and uncertainties warrant a more conservative stance.

In another report released on November 18, J.P. Morgan also maintained a Hold rating on the stock with a $228.00 price target.

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