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Balanced Hold Rating on BP Amid Strong Q2 Performance and Execution Risks

Balanced Hold Rating on BP Amid Strong Q2 Performance and Execution Risks

In a report released today, Christopher Kuplent from Bank of America Securities reiterated a Hold rating on BP p.l.c., with a price target of p400.00.

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Christopher Kuplent’s rating is based on BP’s recent financial performance and future outlook. Although BP’s second quarter of 2025 trading update exceeded expectations, Kuplent notes that the positive results may not extend into the latter half of the year. He has adjusted the net income estimates upwards for the quarter and the fiscal year, aligning with market consensus, but remains cautious about the company’s cash flow from operations, which he projects will fall short of BP’s guidance.
Kuplent also highlights the lack of a risk discount in BP’s share price, which does not reflect the execution risks associated with BP’s asset disposal plans. Despite BP’s free cash flow yield being lower compared to competitors like Shell, which has a higher yield and lower debt gearing, BP’s valuation does not offer a corresponding discount. Consequently, Kuplent maintains a Hold rating, reflecting a balanced view of the risks and potential rewards, particularly in relation to commodity price fluctuations and the company’s strategic disposals.

In another report released today, UBS also maintained a Hold rating on the stock with a p375.00 price target.

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